气象预报模型
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“十四五”时期我国气象现代化水平快速提升 气象服务覆盖国民经济70多个行业大类
Yang Guang Wang· 2025-10-12 01:52
Core Insights - The Chinese meteorological service has significantly improved its capabilities during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, integrating digital meteorology into urban management and covering over 70 major industries in the national economy [1][2] Group 1: Technological Advancements - The China Meteorological Administration has established 39 key open laboratories, 44 field scientific experiment bases, and 6 new research institutions, showcasing a leap from following and catching up to leading in certain areas of meteorological technology [1] - Advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence, big data, and quantum technology are increasingly integrated into meteorological applications, with models like "Fenglei," "Fengqing," "Fengshun," and "Fengyu" achieving international advanced levels [1][2] Group 2: Service Improvements - The intelligent digital forecasting system can predict regional heavy rain, high temperatures, and cold waves 3 to 7 days in advance, major national weather events 15 days ahead, global climate anomalies 6 months in advance, and climate annual forecasts 1 year ahead [2] - Economic losses due to meteorological disasters have decreased by an average of 0.12 percentage points of GDP during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, indicating improved effectiveness in meteorological services for national economic and public welfare [2] Group 3: Future Directions - The meteorological service aims to continue modernizing its technological capabilities and social services, contributing to national strategies and improving the daily lives of citizens, thereby writing a new chapter in China's modernization [2]
气象科技能力现代化和社会服务现代化加快推进(权威发布·高质量完成“十四五”规划)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-10-12 01:02
Core Insights - The Chinese meteorological sector has made significant advancements in high-quality development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with a projected increase of 18.35% in the national meteorological high-quality development index by 2024 compared to 2020 [1] Group 1: Technological Advancements - The meteorological technology has achieved a high level of self-reliance, with advancements in satellite, radar, and observation systems, leading to a leap from following and catching up to partially leading in certain areas [2] - A comprehensive meteorological observation system has been established, consisting of 9 Fengyun satellites, 842 weather radars, and over 90,000 ground observation stations, resulting in an 83% monitoring rate for severe weather [2] - The accuracy of weather forecasts has reached historical highs, with capabilities to predict regional heavy rain and other significant weather events well in advance [3] Group 2: Disaster Prevention and Mitigation - The meteorological sector has strengthened its role as the first line of defense against disasters, implementing a proactive emergency response mechanism based on meteorological warnings [4] - A progressive meteorological service model has been established, allowing for detailed and timely warnings that support local governments in disaster prevention and mitigation efforts [5][6] - The implementation of these mechanisms has proven effective, as demonstrated by the successful evacuation of 3,904 individuals during severe weather events in Yunnan province [7] Group 3: Economic and Social Impact - Meteorological services have significantly impacted over 70 sectors of the national economy, with a noted decrease of 0.12 percentage points in GDP loss due to meteorological disasters during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [9] - Artificial weather modification efforts have resulted in approximately 1,677 billion tons of additional precipitation, while hail prevention efforts have saved around 60.3 billion yuan in economic losses [9] - Enhanced meteorological services have improved public safety and quality of life, with services covering over 50,000 tourist attractions and providing health-related weather warnings [9] Group 4: International Cooperation - The Chinese meteorological department has strengthened international cooperation, providing early warning systems to over 40 countries and expanding its global service network [10][11] - The Fengyun meteorological satellites have increased their service reach, now supporting 133 countries and regions, with a 107% growth in access to the application service platform during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [10]
“十四五”时期气象高质量发展成效显著 气象科技能力现代化和社会服务现代化加快推进
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-10-11 23:14
Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period has seen significant achievements in the modernization of meteorological technology and social services, with a focus on building a modern meteorological system that is technologically advanced, precise in monitoring and forecasting, and satisfactory to the public [5][14]. Group 1: Meteorological Technology Development - Meteorological technology has made solid progress in self-reliance and strength, with advancements in satellite, radar, and observation systems, achieving a leap from following and catching up to leading in some areas [7]. - A comprehensive meteorological observation system has been established, consisting of 9 meteorological satellites, 842 weather radars, and over 90,000 ground observation stations, with a disaster weather monitoring rate increased to 83% [7]. - The accuracy of meteorological forecasts has reached historical highs, with capabilities to predict regional heavy rain and extreme weather events well in advance [8]. Group 2: Disaster Prevention and Mitigation - Meteorology serves as the first line of defense against disaster prevention and mitigation, with a focus on transforming technological innovations into practical outcomes for disaster risk reduction [9]. - A proactive emergency response mechanism has been established, with meteorological disaster warnings serving as key conditions for emergency actions across provinces [9][11]. - The implementation of a progressive meteorological service model has enhanced the precision of disaster warnings, allowing for timely responses to extreme weather events [10][11]. Group 3: Economic and Social Impact - Meteorological services have significantly contributed to national economic development, covering over 70 major industry categories, and have integrated digital meteorology into urban management platforms [14]. - The cumulative artificial rainfall during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period has increased precipitation by approximately 1,677 billion tons, while hail prevention efforts have reduced economic losses by about 60.3 billion yuan [14]. - Meteorological services have improved public safety and quality of life, with health-related weather warnings gaining popularity among the public [14]. Group 4: International Cooperation and Future Plans - The meteorological department has strengthened international cooperation to assist countries in addressing climate change, with a focus on building meteorological capacity in developing nations [15][16]. - The "MAZU" early warning system has been developed to provide tailored solutions for disaster early warning, already implemented in over 40 countries [15]. - Future plans include leveraging artificial intelligence and new technologies to enhance global climate governance and disaster risk reduction efforts [16].