1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - FOF has become a highly - concerned category in the public - offering industry since 2026, with its scale exceeding 30 billion yuan, and the initial offering scale of multi - asset FOF exceeding 6 billion yuan in 2026. The average initial offering scale of single - FOF has reached a new high since 2018, and it is expected to break the historical record in 2026 [3][7][11]. - The public - offering FOF has entered the 3.0 era, focusing on developing multi - asset FOF under the demand for absolute returns. Since 2025, the top 20 FOFs in terms of initial offering scale are all multi - asset strategies, with the weighted position of the benchmark below 25%, mostly around 10% [12][15]. - The main channels of multi - asset FOF include exclusive bank plans (such as the Changying Plan of China Merchants Bank, the Longying Plan of China Construction Bank, and the Huitou Plan of Bank of China) and Internet platforms (such as the Stable Wealth Management of Ant Fortune and the Dajiaying of Tencent Financial Management) [20][23]. - Compared with low - position fixed - income plus funds, multi - asset FOF has higher returns and better maximum drawdown control in the past six months. Although the two types of products have similar trends in most periods, the excess correlation between them weakens significantly in some periods [56]. - Multi - asset FOF can achieve absolute returns through dynamic trading and position adjustment. Most multi - asset FOF were not sensitive to gold in October 2025 but became more sensitive in January 2026, and the sensitivity of some FOFs decreased after mid - March [88]. - The challenges of multi - asset FOF include the poor performance of investable superior assets, limited QDII fund quotas, and QDII fund premiums [4]. - Based on the Bootstrap method, a multi - asset allocation scheme can be achieved by superimposing common requirements such as drawdown/Sharpe on the probability space of asset returns. The annualized return of the long - term portfolio is generally between 5% - 7% since 2019 [4]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Multi - asset FOF: Product Positioning and Risk - return Preferences of 5 Major Channels - **Market Status**: In 2026, FOF has become a popular category in the public - offering industry. The total initial offering scale of public - offering funds is 260.404 billion yuan (274 funds), and the initial offering scale of FOF is 61.973 billion yuan (40 funds), accounting for 23.80% (14.60% in terms of quantity). The average initial offering scale of single - FOF is 1.549 billion yuan, a new high since 2018 [7][11]. - **Development Stages of Public - offering FOF**: It has gone through three stages: focusing on pension FOF before 2020, developing fixed - income plus FOF from 2020 - 2021, and developing multi - asset FOF since 2025 [15]. - **Product Channels**: - **Bank Exclusive Plans**: - **Changying Plan (China Merchants Bank)**: Launched in 2024, it provides a one - stop asset allocation solution with four product positions: Anwenying, Andingying, Anxinying, and Anyiying, each with different return targets, maximum drawdown targets, and equity positions [28][31]. - **Longying Plan (China Construction Bank)**: Launched in January 2026, it has four categories, with low - volatility multi - asset FOF and medium - low - volatility multi - asset FOF having existing targets, aiming to provide asset allocation services for mass investors [32][35]. - **Huitou Plan (Bank of China)**: Launched in January 2026, it creates four product lines: Huiwen (ultra - low - volatility positioning), Huiying (low - volatility positioning), Huili (medium - volatility positioning), and Huiyi (high - volatility positioning) [36][40]. - **Internet Platforms**: - **Stable Wealth Management (Ant Fortune)**: Aims for a return of 2% - 4%, mainly investing in fixed - income assets such as bonds, with a small amount of equity allocation. Currently, it mainly consists of pure - bond funds and first - tier bond funds, with few FOFs [44][48]. - **Dajiaying (Tencent Financial Management)**: Selects products based on users' actual profit situations, aiming for a return of over 4%. Currently, it mainly includes fixed - income plus funds, and Xingquan Youxuan Wenjian Six - month Holding is the only FOF selected so far [41][43]. 3.2 Strategy Comparison Analysis: How 15 Managers Achieve Absolute Returns - **Market Competitiveness**: Compared with low - position fixed - income plus funds, multi - asset FOF has a higher return of 2.27% and a better maximum drawdown of - 1.15% in the past six months, with a Calmar ratio of 4.68 [52][56]. - **Asset Allocation**: - **Equity Funds**: Some institutions mainly allocate active equity funds (such as Wells Fargo, E Fund), some mainly allocate passive funds (such as China Europe, GF Fund), some have a relatively balanced allocation (such as Xingquan, China Asset Management), and some do not directly invest in equity funds (such as Guotai, Southern Fund) [59]. - **Absolute Return and Bond Funds**: Some institutions prefer internal investment (such as Wells Fargo, China Europe), some prefer to allocate fixed - income plus funds (such as E Fund, GF Fund), and some do not allocate fixed - income plus funds (such as Guotai, Boshi) [69]. - **Commodity Funds**: Most institutions allocate gold, nearly half also allocate soybean meal ETFs. Guotai focuses on silver LOF, and Hua'an invests in energy - chemical ETFs and non - ferrous ETFs [70][73]. - **Direct Stock Investment**: Only nine representative products choose to invest directly in stocks, with high differentiation in configuration themes [76]. 3.3 Thoughts on the Product: 3 Challenges and the Application of the Multi - asset Back - testing Control Model - **Challenges**: - **Poor Performance of Investable Superior Assets**: When the US stocks and gold assets fluctuated in 2025, FOF also suffered drawdowns, and the diversification effect of multi - assets was limited [101][102]. - **Limited QDII Fund Quotas**: Domestic fund companies have limited QDII quotas, and multi - asset FOF cannot freely allocate QDII funds [103]. - **QDII Fund Premiums**: There have been three periods of high premium rates in history (2020, 2024, and 2025), mainly related to the overseas investment boom [107][108]. - **Multi - asset Back - testing Control Model**: Based on the probability space of asset returns, by superimposing common requirements such as drawdown/Sharpe, a multi - asset allocation scheme under the Bootstrap method can be achieved. Different drawdown targets (2%, 3.5%, 5%, 15%) lead to different asset allocation characteristics [110][111].

1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Views of the Report - In 2025, the scale of FOF funds rebounded against the trend, with the cumulative scale exceeding that at the end of 2021. The performance of all FOF achieved positive returns, and high - performing FOF continued the passive investment trend and some emphasized multi - asset allocation. FOF showed a preference for equity and other risk assets and continued to strengthen passive investment in Q3 2025. The scale of personal pension funds maintained a high growth rate. Customized FOF, such as the Changying Plan and Longying FOF, focused on multi - asset allocation. In 2026, FOF products with multi - asset and multi - strategy allocation capabilities have broad development prospects [1]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Scale Dimension: Which Type of FOF Funds Does the Market Pay More Attention to? - **Overall Scale Recovery**: In 2025, the number of new FOF funds increased to 93 from 38 in the previous year, and 43 FOF funds were liquidated. The total scale of FOF reached 238.376 billion yuan, an increase of 105.226 billion yuan compared to the end of 2024. The new - issue scale was 84.5 billion yuan, and the continuous - operation scale increased by about 20.696 billion yuan, ending three consecutive years of decline [9]. - **Outstanding New - issue Institutions**: Products托管 by China Merchants Bank were prominent in terms of scale and quantity, with a new - issue scale exceeding 40 billion yuan. Fund companies such as Fullgoal Fund, Orient Securities Asset Management, and Ping An Fund had new - issue scales exceeding 5 billion yuan [11]. - **Popularity of Changying Plan - Related FOF**: FOF products with large net subscriptions in 2025 were mostly bond - type FOF and fixed - income + FOF. The top 5 funds in net subscriptions were all from the Changying Plan. The top 10 funds in new - issue scale were mostly fixed - income + FOF or bond - type FOF, and 8 of them were托管 by China Merchants Bank [13]. - **Changes in Fund Company Scale**: In 2025, the scale of most leading fund managers increased, and the scale ranking changed significantly. Fullgoal Fund and E Fund's scale increased by over 10 billion yuan. Leading fund managers showed two layout characteristics: balanced layout in multiple types of FOF or specialization in a single track [16]. 3.2 Performance Dimension: High - performing FOF Continued the Passive Investment Trend, and Some Emphasized Multi - asset Allocation - **Positive Returns in 2025**: In 2025, all FOF achieved positive returns. The performance was positively correlated with the position, and equity - type FOF performed best with a median return of 25.25%, while bond - type FOF was relatively weak with a median return of 2.70%. Two FOF products exceeded 10 billion yuan in scale [20][21]. - **Investment Characteristics of High - performing FOF**: High - performing bond - type FOF generally allocated multi - assets such as commodities; high - performing fixed - income + FOF obtained returns from both fixed - income + and stock funds while having multi - asset allocation features; high - performing balanced - type FOF mainly adopted passive investment and focused on ETFs with themes of gold, TMT, and new energy; high - performing equity - type FOF further strengthened the theme concentration [25]. - **Outstanding Performance of Cathay Fund's FOF Team**: In 2025, Cathay Fund's FOF team performed outstandingly in various types of FOF, including bond - type, fixed - income +, balanced - type, and equity - type FOF [30]. 3.3 Investment Characteristics: The Allocation Ratio of A - share Equities Such as Active Equities Increased, and the Increase in Holdings in Q3 25 Showed a Preference for Technology and Advanced Manufacturing - **Multi - asset Allocation of Leading Managers**: Leading managers generally attached importance to multi - asset allocation, with different investment directions. Some focused on QDII stocks, some on mutual - recognition funds, and some on commodities [38]. - **Overall Market Characteristics**: In Q3 2025, FOF decreased the holding ratio of pure - bond funds and increased the attention to active and passive equity funds, showing a preference for risk assets and strengthening passive investment. The heavy - position funds showed a preference for A - share technology and advanced manufacturing assets [40]. 3.4 Personal Pension Funds: The Total Y - share Amounted to 1.2817 Billion Yuan As of Q3 2025, the scale of personal pension funds reached 1.2817 billion yuan, an increase of 1.983 billion yuan compared to Q2 25 and 3.99 billion yuan compared to the end of 2024. Pension target date funds were more popular, with a current scale of 7.803 billion yuan [49]. 3.5 Customized FOF: Changying Plan & Longying FOF - **Changying Plan**: Established in early 2025, the included products are all positioned as multi - asset allocation FOF, with different levels corresponding to different return and risk targets. The products in the plan met the return and risk requirements in 2025, with relatively low maximum drawdown rates and prominent risk - return ratios. Other new - issue FOF products托管 by China Merchants Bank also had similar multi - asset allocation characteristics [59][68]. - **Longying FOF**: Established in early 2026, initially only including multi - asset allocation FOF, and will expand to ETF - FOF and global investment FOF in the future. The included products mostly met the return/withdrawal limits in 2025 and had multi - asset allocation characteristics, with a greater focus on overseas investment [77][82]. - **Other Multi - asset Allocation FOF**: Some products, such as Orient Securities Pension and Zhongtai Tianze, have adhered to multi - asset allocation for a long time and achieved excellent performance in 2025. More than half of the new - issue FOF in 2025 emphasized multi - asset allocation in their performance comparison benchmarks [88][93]. - **Investment Strategy for 2026 FOF Funds**: FOF can achieve diversified investment through multi - asset allocation, improve the risk - return ratio of the investment portfolio, and create differentiated investment targets. Low - volatility FOF products represented by bond - type and fixed - income + have been favored by funds in recent years, and the development of multi - asset allocation FOF remains an important direction in the future [95].

Group 1: Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett - Warren Buffett officially handed over the CEO position of Berkshire Hathaway to Greg Abel after 60 years of leadership, achieving a 19.9% annualized compound return from 1964 to 2024, with a total return exceeding 5.5 million percent, significantly outperforming the market [1] - The company emphasizes that its core culture of long-term investment will continue despite the change in leadership, although the unique public influence and decision-making style of Buffett may change [1] Group 2: Chinese Credit Repair Policy - A new credit repair policy from the People's Bank of China allows individuals with overdue loans of no more than 10,000 yuan from 2020 to 2025 to have their overdue records cleared if repaid by March 31, 2026, aimed at helping those with damaged credit rebuild it efficiently [1] Group 3: Domestic GPU Companies - Shanghai Suiruan Technology has completed its IPO counseling, becoming the last of the "four domestic GPU dragons" to initiate the listing process, focusing on cloud AI chips with its latest products showing outstanding performance [2][6] - The company is collaborating with leading internet firms to advance the construction of AI training clusters, potentially reaching scales of tens of thousands of cards [2] Group 4: U.S. Stock Market and Interest Rate Expectations - The U.S. stock market was closed on New Year's Day, with a significant drop in the market prior due to cooling interest rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve, which has lowered the probability of a rate cut in January [3] - Market participants are closely monitoring the "January effect" and overall market trends, with differing views on the prospects of a tech-led bull market [3] Group 5: Gold Prices and Market Trends - Gold prices have reached historical highs over 50 times in a year, driven by global economic uncertainty, increased geopolitical risks, and ongoing central bank purchases of gold, as investors seek gold as a key asset for value preservation [4] Group 6: U.S. Dollar Index and Federal Reserve Leadership - The U.S. dollar index ended 2025 with its largest annual decline in eight years, down approximately 8%, with expectations that a dovish successor to Powell could lead to further dollar weakness [5] - The selection of the new Federal Reserve chair will be crucial in determining the dollar's trajectory in 2026, with potential candidates like Hassett and Waller being closely watched [5] Group 7: Commercial Aerospace IPOs - New regulations from the Shanghai Stock Exchange allow commercial aerospace companies with zero revenue and negative profits to apply for IPOs if they meet certain criteria, accelerating the listing process for unicorns in the sector [7] - This move is expected to open up financing channels for the commercial aerospace industry, benefiting major stakeholders like Goldwind Technology and Zhangjiang Hi-Tech [7] Group 8: Fat Donglai Group's Sales Performance - Fat Donglai Group reported sales exceeding 23.5 billion yuan in 2025, significantly surpassing the founder's target of 20 billion yuan, with the supermarket segment contributing over 12.6 billion yuan [8] Group 9: Moutai's Marketing Strategy - The iMoutai platform launched a regular offering of the 1,499 yuan Flying Moutai, marking a shift towards a fully market-oriented marketing system aimed at stabilizing prices and reducing speculation [9] - This strategy includes a product matrix that promotes a diverse range of offerings beyond the flagship Flying Moutai, transitioning the marketing focus from product-driven to consumer-driven [9] Group 10: Nuclear Power Developments - The Zhangzhou Nuclear Power Unit 2 has officially commenced commercial operation, marking the completion of the first phase of the project utilizing China's self-developed third-generation nuclear technology, "Hualong One" [10] - The unit is expected to generate an annual output of 10 billion kilowatt-hours, contributing to energy structure optimization and supporting carbon neutrality goals [10]

Report Title - In the Era of Multi - asset Investments, Riding the Waves: Outlook for the Public Offering FOF Business and Product Layout in 2026 [1] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Since Q4 2024, the overall scale of public offering FOFs has rebounded, reaching a new high since Q4 2022, mainly due to China Merchants Bank's "Long - term Prosperity Plan" and the increasing market recognition of multi - asset allocation for achieving fixed - income plus returns after the rapid decline in interest rates [10]. - Multi - asset low - volatility FOFs face issues such as potential overcrowding, reliance on the performance of gold and US stocks, and the need to build competitiveness through further asset diversification, strategy specialization, and product differentiation [49][54]. - High - volatility FOFs have a natural advantage in the personal pension Y - share market, and in the new regulatory environment, they can evolve in directions such as building low - volatility products under the same benchmark and making style - based asset allocations [103][114] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Public Offering FOF Industry Status - **Scale and Product Trends**: After years of overall decline, the scale of public offering FOFs started to rebound in Q4 2024, with positive net inflows for three consecutive quarters. The "Long - term Prosperity Plan" of China Merchants Bank brought about a scale of approximately 60 billion yuan, driving the development of the FOF industry. Most FOFs with large scale growth and initial issuance in 2025 belong to the "Long - term Prosperity Plan", mainly bond FOFs or fixed - income plus FOFs [10][12]. - **Asset Allocation**: Multi - asset allocation has become a common choice for FOFs. In Q3 2025, leading fund managers generally increased their allocation to QDII, mutual - recognition funds, and commodities while maintaining their allocation to active equity, fixed - income plus, and pure - bond funds [17]. - **Personal Pension Y - share**: In Q3, the scale of personal pension funds reached 12.817 billion yuan, a significant increase from Q2 2025. Pension target - date funds are more popular, and high - equity - position products in personal pension accounts are more favored. The scale of equity - type and 2050 - series FOFs increased significantly [28][32] 3.2 Next Evolution Direction of Multi - asset Investments - **Asset - side**: To overcome the "reliance on gold and US stocks", multi - asset FOFs should further diversify and increase sources of returns. Public REITs can be considered as a substitute for bonds, and commodity - type funds such as non - ferrous metal futures, chemical futures, and soybean meal futures can enhance the diversification effect of FOFs [56][64]. - **Strategy - side**: The ability to be familiar with alternative assets can be a competitive barrier for multi - asset investment. Multi - asset allocation frameworks can be labeled, transparent, and tool - based. The deployment of various assets under a stable allocation framework tests the tactical ability of fund managers, and the deployment models can be macro - driven, risk - driven, or value - driven [69][82] - **Multi - asset + Multi - strategy**: If bond yields remain low in the long term, multi - asset low - volatility FOFs can reduce bond allocation and adopt a multi - asset + multi - strategy model. By strategizing single assets and combining them with a risk - parity weighting, a quasi - absolute - return strategy can be formed [92] 3.3 Future of High - volatility FOFs - **Natural Battlefield - Personal Pension Y - share**: High - volatility FOFs are more popular in the personal pension Y - share market. The "search for lower points" model can be adopted in the Y - share business to promote the development of the third pillar of pensions [103]. - **Friendly Environment from High - quality Public Offering Development**: The high - quality development of the public offering industry provides a more favorable environment for FOFs. Due to their low - volatility characteristics, FOFs can offer better returns to investors [109]. - **Evolution Direction in the New Regulatory Environment**: In the new regulatory era with clear performance benchmarks, high - volatility FOFs can build low - volatility products under the same benchmark, improve the holding experience, and make style - based asset allocations to adapt to different market conditions [114][117]