Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xianhe Co., Ltd. (603733.SH) [1] Core Insights - The company achieved significant revenue growth driven by increased production and sales, although some product price reductions impacted profit performance in the first half of 2025 [5][6] - The company reported a revenue of 5.99 billion yuan for 1H2025, a year-on-year increase of 30.1%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 13.8% to 470 million yuan [5][6] - The production of specialty pulp paper reached 1.108 million tons in 1H2025, a 98.6% increase year-on-year, with sales volume at 833,000 tons, up 62.3% [6] - The company is expanding its production capacity with new lines in Hubei and Guangxi, which are expected to enhance revenue and profitability in the long term [6][9] Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - 1H2025 revenue was 5.99 billion yuan, up 30.1% year-on-year; 1Q2025 revenue was 2.99 billion yuan, up 35.4%, while 2Q2025 revenue was 3.00 billion yuan, up 25.3% [5][6] Production and Sales - Specialty pulp paper production reached 1.108 million tons in 1H2025, with sales of 833,000 tons; the company is increasing its market presence through international sales, which generated 420 million yuan in revenue, a 15.4% increase [6] Profitability - The gross margin for 1H2025 was 13.7%, down 4.0 percentage points year-on-year; the second quarter gross margin was 12.8%, down 4.6 percentage points year-on-year and 1.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [7] - The report anticipates a recovery in profitability in the second half of 2025 as prices stabilize and production efficiency improves [8][9] Financial Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is adjusted to 1.098 billion yuan, with EPS estimates of 1.55 yuan for 2025, 1.89 yuan for 2026, and 2.30 yuan for 2027 [9][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is currently "No Rating" [1] Core Views - The company has shown a revenue increase of 20.1% year-on-year in H1 2025, reaching 4.122 billion yuan, although the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 47.7% to 122 million yuan [2][3] - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in demand and a bottoming out of pulp prices, leading to potential improvements in profitability in Q3 2025 [3] - The company is accelerating its capacity expansion, with a total designed capacity of 2.444 million tons as of H1 2025, which includes various product categories [5] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company's revenue from different product categories was as follows: food packaging paper at 1.308 billion yuan (down 18.2%), daily consumer series at 1.157 billion yuan (down 1.7%), cultural paper at 447 million yuan (down 12.7%), and industrial packaging paper at 1.079 billion yuan (new category) [4] - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 7.7%, a decrease of 3.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 2.7%, down 3.1 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The company’s operating cash flow for Q2 2025 was -17 million yuan, indicating short-term fluctuations, but the operational capability remains stable with inventory turnover days at 50.15 [6] Profit Forecast - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is expected to be 321 million yuan, 520 million yuan, and 699 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18.5X, 11.4X, and 8.5X [6][7]