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安踏体育(02020.HK):AMER三季度业绩优异多品牌战略带来更多经营韧性
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-22 03:55
Group 1: Amer Sports Performance - Amer Sports reported a strong Q3 performance with a 30% year-on-year revenue growth and a 22% increase in operating profit, exceeding market expectations [1] - All four major regional markets achieved double-digit revenue growth, with the Greater China region seeing a remarkable 47% increase [1] - Amer has raised its full-year revenue growth forecast for 2025 from 20%-21% to 23%-24%, reflecting its effective global multi-brand operational capabilities [1] Group 2: Anta Brand Outlook - The market has adjusted its expectations for Anta's main brand revenue growth, leading to a decline in stock price since August [2] - Revenue growth for Anta's main brand has decreased from high single digits in Q1 to low single digits in Q2 and Q3, prompting downward revisions of annual revenue forecasts [2] - Despite short-term pressures due to overall consumer sluggishness and adjustments in offline channels and e-commerce teams, improvements in the main brand's performance are anticipated starting in 2026 [2] Group 3: Fila and Other Brands - Fila has shown robust growth, ranking first in Tmall's sports and outdoor sales, while Descente and KOLON are expected to continue their high growth momentum [3] - The recent Double Eleven sales event indicated strong performance for Fila, Descente, and KOLON, with Fila projected to achieve mid-single-digit growth for the year [3] - Earnings forecasts have been adjusted, with expected earnings per share for 2025-2027 being 4.69, 5.29, and 6.02 RMB respectively, and a target price of 112.89 HKD based on a 22x PE valuation for 2025 [3]
42%暴涨的中国市场,也难掩始祖鸟的失速
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-08-23 03:17
Core Insights - Amer Sports reported a strong performance in Q2 2025, with revenue increasing by 23% year-on-year to $1.236 billion and net profit turning positive at $18.2 million, compared to a loss of $4 million in the same period last year [2][4] Financial Performance - Gross margin improved by 270 basis points to 58.5%, while adjusted gross margin rose by 250 basis points to 58.7% [2] - Operating profit surged by 614% to $44 million, with adjusted operating profit increasing by 130% to $67 million, including a government subsidy of $19 million received in Q2 [2] - Net profit increased from a loss of $4 million to $18 million, with adjusted net profit growing by 46% to $36 million [2] Regional Performance - Revenue in Greater China reached $410 million, up 42% year-on-year; Asia-Pacific revenue grew by 45% to $155 million; Americas revenue increased by 6% to $395 million; and EMEA revenue rose by 18% to $276 million [3] Future Guidance - Amer Sports raised its full-year revenue guidance, expecting a growth of 20%-21% for FY2025, despite challenges from tariffs on imports from China [4] Brand Dynamics - Salomon's revenue growth outpaced Arc'teryx, with Salomon's outdoor segment growing by 35% compared to Arc'teryx's 23% in Q2 [6] - Salomon's footwear business is becoming a significant growth driver for Amer Sports, with the number of Salomon stores increasing by 58% to 256, while Arc'teryx stores grew by only 12% to 227 [7] Challenges Ahead - The $19 million government subsidy played a crucial role in profit improvement, and without it, profitability would be significantly lower [9] - Inventory levels rose by 29% year-on-year to $1.597 billion, raising concerns about potential overstocking issues [9] - The company faces challenges from rising costs in channels, marketing, and labor, alongside macroeconomic uncertainties related to tariffs and slowing growth in Arc'teryx [10]
纺织服装海外跟踪系列六十三:亚玛芬二季度萨洛蒙所在业务收入和利润增长领先,管理层上调全年指引
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-21 15:21
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][24]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that Amer Sports' revenue and profit growth in Q2 2025 exceeded previous guidance and Bloomberg consensus expectations, driven by the Salomon brand, DTC channels, and strong performance in Greater China and the Asia-Pacific region. The management has raised the full-year revenue and EPS guidance [2][3][24]. - In Q2 2025, Amer Sports reported a revenue increase of 23% year-on-year to $1.236 billion, with an adjusted net profit growth of 46% to $36 million. The gross margin reached a historical high, and the adjusted operating profit margin surpassed Bloomberg consensus expectations [5][6][24]. - The management's guidance for 2025 indicates a revenue growth of 20-21%, with an expected EPS of $0.77-$0.82, reflecting confidence in the company's performance [20][22][24]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, Amer Sports' revenue grew by 23% to $1.236 billion, significantly above Bloomberg's consensus of 18.2% and the company's prior guidance of 16-18% [5][6]. - The adjusted gross margin increased to 58.7%, exceeding both Bloomberg's expectation of 57.9% and the management's guidance of 57-58% [6][24]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 was $138 million, reflecting a 69.3% year-on-year increase [4][6]. Business Segments - All three major business segments reported double-digit growth: - Technical Apparel revenue increased by 23.5% - Outdoor Performance revenue surged by 35.3% - Ball & Racquet revenue rose by 10.7% [2][8][12]. - The DTC channel saw a 40% increase in revenue, accounting for 52% of total sales, while wholesale grew by 9% [5][12][24]. Regional Performance - Revenue growth by region was as follows: - Greater China: +42% - Asia-Pacific: +45% - North America: +6% - EMEA: +18% [5][12][24]. - The Greater China region significantly outperformed expectations, contributing to the overall revenue growth [12][24]. Management Guidance - The management has raised the full-year revenue growth forecast to 20-21%, with an adjusted gross margin target of approximately 57.5% and an adjusted operating profit margin of 11.8-12.2% [20][22][24]. - The adjusted diluted EPS guidance has been increased to $0.77-$0.82, up from the previous $0.67-$0.72 [20][22][24].