机构：中金公司 合并达达即时配送带动公司收入继续稳健增长；但京东零售部分品类销售承压或影响4Q相关内单收 入。公司外卖全职骑手业务有序发展、收购达达本地即时配送业务，均带动4Q收入继续稳健增长。我 们预计4Q25 公司营收同比增长20%至625 亿元，增速较3Q25（同比增24%）略有放缓，主要考虑内单 收入或受京东零售部分品类销售承压影响：由于社零数据及线上电商大盘表现较弱，叠加国补退坡影 响，中金互联网组预计4Q25 京东零售收入同比下滑3%至2979 亿元；我们预计4Q剔除外卖配送后的内 单业务收入增长或亦有承压。 海外仓一次性货损计提、子集团战略调整，或致公司4Q盈利短期承压，但我们仍看好公司中长期增 长。我们预计4Q25 公司或产生一次性货损计提，主要与部分海外仓相关，例如，12 月23日京东物流位 于巴黎的一处仓库遭盗窃（新华社）。结合公司子集团2H25 正进行业务战略调整，我们预计4Q25 盈利 或短期承压，下调4Q25 non-IFRS净利润24%至22.3 亿元、较4Q24 同比持平。但中长期看，我们持续看 好公司一体化供应链业务能力领先、海外业务快速增长、外卖配送及子集团业务与公司内生业务 ...

Core Viewpoint - Meituan is leveraging its platform economy to create diverse job opportunities and innovative employment models, significantly contributing to the domestic job market [1][6]. Group 1: Diverse Job Supply - Meituan has established a comprehensive employment system covering multiple fields, catering to various skill levels and employment needs [2]. - The delivery business is a key area for job creation, with Meituan implementing measures such as recruitment funds and the "Bole Award" incentive mechanism to support delivery riders [2]. - The company launched a spring campus recruitment initiative, aiming to hire over 6,000 fresh graduates annually across various roles [2]. Group 2: Innovative Employment Models - Meituan emphasizes the career development of delivery riders, establishing a talent development system that includes support for new riders and opportunities for advancement [3]. - The "Prosperity Plan" initiated in April 2022 has returned 330 million yuan to over 700,000 small and medium-sized merchants, enhancing their operational capabilities [3]. - Meituan has created new job roles such as delivery partners and homestay managers, meeting diverse consumer needs and generating more employment opportunities [2][3]. Group 3: Social Security Enhancements - Since July 2022, Meituan has been paying occupational injury insurance for new employment groups, covering nearly 7 million riders with a total expenditure of 1.5 billion yuan [5]. - The company has implemented a fatigue prevention mechanism and is providing social security for full-time and stable part-time riders [5]. - Meituan is committed to building an inclusive employment system, offering support for disabled riders and creating a friendly work environment [5]. Group 4: Support for Foreign Trade Enterprises - In April, Meituan opened a green channel to assist foreign trade enterprises in entering the domestic market, with over 500 companies successfully integrated into the sales process [4].