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银轮股份(002126):汽车热管理龙头 拓展算力、机器人新成长曲线
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 00:33
Core Viewpoint - The company, a leader in automotive thermal management, is expanding into new growth areas such as data centers and robotics, showing strong revenue and profit growth with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22% in revenue and 43% in net profit from 2022 to 2024 [1] Group 1: Business Expansion and Growth - The company has diversified its business into four growth curves: commercial vehicle off-road, new energy thermal management, digital and energy thermal management, and artificial intelligence and robotics [1] - The passenger vehicle segment is leading the growth, while the digital energy business is rapidly expanding, and the commercial vehicle and off-road segments are providing stable contributions [1] - The company has achieved a historical high in overseas revenue, which accounted for 24% of total revenue in the first half of 2025, with significant improvements in profitability from international operations [1] Group 2: Digital Energy and AI Cooling - The demand for liquid cooling in data centers is expected to accelerate, driven by high capital expenditures in the domestic internet sector and AI applications [2] - The company has secured 301 orders for data center liquid cooling systems, with a total capacity of 500 MW, indicating a strong market presence [2] - The digital and energy segment is projected to contribute an additional annual sales revenue of 637 million yuan after mass production [2] Group 3: Acquisition and Strategic Moves - The company plans to acquire a controlling stake in Deep Blue Co., focusing on energy storage temperature control and HVAC systems, which will enhance its capabilities in data center liquid cooling and energy storage [3] - The automotive sector is transitioning towards electrification and intelligence, increasing the thermal management value per vehicle, with the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China expected to reach 56% in 2025 [3] Group 4: Market Position and R&D - The company has established a comprehensive product layout, including battery thermal management systems and various components, with over 1,000 effective patents and a research and development expense ratio of over 4% [4] - The company has entered the supply chains of numerous leading domestic and international clients, including major automotive manufacturers [4] - The humanoid robotics market is anticipated to grow significantly, with the company positioning itself to leverage synergies between robotics and automotive clients [4][5] Group 5: Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 15.211 billion yuan, 17.952 billion yuan, and 20.978 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-over-year growth rates of 19.8%, 18.0%, and 16.9% respectively [6] - The projected net profits for the same period are 973 million yuan, 1.255 billion yuan, and 1.577 billion yuan, with year-over-year growth rates of 24.2%, 29.0%, and 25.7% respectively [6]
银轮股份(002126):数字能源业务快速增长,持续获得新项目定点
Orient Securities· 2025-04-20 07:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 30.24 CNY, based on a projected PE ratio of 24 times for 2025 [2][6]. Core Views - The company's digital energy business is experiencing rapid growth, continuously acquiring new projects, which is expected to become a new growth driver [1][10]. - The financial forecasts have been adjusted, with EPS estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 set at 1.26 CNY, 1.63 CNY, and 2.02 CNY respectively, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [2][10]. - The company achieved a revenue of 12.70 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 15.3%, with a net profit of 784 million CNY, up 28.0% [10]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 15.28 billion CNY, 18.14 billion CNY, and 21.50 billion CNY, respectively, indicating growth rates of 20.3%, 18.8%, and 18.5% [4][10]. - **Profitability Metrics**: The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 20.1% in 2024 to 21.7% by 2027, while net profit margins are projected to rise from 6.2% to 7.9% over the same period [4][10]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is forecasted to grow from 0.94 CNY in 2024 to 2.02 CNY in 2027, reflecting a strong upward trend in profitability [4][10]. - **Valuation Ratios**: The company’s PE ratio is expected to decrease from 24.6 in 2024 to 11.4 in 2027, indicating an attractive valuation as earnings grow [4][10].