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东吴证券(601555):业绩快速回升 自营弹性可期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-30 16:47
Core Viewpoint - The company reported excellent performance in the first half of 2025, exceeding market expectations with a revenue of 4.428 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.63%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.932 billion yuan, up 65.76% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Business Performance - The company's wealth management and self-operated businesses performed well, with investment banking showing signs of recovery. The proportion of heavy asset business rose to 62.1% in the first half of 2025 [2] - Wealth management strengthened its advisory layout and transformation, with brokerage business net income reaching 1.004 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34%. The company opened 309,100 new accounts, up 148% year-on-year [2] - The investment banking business demonstrated resilience, with net income of 419 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15%. The company ranked eighth in the industry for IPO applications and second for projects submitted to the Beijing Stock Exchange [2] - The self-operated business remained stable, with total investment income of 2.634 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 61%. Alternative investments showed improvement, although some areas experienced losses [2] - Asset management business saw revenue growth driven by optimized scale structure, with net income of 171 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19% [2] Group 2: Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The influx of incremental funds into the market suggests potential for industry valuation recovery. The company's brokerage and self-operated investments contribute significantly to profit elasticity, supported by a favorable regional advantage and strong growth potential [3] - The company is expected to have a net asset value per share of 9.67 yuan and 10.64 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively. Given the market recovery, the company is projected to have strong performance elasticity [3] - A valuation of 1.3 times the price-to-book ratio is suggested for 2025, corresponding to a reasonable value of 12.57 yuan per share, with a "buy" rating recommended for the company [3]