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“50万亿高息存款到期”刷屏,固收+激增万亿规模
Feng Huang Wang· 2026-01-23 06:34
Core Insights - The discussion around the "50 trillion high-interest deposits maturing" has gained significant attention, stemming from the high-interest deposit campaigns initiated during the pandemic in 2020 and 2021, and the subsequent market conditions in 2022 and 2023 that led to passive savings behavior [1][6] - The estimated amount of funds that will be released ranges from 50 trillion to 70 trillion, with expectations that only a small portion will flow into equities, while the majority will likely be optimized within bank deposits and wealth management products [1][6] Group 1: Market Trends - The high-interest deposits maturing in 2026 include approximately 45 trillion to 50 trillion in one-year and above fixed-term deposits, with two-year and three-year deposits also contributing significantly [6] - The market for "fixed income plus" products is expected to grow as investors seek lower volatility options, with a notable increase in the scale of such funds, which reached 2.7 trillion by the end of 2025, marking a 58.4% increase from the previous year [6][7] Group 2: Product Development - Tencent's "Dajiying" brand has emerged as a significant player in the multi-asset allocation space, aiming for a target return of over 4% and emphasizing user profitability, with 98% of users reportedly achieving gains [2][4] - Ant Fund is also shifting its focus from product selection to asset allocation, promoting a diversified approach termed "New Three Golds" (money market funds, bond funds, and gold) to appeal to younger investors [4][5] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Several financial institutions, including China Merchants Bank and China Construction Bank, have launched successful multi-asset allocation products, setting industry benchmarks [1][2] - The competitive landscape is characterized by a variety of strategies within "fixed income plus" products, catering to different risk appetites, with firms like Invesco Great Wall and Huitianfu contributing significantly to the growth in this segment [7]