Macro Strategy - The report highlights that government bonds support the improvement of social financing, while an active stock market boosts M2 growth, downplaying the negative growth in monthly loans [1][16] - In July 2025, new social financing reached 1.16 trillion yuan, an increase of 389.3 billion yuan year-on-year, with government bond financing being a major contributor [16][17] - The M2 growth rate increased by 0.5 percentage points to 8.8% in July 2025, driven by an active stock market and improved fiscal spending [16][17] Fixed Income Analysis - The report discusses the comparative value of non-ETF component bonds in the sci-tech bond market, suggesting a shift towards these bonds for better liquidity and potential inclusion in ETF [1][18] - The analysis indicates that the credit spreads of non-ETF component bonds are generally higher than those of ETF component bonds, suggesting a larger selection of bonds with compression potential [1][19] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the performance of sci-tech bonds in the context of market fluctuations and the potential for future inclusion in ETFs [1][19] Industry Insights - The "anti-involution" policy is compared to the supply-side reform, indicating a shift in focus towards new industries such as renewable energy, semiconductors, and high-end equipment [2][22] - The report notes that the current economic environment shows signs of structural and institutional overcapacity, particularly in emerging industries like photovoltaics and lithium batteries [2][22] - The analysis suggests that the "anti-involution" policy aims to enhance quality development rather than merely reducing capacity, with a focus on market-driven measures [2][22] Company Recommendations - Jinlang Technology is projected to benefit from increased demand in Europe and Asia, with a forecasted net profit growth of 68% in 2025 [8] - Upme Holdings is expected to achieve significant profit growth through its multi-brand strategy, with a projected net profit increase of 42.3% in 2025 [9] - Nasda is recognized as a leading domestic printer manufacturer, with a focus on enhancing competitiveness through R&D investments [10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Nasta (002180) is positioned as a leading domestic printer manufacturer with strengthening competitiveness, supported by the introduction of national standards for information security and testing [1][3] - The new 3.0 version of the evaluation guidelines from the China Information Security Testing Center is expected to enhance the demand for domestic components in printers, which will likely lead to an increase in market share for Nasta's brand, Bantu [1] - Bantu has established a strategic partnership with Huawei, adapting over 200 products to the HarmonyOS, which is anticipated to further solidify its position in the domestic market [1] Group 2 - Nasta's self-developed A3 laser printer is set to launch in 2024, with performance metrics showing significant improvements, including a world record for continuous printing [1] - The company is actively expanding into the high-end printer market, which is expected to drive up product average prices and gross margins [1] - The report predicts a decrease in EPS for 2025 and 2026 due to the sale of Lexmark and increased R&D investments, but maintains a positive outlook on market share growth and product introductions [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company is a leading domestic printer manufacturer with continuously strengthening competitiveness. The introduction of national standards for information security is expected to enhance the market share of its products [8] - The company has made significant advancements in its product performance, particularly with the launch of its A3 laser printer and the "Kangda" series, which has set a world record for continuous printing [8] - The report anticipates that the company's market share will continue to grow due to its strategic partnerships and the increasing demand for domestic products in the printing sector [8] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is projected to increase from 24,062 million RMB in 2023 to 33,892 million RMB in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.12% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from a loss of 6,185.11 million RMB in 2023 to a profit of 2,394.04 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a significant recovery and growth trajectory [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to improve from -4.35 RMB in 2023 to 1.68 RMB in 2027, indicating a strong turnaround in profitability [1] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 23.76 RMB, with a market capitalization of approximately 33,783.84 million RMB [6] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 45.09 in 2024 to 14.11 in 2027, suggesting an improving valuation as earnings grow [1][6] Operational Highlights - The company has successfully adapted over 200 products to the Huawei HarmonyOS, enhancing its competitive edge in the domestic market [8] - The report notes that the company has established partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, which will support its growth in the automotive chip sector [8]