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报告:中国对外贸易多元化格局持续深化
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-10-10 06:23
本报告选取2023年9月至2025年8月,共计24个月份主要贸易伙伴的进出口数据进行分析(数据来源:联 合国贸易数据库和中国海关)。报告基于1200万条外贸和供应关系数据的量化研究,旨在更及时地反映 中国对外贸易最新动态,为市场主体提供精准的趋势判断依据。 复旦大学管理学院管理科学系教授、复旦大学全球供应链研究中心主任吴肖乐介绍,团队综合运用贸易 数据与供应关系数据,通过量化分析构建科学指数,该指数体系强化了多维性、科学性、灵活性和及时 性。 报告:中国对外贸易多元化格局持续深化 中新社上海10月10日电 (记者 陈静)复旦大学全球供应链研究中心团队10日发布《中国对外商品贸易及 供应链波动指数》第二期报告。根据报告,中国对外贸易的多元化格局持续深化,中国与东南亚地区的 区域合作紧密程度不断提升,对新兴市场的贸易额也实现快速增长,贸易伙伴结构更趋均衡。 2025年1月—8月,中国对主要贸易伙伴的出口贸易份额与去年同期相比,发生了显著变化。中国对东 盟、欧盟、日本、加拿大出口份额占比呈现正增长。 基于对9个中国主要贸易伙伴的深入分析,报告发现伙伴关系格局出现显著变化:金砖国家从"动荡型伙 伴"转为"发展型伙伴" ...
报告:中国对外贸易多元化格局持续深化 贸易伙伴结构更趋均衡
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-10-10 03:50
报告:中国对外贸易多元化格局持续深化 贸易伙伴结构更趋均衡 中新网上海10月10日电(记者 陈静)10日,复旦大学全球供应链研究中心团队正式发布《中国对外商品贸 易及供应链波动指数》第二期报告(简称:报告)。根据报告,中国对美国、东盟、墨西哥、欧盟、金砖 国家近两年基本保持贸易顺差。2025年1月-8月,中国对东盟、欧盟贸易顺差有所扩大。 在贸易波动指数方面,报告揭示了多个关键发现,比如:东盟、澳大利亚、欧盟位列贸易波动指数前 三;商品结构:第16类(机电)、第14类(珠宝贵金属)和第18类(光学医疗设备)波动增幅最大。其中出口总 额首位的第16类商品,在东盟、金砖和欧盟市场的波动尤为明显,反映了增长驱动下的结构优化。报告 指出,第16类、第17类(运输设备)、第18类这三类代表出口转型升级的产品,除第17类产品对金砖出口 有所下降外,其余产品对欧盟、东盟、金砖出口均大幅增加,显示出中国出口产品结构的升级成效。 吴肖乐教授表示:"我们将持续完善指数体系,未来将深入细分行业和国别,为政府和企业提供更具针 对性的决策参考,使这一指数继续成为观察中国与全球经济互动的重要窗口。"(完) 来源:中国新闻网 编辑:郭晋嘉 ...
中金 • 全球研究 | 国别研究系列之阿拉伯联合酋长国篇:中东的全球化红利
中金点睛· 2025-05-12 23:51
Core Viewpoint - The UAE is a pioneer in economic diversification in the Gulf region, leveraging its resource and geographical advantages to benefit from globalization, with continuous economic growth driven by industrial upgrading, internal and external demand linkage, and financial market openness [1]. Group 1: Economic Development Models - The UAE's economic development showcases two models: the Abu Dhabi model, which focuses on manufacturing and industrial upgrading, and the Dubai model, which is a composite of re-export trade, real estate, high-end tourism, and finance, reflecting differentiated and complementary economic transformation paths [1]. - Abu Dhabi's economic transformation began in the 1980s with the establishment of the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, utilizing oil revenues for financial investments and developing downstream industries [11]. - Dubai established itself as a trade hub through the development of ports and free trade zones, with the Dubai Economic Agenda D33 aiming to double GDP and annual FDI inflows over the next decade [12]. Group 2: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) - The UAE has attracted significant foreign direct investment through its free trade zones and favorable tax policies, with FDI net inflows increasing by 35% to $30.6 billion in 2023, accounting for 47% of the total net inflows in the West Asia region [29]. - The UAE has relaxed foreign investment regulations since 2019, allowing 100% foreign ownership in certain sectors and eliminating the need for local partners in distribution businesses [28]. Group 3: Economic Structure and Growth - As of 2023, the UAE's nominal GDP reached $504.2 billion, with the non-oil sector contributing approximately 75% to the GDP, reflecting a successful transition from an oil-dependent economy [9][14]. - The non-oil sector's GDP grew by 6.2% in 2023, offsetting the negative impact of oil production cuts, with significant contributions from manufacturing, wholesale and retail, and financial services [15][17]. Group 4: Energy Transition - The UAE is a benchmark for energy transition in the Middle East, pursuing a dual-path strategy of "greening fossil fuels" and expanding renewable energy, with a goal of increasing the share of clean energy to 50% by 2050 [37][40]. - The UAE's National Energy Strategy 2050 aims to invest $163 billion to enhance clean energy's share and reduce carbon emissions, with significant investments in renewable energy projects [42]. Group 5: Trade and Logistics - The UAE has established itself as a major re-export trade center, with re-export trade accounting for over 40% of total imports, totaling $167.8 billion in 2023 [21][22]. - The UAE's strategic location and extensive port infrastructure, including Jebel Ali Port, position it as a key player in global trade, with container throughput growing by 5.8% in 2022 [49]. Group 6: Real Estate and Tourism - The UAE's real estate market has seen significant price increases, with Dubai's property prices rising by 46% from 2021 to 2023, driven by foreign investment and tourism recovery [51]. - The UAE's tourism sector is supported by strategic infrastructure investments, with a goal of attracting 40 million visitors by 2031, contributing significantly to GDP [56][57]. Group 7: Financial Market Development - The UAE is evolving into a global financial center, attracting international financial institutions due to its geopolitical neutrality, independent regulatory framework, and favorable tax environment [61].