展望2026年，摩根资产管理中国副总经理兼投资总监杜猛指出，随着中国产业全球竞争力的提升，国际投资者正重新审视中国资产的配置价 值，中国资产的长期价值重估进程仍在持续，看好2026年市场结构性机会。他进一步强调，在当前市场分化格局下，判断优质资产应突破"新 旧行业"的传统框架，回归产业需求是否稳定增长以及现金流能否持续这一核心逻辑。 从细分投资风格来看，权益投资团队均衡成长组组长兼资深基金经理李博认为，2026年科技成长风格有望保持相对优势。一方面，中国经济处 在转型升级关键期，以科技为代表的新经济或是未来增长更快、更具活力的部分；另一方面，从产业趋势看，AI已进入实质性发展阶段，海 外科技巨头与国内大厂的持续资本开支，带动从能源基础设施到终端应用的全链条，产业发展趋势明确。在经济温和复苏与企业盈利回升的预 期下，运用"价值成长"策略，结合未来三年复合增速、合理估值水平及PEG等核心指标，仍有望筛选出较多增长潜力持续且估值合理的优质公 司。 权益均衡与价值组组长兼资深基金经理倪权生则从资产配置角度解析，认为随着经济基本面趋稳及部分行业格局优化，具备竞争优势的优质上 市公司有望提供更优的股东回报，使得股票资产的 ...

专题：2025基金行业年终大盘点：公募规模近36万亿元，主动权益重夺主场，"冠军基"揭榜倒计时 在岁末年初之际，2026年权益市场将如何演绎成为投资者关注的焦点。近日，摩根资产管理中国权益投 资团队在策略会上，以多元与国际视角，分享了对于2026年市场机会的研判。 摩根资产管理中国总经理王琼慧在开场致辞中表示，面对全球被动投资的浪潮，摩根资产管理始终坚持 发展主动投资能力，致力于打造"立足本土，与全球融会贯通"的投研平台。依托研究驱动、团队协作与 严谨的风险管理体系，公司持续为投资者提供高质量的产品与服务，挖掘长期价值。 银河证券数据显示，截至11月30日，摩根基金近1年、2年、3年及20年的主动股票投资管理能力均位列 行业前10（分别为6/130、6/127、8/122、7/29），其中近一年主动股票投资管理收益率超过50%。同时 近年来公司在指数及量化、固定收益、多资产解决方案、混合资产以及流动性管理等领域齐头并进，各 投资团队实力不断增强。 展望2026年，摩根资产管理中国副总经理兼投资总监杜猛指出，随着中国产业全球竞争力的提升，国际 投资者正重新审视中国资产的配置价值，中国资产的长期价值重估进程仍在持 ...

Investment Rating - The report adjusts the investment outlook for US stocks from "cautiously optimistic" to "neutral" for the year, with a bearish view in the short term [3][10]. Core Insights - The report highlights that as of March 14, 2025, the S&P 500 index has fallen by 8.2% since February 19, while the Nasdaq index has dropped by 11.5%. The current market adjustment is compared to a similar downturn in July-August 2024, driven by recession fears and external shocks [3][8]. - The evidence of a downturn in the US economy is more solid now than in 2024, making it harder for the Federal Reserve to implement rate cuts. Concerns about the valuation of US tech stocks due to the DeepSeek incident may persist [3][9]. - The report suggests that the current adjustment in US stocks may last longer and be more severe than the previous one in 2024, with a potential extension of the downturn into April 2025 [3][10]. Summary by Sections Section 1: US Stock Market Analysis - The report identifies commonalities between the current market adjustment and the one in 2024, including triggers from economic data and external shocks [8]. - It notes that the current economic downturn evidence is stronger, and the Federal Reserve faces greater challenges in responding with rate cuts [9]. - The report anticipates that the adjustment period and magnitude will likely exceed those observed in 2024 [10]. Section 2: Chinese Technology Assets Comparison - The report compares Chinese technology assets listed in A-shares, H-shares, and US markets, noting that US-listed Chinese stocks have a higher technology asset content [12]. - It highlights that A-shares have a higher manufacturing content, while US and H-shares have a greater proportion of technology service companies [13]. - Performance metrics show that since 2024, the growth rates of technology assets in H-shares and US markets have outpaced those in A-shares, although A-shares maintain advantages in semiconductors and hardware [14]. Section 3: Financial Data Insights - The report discusses the recovery momentum in social financing, supported by government bond financing, with a notable increase in major project investments [18]. - It indicates that the growth rate of RMB loans has declined, primarily due to the issuance of replacement bonds affecting medium to long-term loans [19]. - The report emphasizes the positive impact of fiscal funds on corporate cash flow, with significant increases in corporate deposits [20].

Market Review - The A-share market saw a decline across major broad-based indices, with the ChiNext Index, Shanghai Composite Index, and CSI 300 Index returning -4.87%, -1.72%, and -2.22% respectively. In contrast, the Steel, Building Materials, and Real Estate sectors performed well with returns of 2.96%, 1.98%, and 1.86% respectively [6][19][20] - The central bank's net reverse repurchase was 133.1 billion, with a total of 1.6592 trillion in net open market operations. The yield on government bonds of various maturities decreased, with the spread widening by 1.52 basis points [21][22] Fund Issuance - A total of 31 new funds were established last week, with a combined issuance scale of 42.757 billion, marking an increase from the previous week. Additionally, 29 funds entered the issuance phase, and 45 funds are set to begin issuance this week [3][4] - 76 funds were reported for approval last week, including 1 FOF and 1 REIT, along with several ETFs related to the STAR Market [4][6] Fund Performance - The net asset value of public funds reached 31.93 trillion as of the end of January 2025, a decrease of 892.657 billion from December 2024. The largest decline was seen in open-ended money market funds, which decreased by 409.503 billion [15] - Active equity, flexible allocation, and balanced mixed funds reported returns of -2.70%, -1.97%, and -1.08% respectively last week. In contrast, alternative funds showed the best performance with a median return of 7.94% year-to-date [26][30] Index Products - 46 index products related to the STAR Market Composite Index have been reported, with the first batch of 12 STAR Market Composite Index ETFs submitted for approval on January 23 [5][7] - Recent submissions included 10 free cash flow-related index products, reflecting a growing interest in cash flow-focused investments [8][9] Adjustments to Indices - The Shanghai Stock Exchange announced revisions to the STAR 100 and STAR 200 index compilation rules, effective March 17, 2025, to enhance the representativeness of the indices [11][12] - The STAR 50 Index will undergo sample adjustments, with three new samples being added [13][14]