Core Viewpoint - Tuhu Car Service reported a revenue of 7.88 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.5%, with adjusted net profit reaching 410 million yuan, up 14.6% year-on-year, indicating strong market competitiveness and profit growth potential, maintaining a "strong buy" investment rating [1] Revenue Performance - The company's revenue for H1 2025 was 7.88 billion yuan, with automotive products and services contributing 7.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.8% [1] - Revenue from tires, chassis components, and automotive repair segments grew by 10.8%, driven by enhanced online marketing and expansion of Tuhu's workshop network [1] - Revenue from other products and services increased by 16.1%, primarily due to higher contributions from car cleaning and beauty services [1] - Advertising, franchise, and other service revenues amounted to 515 million yuan, up 6.6% year-on-year [1] Store Network and User Growth - As of H1 2025, Tuhu's workshop count reached 7,205, a net increase of 894 stores, representing a 14% year-on-year growth [2] - The coverage rate in counties with over 20,000 passenger vehicles increased to 70%, up 5 percentage points year-on-year, with over 60% of new stores located in second-tier and lower cities [2] - The number of active users on the Tuhu app reached 26.5 million, a year-on-year increase of 23.8%, with average monthly active users at 13.5 million, up 17.5% [2] Profitability and Margin Analysis - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 25.2%, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to increased price sensitivity among consumers and external factors such as tariffs [3] - Adjusted net profit of 410 million yuan exceeded market expectations, reflecting a 14.6% year-on-year increase [3] - Long-term profit growth potential is supported by steady store expansion and operational efficiency improvements, with projected adjusted net profits of 786 million, 899 million, and 1.05 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [2][3]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 7.88 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.5%, and an adjusted net profit of 410 million yuan, up 14.6% year-on-year, indicating robust revenue growth and profit exceeding expectations [2][6]. - The long-term profit growth potential is viewed positively due to the company's solid market competitiveness and ongoing expansion of its store network [2][6]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 13.601 billion yuan - 2024: 14.759 billion yuan (growth of 8.5%) - 2025E: 16.364 billion yuan (growth of 10.9%) - 2026E: 17.737 billion yuan (growth of 8.4%) - 2027E: 19.106 billion yuan (growth of 7.7%) [3][8]. - Adjusted net profit estimates are: - 2023: 481 million yuan - 2024: 624 million yuan (growth of 29.7%) - 2025E: 786 million yuan (growth of 25.9%) - 2026E: 899 million yuan (growth of 14.4%) - 2027E: 1.051 billion yuan (growth of 16.9%) [3][8]. - The company’s earnings per share (Non-GAAP) are projected to be: - 2023: 0.59 yuan - 2024: 0.76 yuan - 2025E: 0.96 yuan - 2026E: 1.10 yuan - 2027E: 1.28 yuan [3][9]. Market Position and Expansion - As of the first half of 2025, the company has expanded its store network to 7,205 locations, a net increase of 894 stores year-on-year, with a coverage rate of 70% in counties with over 20,000 passenger vehicles [6][8]. - The company has seen a 23.8% year-on-year increase in transaction users on its app, reaching 26.5 million, with an average monthly active user count of 13.5 million, up 17.5% year-on-year [6][8]. Valuation - The target valuation for the company is set at 26.3 HKD per share, with the current stock price at 20.74 HKD [3][4].