证券研究报告 【AI金融新纪元】系列报告（四） ——金融与AI融合持续深化 证券分析师 ：孙婷 执业证书编号：S0600524120001 联系邮箱：sut@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 ：武欣姝 执业证书编号：S0600524060001 联系邮箱：wuxs@dwzq.com.cn 二零二五年六月十一日 引言：IT电子化→互联网金融→AI金融，金融与科技融合持续深化 2004年之前 2004年-2010年 2010年-2022年 2023年-至今 ⚫ 中国金融与技术的融合始于20 世纪80年代，互联网及数字技 术出现，传统金融机构受到提 高工作效率等需求推动，开始 通过传统IT软硬件实现办公自 动化、电子化，实现业务升级。 IT部门、银行卡、ATM、证券 交易所等线下部门快速普及。 ⚫ 互联网在中国迅速发展，2008 年牛市下PC端金融网络门户 兴起，新浪、搜狐、网易等传 统门户财经频道日益成熟，和 讯网、金融界、证券之星等垂 直财经网址厚积薄发。但是受 限于时代条件，互联网金融领 域仍处于起步阶段。东方财富 后来居上，成为该阶段的集大 成者。 ⚫ 2009年移动应用市场兴起， 财经类移动APP开始出 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 report shows a decline in total revenue by 14% year-on-year to 1 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 186% year-on-year to 31 million yuan [1] - The decline in revenue is attributed to reduced income from asset management technology services, risk and platform technology services, and operational and institutional technology services [7] - Investment income saw a significant increase of 2635% year-on-year to 55 million yuan, contributing to the overall profit despite the revenue drop [7] Revenue and Profit Analysis - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 7,281 million yuan, with a projected decline in 2024A to 6,581 million yuan, followed by a recovery to 7,551 million yuan in 2025E [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1,424 million yuan in 2023A, decreasing to 1,043 million yuan in 2024A, and then recovering to 1,199 million yuan in 2025E [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023A is 0.75 yuan, projected to decrease to 0.55 yuan in 2024A, and then increase to 0.63 yuan in 2025E [1] Business Segment Performance - Wealth technology service revenue decreased by 5% year-on-year to 235 million yuan in Q1 2025 [7] - Asset management technology service revenue saw a significant decline of 34% year-on-year to 187 million yuan [7] - Operational and institutional technology service revenue decreased by 9% year-on-year to 212 million yuan [7] - Risk and platform technology service revenue decreased by 43% year-on-year to 56 million yuan [7] Cost Structure - Overall costs decreased, with operating costs down by 2% year-on-year to 362 million yuan [7] - Sales expenses decreased by 32% year-on-year to 85 million yuan, with a sales expense ratio of 8% [7] - Management expenses decreased by 11% year-on-year to 145 million yuan, with a management expense ratio of 14% [7] - Research and development expenses decreased by 11% year-on-year to 500 million yuan, with a research expense ratio of 49% [7] Future Outlook - The company maintains its previous performance forecasts, expecting net profits of 1.2 billion yuan, 1.4 billion yuan, and 1.7 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to P/E ratios of 46, 40, and 33 times respectively [7] - The overall recovery of the capital market is anticipated, although significant growth in technology investment from financial institutions has not yet been observed [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a 14% year-on-year decline in total revenue for Q1 2025, amounting to 1 billion yuan, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 186% to 31 million yuan [1] - The decline in revenue was primarily due to reduced income from asset management technology services, risk and platform technology services, and operational and institutional technology services [7] - Investment income saw a significant increase of 2635% year-on-year to 55 million yuan, contributing to the overall profit growth [7] Revenue and Profit Analysis - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 7,281 million yuan, with a projected decline of 9.62% in 2024A, followed by a recovery to 7,551 million yuan in 2025E, and further growth to 10,156 million yuan by 2027E [1][18] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1,199 million yuan in 2025E, with a growth trajectory leading to 1,654 million yuan by 2027E [1][18] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 0.63 yuan in 2025E, increasing to 0.87 yuan by 2027E [1][18] Business Segment Performance - Wealth technology service revenue decreased by 5% to 235 million yuan, while asset management technology service revenue dropped by 34% to 187 million yuan [7] - Operational and institutional technology service revenue fell by 9% to 212 million yuan, and risk and platform technology service revenue decreased by 43% to 56 million yuan [7] - Other business segments showed varied performance, with data services and innovation business revenues declining by 10% and 9% respectively, while corporate finance and insurance core services increased by 19% [7] Cost Structure - Overall costs decreased, with operating costs down by 2% to 362 million yuan [7] - Sales expenses saw a significant reduction of 32% to 85 million yuan, while management expenses decreased by 11% to 145 million yuan [7] - R&D expenses remained stable, with a slight increase in the R&D expense ratio to 49% [7] Future Outlook - The company maintains its previous performance forecasts, expecting net profits of 1,200 million yuan in 2025, 1,400 million yuan in 2026, and 1,700 million yuan in 2027, corresponding to P/E ratios of 46, 40, and 33 respectively [7][18] - The overall recovery of the capital market is anticipated, although significant growth in technology investments by financial institutions has yet to be observed [7]