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特朗普关税引发通胀担忧已消退 美联储调查显示民众预期稳定
智通财经网· 2025-07-08 22:27
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that concerns over inflation due to President Trump's tariff policies have largely dissipated, with consumer inflation expectations remaining stable at 3% for the next year, consistent with pre-Trump levels [1][2] - The monthly Consumer Expectations Survey from the New York Federal Reserve shows a decline in inflation expectations from a peak of 3.6% in March and April to 3% in the latest survey, reflecting a significant drop [1] - Despite the overall stability in inflation expectations, consumers anticipate specific cost increases, such as a 4.2% rise in gasoline prices and a 9.3% increase in medical costs, the highest since June 2023 [2] Group 2 - The survey indicates a positive outlook on employment, with a 1.1 percentage point decrease in the likelihood of rising unemployment over the next year, and the proportion of respondents worried about job loss has fallen to 14%, the lowest since December of the previous year [2] - Long-term inflation expectations remain stable, with a 3% expectation for the next three years and 2.6% for the next five years, suggesting a controlled inflation environment [1]