Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the transfer of shares of Liken Resources (02245) from HSBC to CITIC Securities, with a market value of HKD 618 million, representing 4.09% of the total shares [1] Group 2 - Minsheng Securities reports that Liken Resources is collaborating with partners to invest in nickel smelting production lines on Obi Island, Indonesia, with a planned wet process capacity of 120,000 tons of nickel and 14,000 tons of cobalt, and an equity capacity of 69,000 tons of nickel and 8,200 tons of cobalt, expected to be fully operational by 2024 [1] - The company has a pyrometallurgical project with a phase one capacity of 95,000 tons, which is set to commence production in 2023, while part of the phase two production lines is expected to be operational in the first half of 2025, with full production by 2026, increasing total capacity to 280,000 tons and equity capacity to 155,000 tons, indicating significant production flexibility [1]

Group 1 - The cobalt market in China experienced a significant surge on September 29, with the average price of 1 cobalt reported at 337,000 yuan per ton, an increase of 29,000 yuan from the previous trading day, marking the largest single-day increase of the year [2] - Huachuang Securities suggests that the Congolese government's ban and quota policy are exacerbating the tight supply of cobalt raw materials, leading to a strong upward trend in cobalt prices [2] - Minsheng Securities indicates that the domestic raw material shortage is intensifying, and the Congolese government's firm pricing stance suggests a high probability of implementing a quota system, which could lead to a supply contraction and a clear upward shift in cobalt price levels [2] Group 2 - The company’s wet nickel production capacity is located in Indonesia, which is not affected by the Congolese export restrictions, allowing it to fully benefit from the rising cobalt prices [2] - The company is expected to see significant growth due to the release of new production capacity and cost advantages [2] - The stock of the company, Likin Resources, rose over 5%, reaching a new high of 26.46 HKD, with a trading volume of 95.9946 million HKD [3]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Liqin Resources (02245) has surged over 5%, reaching a new high of 26.46 HKD, driven by a significant increase in cobalt prices due to supply constraints from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) [1] Industry Summary - On September 29, the domestic cobalt market experienced a dramatic surge, with the average price of 1 cobalt reported at 337,000 RMB/ton, marking a substantial increase of 29,000 RMB from the previous trading day, the largest single-day rise this year [1] - Huachuang Securities suggests that the DRC government's ban and quota policies are exacerbating the tight supply of cobalt, leading to a strong upward trend in cobalt prices [1] - The DRC is expected to implement a quota of 18,000 tons starting in 2025, and considering transportation time, there will be a supply gap within the year, compounded by seasonal demand and smelter restocking, which will further tighten raw material availability and increase cobalt prices [1] - Minsheng Securities' recent report indicates that the domestic raw material shortage is intensifying, and the DRC government's firm stance on price support suggests that a quota system is likely to be implemented, leading to a probable contraction in supply and a clear upward shift in cobalt price levels [1] Company Summary - The company’s wet nickel production capacity is located in Indonesia, which is not affected by the DRC's export restrictions, allowing it to fully benefit from the rising cobalt prices [1] - The combination of new production capacity and cost advantages significantly enhances the company's growth potential [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Liqin Resources (02245) has surged over 13%, reaching a historical high of 25.6 HKD, with an 80% increase in the past month, driven by changes in cobalt export policies in the Democratic Republic of Congo [2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Liqin Resources' stock price increased by 13.45%, trading at 25.48 HKD with a transaction volume of 201 million HKD [2]. - The company's wet-process nickel production capacity is located in Indonesia, which is not affected by the cobalt export restrictions from the Democratic Republic of Congo, allowing it to fully benefit from rising cobalt prices [2]. Group 2: Industry Context - The government of the Democratic Republic of Congo updated its cobalt export policy on September 20, extending the cobalt export ban to October 15, 2025, and limiting export quotas for 2026-2027 to only 44% of annual production [2]. - Huachuang Securities believes that the Congolese government's ban and quota policy will exacerbate the shortage of cobalt raw materials, potentially accelerating the rise in cobalt prices [2]. - Minsheng Securities indicates that the Congolese government's firm stance on supporting cobalt prices suggests a high likelihood of implementing quota systems, leading to a contraction in supply and a clear upward shift in cobalt price levels [2].

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Liqin Resources (02245) has surged over 13%, reaching a historical high of 25.6 HKD, with an 80% increase in the past month, driven by changes in cobalt export policies in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) [1] Group 1: Cobalt Export Policy Changes - The DRC government updated its cobalt export policy on September 20, extending the cobalt export ban to October 15, 2025, and limiting export quotas for 2026-2027 to only 44% of annual production [1] - Huachuang Securities believes that the DRC's ban and quota policy will exacerbate the tight supply of cobalt raw materials, potentially accelerating the rise in cobalt prices [1] - Minsheng Securities indicates that the DRC government is firmly supporting higher cobalt prices, with a high likelihood of implementing quota systems, leading to a contraction in supply and a clear upward shift in cobalt price levels [1] Group 2: Company Impact - The company's wet-process nickel production capacity is located in Indonesia, which is not affected by the DRC's export restrictions, allowing it to fully benefit from the rising cobalt prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent updates on cobalt export policies in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) are expected to significantly impact global cobalt supply and prices, benefiting companies involved in cobalt mining and refining, particularly those with operations in Indonesia and the DRC [1] Group 1: Cobalt Export Policy Changes - The DRC government has postponed the cobalt export ban to October 15, 2025, and set the export quota for 2026-2027 at only 44% of annual production [1] - This export quota is anticipated to lead to a global cobalt supply that is substantially below normal levels from 2025 to 2027, which is likely to drive cobalt prices higher [1] Group 2: Market Reactions and Company Implications - Liqin Resources (02245) has seen its stock price increase by over 4%, with a cumulative rise of approximately 35% this week, reflecting positive market sentiment regarding cobalt price increases [1] - Citic Securities predicts that companies with cobalt refining operations in Indonesia and those owning mines in the DRC will benefit significantly from the anticipated rise in cobalt prices [1] - Minsheng Securities emphasizes the DRC government's strong stance on supporting cobalt prices, indicating a high probability of quota implementation and a clear upward shift in cobalt price levels [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the transfer of shares of Likin Resources (02245) from Deutsche Bank to Huasheng Capital Securities, with a market value of HKD 543 million, representing 4.86% of the total shares [1] - Minsheng Securities reports that Likin Resources is collaborating with partners to invest in nickel smelting production lines on Obi Island, Indonesia, with a planned wet process capacity of 120,000 tons of nickel and 14,000 tons of cobalt, with an equity capacity of 69,000 tons of nickel and 8,200 tons of cobalt, expected to be fully operational by 2024 [1] - The company has a pyrometallurgical project with a first phase capacity of 95,000 tons, which is set to commence production in 2023, while part of the second phase production lines is expected to be operational in the first half of 2025, with full production by 2026, increasing total capacity to 280,000 tons and equity capacity to 155,000 tons, indicating significant capacity flexibility [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Liqin Resources (02245) has surged over 9%, reaching a new historical high of 20.44 HKD, driven by changes in cobalt export policies in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) [2] Group 1: Company Performance - Liqin Resources' stock price increased by 9.23%, trading at 20.36 HKD with a transaction volume of 58.74 million HKD [2] - The company benefits from rising cobalt prices due to supply constraints, as its nickel production capacity is located in Indonesia and is not affected by DRC's export restrictions [2] Group 2: Industry Context - The DRC government updated its cobalt export policy, extending the export ban to October 15, 2025, and limiting export quotas for 2026-2027 to 44% of annual production [2] - According to CITIC Securities, the DRC's export quota policy is expected to lead to a significant global cobalt supply shortage, with shortfalls of 122,000 tons, 88,000 tons, and 97,000 tons for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2] - Minsheng Securities believes that the DRC government is determined to support cobalt prices, indicating a likely shift towards a quota system and a clear upward trend in cobalt price levels [2]

Group 1 - The stock of Liqin Resources (02245) has increased by over 9%, reaching a new historical high of 20.44 HKD during trading [1] - As of the latest update, the stock is trading at 20.36 HKD with a transaction volume of 58.74 million HKD [1] Group 2 - The government of the Democratic Republic of Congo updated its cobalt export policy on September 20, extending the cobalt export ban to October 15, 2025 [1] - From 2026 to 2027, the cobalt export quota will be limited to 44% of annual production [1] - CITIC Securities predicts that the export quota policy will lead to significantly lower global cobalt supply from 2025 to 2027, with supply shortages of 122,000 tons, 88,000 tons, and 97,000 tons respectively [1] Group 3 - Minsheng Securities believes that the Congolese government's firm stance on supporting cobalt prices indicates a high likelihood of implementing a quota system, leading to a contraction in supply and an upward shift in cobalt prices [1] - The company's wet-process nickel production capacity is located in Indonesia, which is not affected by the Congolese export restrictions, allowing it to fully benefit from the rising cobalt prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of leading global nickel smelter, Lygend Resources (2245.HK), surged over 17% to a record high of 17.95 HKD, with trading volume reaching 320 million HKD, driven by news of the Democratic Republic of Congo lifting its cobalt export ban and implementing annual export quotas [1]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Democratic Republic of Congo, the world's largest supplier of cobalt, will allow the export of up to 18,125 tons of cobalt for the remainder of 2025, with annual limits of 96,600 tons for 2026 and 2027 [1]. - Nickel prices are currently at a cyclical low, with clear cost support, indicating a potential for price recovery [1]. Group 2: Company Positioning - Lygend Resources' wet nickel production capacity is located in Indonesia, which is unaffected by the export restrictions from the Democratic Republic of Congo, allowing the company to fully benefit from the anticipated rise in cobalt prices [1]. - The combination of new production capacity and cost advantages significantly enhances the growth potential of Lygend Resources [1].