多家券商对未来一年的业务布局及市场机遇进行研判，普遍对2026年证券行业持乐观态度。业务增长极 包括财富管理、投行、国际化和科技赋能。中金公司预计，2026年市场成交额有望保持高位，降佣降费 下费率压力缓解，券商传统经纪业务收入或维持高位。华泰证券表示，大财富业务进入趋势上行期，A 股和两融新开户强劲，融资余额连续创新高。国泰海通认为，零售业务和国际业务将是行业新亮点。板 块估值修复可期，中信证券预测，2026年证券行业净资产收益率有望提升，估值修复空间与结构性机会 并存。（证券日报） ...

以下文章来源于野村集团 ，作者野村集团 野村集团 . 野村成立于1925年，是一家拥有全球网络的金融服务机构。野村荟萃东西、联通市场，为个人、机构、 企业和政府客户提供财富管理、投资管理与机构业务（全球市场和投资银行）、银行业务的服务。 今日，全球性金融服务机构野村宣布"2025年野村中国投资年会"于深圳正式开幕，这也是野村在中国 举办的第十七届中国投资年会。 左右滑动，查看现场照片 在大会开幕致辞中，野村国际（香港）有限公司社长川前顺平先生表示："我们见证中国取得了令人 瞩目的成就，最新公布的'十五五'规划建议也让我们备受鼓舞"。他说道，"同时，我们也很高兴地看 川前顺平先生 野村国际（香港）有限公司社长 各位来宾，大家早上好。我谨代表野村欢迎各位参加第十七届野村中国投资年会。 我们很高兴再次在深圳举办这场意义非凡的活动。长期以来，我们始终密切关注着深圳及 整个粤港澳大湾区的发展，这里充分展现了中国的创新精神和经济活力。 野村进入中国市场已超过40年的时间，我们很高兴看到中国持续推进改革开放政策。野村 也始终致力于依托自身的全球网络和在华合资公司，助力中国金融市场的进一步发展。 我们通过控股合资证券公司野村 ...

Core Insights - The performance of listed securities firms in the first three quarters of 2025 has garnered significant investor interest, particularly regarding their operational performance and future strategic plans [1][2] - The overall positive market conditions in A-shares have led to substantial growth in brokerage and proprietary trading businesses, which are key contributors to the firms' revenue [1][2] Business Performance and Future Plans - Several securities firms, including Dongxing Securities and Oriental Securities, have held earnings briefings to address investor concerns and outline future strategies [2] - Oriental Securities aims to build a first-class modern investment bank, focusing on digitalization, group integration, and internationalization as strategic drivers [1] - China Galaxy is expanding its FICC (Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange, and Commodity) business by diversifying into quantitative and structured investment strategies to enhance returns [2] Wealth Management and Investment Banking -招商证券 highlighted three key aspects of its wealth management transformation: enhancing the professional capabilities of wealth advisors, providing precise value services through deep customer engagement, and leveraging research-driven product development [3] - CITIC Securities is adapting its investment banking operations to align with industry trends, focusing on functional roles and expanding its bond product innovations to support the real economy [3] AI and Digital Transformation - Financial technology, particularly AI, continues to play a crucial role in enhancing the operational efficiency of securities firms [4][5] - Guotai Junan is advancing its digital transformation with an "ALL in AI" strategy, focusing on innovation and customer-centric applications [4] - Dongxing Securities is developing an intelligent platform to integrate AI into its services, aiming for improved service delivery and operational efficiency [4][5]

M&T Bank Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: M&T Bank (NYSE: MTB) - **Headquarters**: Buffalo, New York - **Founded**: 1856 - **Assets**: $211 billion as of September 30, 2025 [2] Key Points and Arguments Strategic Initiatives - **Balance Sheet Transformation**: Since 2017, M&T Bank has doubled its size and earnings per share, focusing on reducing commercial real estate concentration to mitigate risk [7][20]. - **Profitability**: The bank is currently 20% to 25% more profitable than its peers, generating significant capital [8]. - **Technology Transformation**: M&T has increased technology spending threefold over the past eight years, shifting from 60% outsourced technology resources to 80% in-sourced [9][12]. - **Agile Teams**: The bank has restructured its IT teams into 300 agile teams, enhancing flexibility and adaptability [13]. Financial Performance - **Return on Tangible Common Equity (ROTCE)**: Averaged just under 16% over the past eight years, with 8.5% compounded annual growth in earnings per share [21]. - **Incident Management**: Significant reduction in incidents, with a drop from 100 significant incidents per year to a much lower number due to improved agility [16]. Fee Diversification - **Acquisitions**: Fee diversification has been achieved primarily through acquisitions, allowing M&T to offer a wide range of services to commercial customers [18]. Regulatory Environment - **Easing Regulations**: Recent easing in regulatory standards is expected to positively impact return on equity (ROE) and provide competitive advantages for both large and small banks [26][27]. - **Impact on Competition**: The bank maintains that its community-focused model allows it to achieve adequate scale without needing to be a national player [30]. Capital Management - **Share Repurchases**: M&T is actively repurchasing shares, viewing it as an attractive use of capital given the current valuation [34][36]. - **Capital Deployment**: The bank is cautious about deploying excess capital, focusing on maintaining capabilities and ensuring positive net present values (NPVs) for any investments [48][50]. Market Conditions - **Credit Cycle**: The bank has not experienced significant credit issues in the past 15 years, but there are concerns about transparency and leverage in the system [70][72]. - **Economic Pressures**: Inflation and higher interest rates are affecting lower-end consumers, prompting the bank to monitor potential weak links in the economy [60][61]. Technology and AI - **Data Focus**: M&T is prioritizing data integrity and access, preparing for the integration of AI solutions provided by vendors [22][24]. - **Cybersecurity**: The bank has a dedicated team monitoring for anomalies, applying similar technology to customer behavior patterns to enhance risk management [24]. Additional Important Insights - **Cultural Integration**: M&T emphasizes the importance of cultural alignment in acquisitions, noting that successful integration leads to improved customer and employee experiences [42][43]. - **Transparency in Financial Markets**: There is a call for improved transparency regarding leverage in the financial system, particularly concerning new players in the market [72][78]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the M&T Bank conference call, highlighting the company's strategic initiatives, financial performance, regulatory environment, capital management, market conditions, and technology focus.

Core Viewpoint - The banking industry is expected to maintain stable performance through 2026, with revenue and profit growth remaining steady due to narrowing net interest margin pressure and slowing credit growth driven by weak demand and insufficient risk compensation [2][3]. Group 1: Industry Performance - Revenue and profit for listed banks are projected to remain stable year-on-year, primarily due to a further narrowing of net interest margin, which is expected to decrease by 12 basis points in 2025 and remain within 10 basis points in 2026 [3]. - As of September, the year-on-year growth rate of credit balance is 6.6%, while the social financing balance growth rate is 8.7%, both of which are influenced by fiscal policy [3]. - Fee income growth is expected to stabilize and recover after several years of fee reductions and high base pressure [3]. - Small and micro enterprises, along with retail customer exposures, continue to be the main sources of non-performing loans, while corporate business exposures show stable or improving trends in net non-performing loan generation rates [3][5]. Group 2: Strategic Adjustments - The banking sector is undergoing a transformation towards high-quality development, driven by macroeconomic changes, industrial structure adjustments, technological applications, and regulatory cycles [6]. - Banks are optimizing their operational strategies to focus on high-quality development, utilizing technology and big data to enhance strategic execution efficiency [6]. - There is a shift in focus towards acquiring and managing target customer groups, with operational results observable through indicators such as funding costs and funding structure [6]. Group 3: Investment Perspective - The banking sector has entered a phase of high-quality development, with only a few listed banks achieving double-digit growth, making high-dividend investments a primary strategy [3][6]. - The financial indicators related to high dividends require a focus on high-quality development to sustain performance [3].

Core Insights - Minsheng Bank reported a revenue of 108.5 billion yuan for the first three quarters, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.74 billion yuan, or 6.74% [1] - The growth in net interest income is attributed to the stabilization and improvement of the net interest margin, which stood at 1.42%, up by 2 basis points year-on-year [1][2] - The bank's strategy focuses on enhancing customer segmentation and sustainable income growth, with a notable increase in private banking clients by 18.21% compared to the end of the previous year [2] Revenue and Income Growth - The bank's net interest income reached 75.51 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.40% [2] - The average interest-earning assets increased by 51.64 billion yuan, a growth of 0.73% year-on-year [2] - Non-interest income also saw a contribution increase, with net fee and commission income rising to 14.39 billion yuan, a growth of 0.7% [4] Deposit Structure and Interest Margin - The proportion of low-cost demand deposits continues to rise, with the bank's deposit interest rate decreasing by 13 basis points in the third quarter [5] - The bank's management has effectively improved the interest rates on interbank liabilities, which decreased by 14 basis points [5] - The bank aims to maintain a stable net interest margin through strategic management of deposit structures and interest rates [6][7] Future Outlook - The bank anticipates a continuation of the current loose market funding environment, which is expected to support a decline in funding costs [6] - There is a focus on developing foundational customer bases and services to ensure stable net interest margins [7] - The bank plans to enhance its pricing capabilities and improve asset yield stability while navigating potential uncertainties in loan demand and deposit stability [6][7]

Core Insights - Minsheng Bank reported a net interest margin (NIM) of 1.47% for Q3 2025, showing a recovery compared to previous periods, driven by improved asset-liability management and customer operations [1][3] - The bank's total operating income reached 108.5 billion yuan for the first three quarters, marking a year-on-year growth of 6.74%, with both net interest income and non-interest income contributing to this increase [1][5] Group 1: Net Interest Margin Improvement - The NIM increased due to a combination of factors, including a decline in deposit rates, effective management of interbank liabilities, and stable investment yields [3][4] - Deposit interest rates fell by 13 basis points in Q3, with a higher proportion of low-cost demand deposits contributing to this decline [3] - Interbank liability rates decreased by 14 basis points, aided by improved management of interbank funding and an increase in demand deposits [3] Group 2: Revenue Growth Drivers - The growth in operating income was primarily driven by sustainable expansion of core business, with significant increases in customer scale and quality [5][6] - The number of retail customers grew by 5.38%, while private banking clients increased by 18.21%, indicating a solid customer base for future growth [5] - Net interest income rose to 75.51 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.40%, supported by a 0.73% growth in average interest-earning assets [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - The bank anticipates a continuation of a loose market funding environment, which will support further declines in funding costs [4] - Strategies will focus on enhancing customer service and expanding product offerings, particularly in payment settlement and wealth management, to drive fee and commission income [6] - The bank aims to maintain asset quality while promoting steady profit growth through effective management of non-performing loans [6]

Core Viewpoint - Standard Chartered Group's Q3 2025 revenue and profit exceeded expectations, with a return on tangible equity (ROT E) maintaining an upward trend year-on-year. The decline in net interest margin has narrowed, and both Global Banking and Wealth Management achieved strong growth of over 20% [1][12]. Revenue Performance - Q3 2025 adjusted operating income reached $5.15 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5%, surpassing market consensus by 3% [2]. - The improvement in net interest income was supported by a narrowing decline in net interest margin, with non-interest income growing robustly, particularly in Wealth Management and Global Banking, which saw increases of 28% and 24% respectively [2][5]. Profitability - Adjusted pre-tax profit for Q3 2025 was $1.985 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10%, exceeding market expectations by 14% [3]. - The ROT E for the first nine months of 2025 was 16.5%, up 3.6 percentage points year-on-year, with the target of 13% ROT E expected to be achieved ahead of schedule [3][4]. Future Outlook - The company has raised its full-year revenue guidance to around 7%, with expectations for continued growth in ROT E [4][12]. - The long-term revenue CAGR guidance for 2023-2026 is set at 5%-7%, with non-interest income expected to contribute significantly due to strong trends in Global Transaction Banking and Wealth Management [4][12]. Credit Quality - The credit cost ratio remained low at 0.27%, below the long-term guidance of 30-35 basis points, supported by minimal exposure to Hong Kong commercial real estate and private credit [3][11]. - The non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.93%, with a provision coverage ratio of 80.8% [6][11]. Wealth Management Growth - Wealth Management business saw a robust year-on-year growth of 28% in Q3 2025, driven by an increase in affluent client numbers and strong asset under management (AUM) inflows [7][12]. - The number of new affluent clients increased by 67,000 in Q3 2025, with total AUM reaching $438 billion, reflecting a quarterly growth of 4% [7][12]. Cost Management - Operating expenses grew by 4% year-on-year, while the cost-to-income ratio improved to 55.6%, down 2 percentage points year-on-year [3][4]. - The company is implementing cost control measures, with a target for operating costs to be below $12.3 billion by 2026 [4][12]. Investment Recommendation - Based on the strong performance and positive outlook, the target price has been raised to HKD 182, maintaining a buy rating and positioning Standard Chartered as a top pick in the banking sector [12][13].

Core Insights - The company reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with operating income reaching 20.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54.36%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 6.57 billion yuan, up 129.75% [1] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) increased by 154.82% to 1.24 yuan, and return on equity (ROE) improved by 3.65 percentage points to 6.29% [1] Group 1: Self-Investment - The company achieved investment income of 10.97 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 47% [1] - As of the end of Q3 2025, the company's financial investment scale reached 416.3 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.9% [1] - The diversification strategy in financial investments has effectively mitigated risks while contributing to revenue growth [1] Group 2: Investment Banking - The investment banking segment generated revenue of 2.94 billion yuan in Q3 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 42.55% [2] - The equity financing scale for 2025 reached 869.1 billion yuan, more than quadrupling year-on-year, with IPO financing at 76 billion yuan, up 67% [2] - The company is focusing on new productive forces, which lays a foundation for future business development [2] Group 3: Wealth Management - The brokerage business revenue in Q3 2025 was 4.52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 76.31% [2] - The company’s wealth management product scale reached a historical high of nearly 400 billion yuan, with buy-side advisory products also achieving record growth [2] Group 4: Asset Management - The asset management business generated revenue of 1.06 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 26.6% [3] - The total assets under management (AUM) for the company stood at 586.7 billion yuan, showing a slight year-on-year increase [3]

Core Viewpoint - Everbright Bank, established in 1992 and listed in 2010, is a leading commercial bank in China, focusing on commercial banking services with strengths in wealth management and cloud payment services [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Everbright Bank reported revenue of 94.27 billion yuan, ranking 7th in the industry, below the top performer, China Merchants Bank, at 251.42 billion yuan [2] - The bank's net profit for the same period was 37.28 billion yuan, ranking 6th in the industry, again below China Merchants Bank's 114.54 billion yuan [2] - The bank's retail financial services generated 25.54 billion yuan, accounting for 38.74% of total revenue, while corporate financial services contributed 24.98 billion yuan (37.89%) and financial market services contributed 15.41 billion yuan (23.37%) [2] Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, Everbright Bank's debt-to-asset ratio was 91.62%, slightly higher than the previous year's 91.54% and above the industry average of 91.55% [3] - The bank's gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 49.83%, an increase from 46.44% year-on-year and above the industry average of 43.53% [3] Group 3: Leadership Changes - Wu Lijun was appointed as the chairman of Everbright Bank in January 2024, having served as vice chairman since March 2020 [4] Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders increased by 28.40% to 179,400, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per shareholder decreased by 22.12% to 258,600 [5] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and China Securities Finance Corporation, with the former reducing its holdings by 25.6 million shares [5] Group 5: Strategic Outlook - Pacific Securities noted that Everbright Bank is actively implementing its "5,6,6" strategy, with stable asset quality and growth in loans and deposits as of June 2025 [5] - Guotai Junan Securities highlighted improvements in asset quality for corporate and retail sectors, with a decrease in non-performing loans and overdue rates [6]