瑞银发表研究报告指，海口海关数据显示，海南1月1至3日免税销售同比增长129%至7.12亿元，免税购 物人次按年增加61%。该行估算人均免税消费额为8527元，按年上升42.5%；而购买商品数量亦按年增 长52.4%。所有数据均胜市场预期。该行认为销售增长强劲，主要因海南在去年10月放宽了当地居民及 离境旅客于海南免税店的购物政策限制，推动购物人流增长。同时，人均消费额显著提升，主要由精品 类别如服装、鞋履、手袋、珠宝等及手机产品所带动。另外，地方政府亦持续提供免税购物补贴。该行 较看好中国中免A股及H股，分别予目标价99.59元及90.73港元，评级"买入"。该行亦看好上海机场，因 其新合约可能推动公司重回高增长轨道，加上没有重大资本开支，净资产收益率有望持续改善。 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating challenges in the duty-free retail sector amid changing market conditions [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for the first half of 2025 was 28.151 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.96% compared to the same period last year [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.600 billion yuan, down 20.81% year-on-year [1][3]. - Main business income reached 27.531 billion yuan, with offline revenue at 19.703 billion yuan and online revenue at 7.828 billion yuan [1]. Key Accounting Data - Total profit for the period was 3.663 billion yuan, reflecting a 19.21% decline from the previous year [3]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was 2.607 billion yuan, down 39.50% year-on-year [3]. - Total assets decreased by 1.64% to 75.009 billion yuan, while net assets increased slightly by 0.18% to 55.199 billion yuan [3]. Business Operations - The company operates primarily in the duty-free tourism retail sector, offering products such as tobacco, alcohol, cosmetics, watches, and jewelry, collaborating with around 1,600 global brands [1][3]. - In terms of regional performance, revenue from Hainan was 15.031 billion yuan, while Shanghai contributed 6.870 billion yuan [4]. - The company has strengthened its market position in Hainan, with a nearly 1% increase in market share in the duty-free segment [4]. Expansion and Strategic Initiatives - China Duty Free Group has entered the Vietnamese market, opening duty-free stores at Hanoi's Noi Bai International Airport and Phu Quoc International Airport [4]. - The company is promoting "Guochao" (national trend) brands abroad, signing strategic cooperation agreements with domestic brands to enhance their presence in overseas markets such as Vietnam, Cambodia, and Japan [4].

Core Insights - The 2025 Beijing International Trendy Toy Expo (PTS) is themed "Return to Play, Seek the Wild Heart," showcasing numerous global designers and serving as a platform for domestic IPs to expand internationally [1] - Peter Shipman, head of Pop Mart's European division, noted significant success for the Labubu IP in Europe, alongside strong growth for other popular IPs like SKULLPANDA and Hirono [1] - The European trendy toy market is evolving, with consumers showing a broader interest and more mature purchasing behavior compared to six months ago, moving beyond reliance on new store openings and hit products [1] - Lifestyle-related products are emerging as new bestsellers in the European market, with a recent successful pop-up gallery for Hirono in Covent Garden, London, demonstrating strong demand for lifestyle items such as T-shirts, blankets, and jewelry [1] - The company plans to expand its lifestyle product line in Europe and will host several SKULLPANDA-themed exhibitions in major cities like Rome, Berlin, London, and Paris later this year [3] - The core task in the European market remains the popularization of trendy toy culture, focusing on providing immersive brand experiences rather than just in-store transactions [3]