昨日（18日）半導體股走勢分化，中芯國際（00981）全天收報64.7港元，單日微跌0.08%，成交額達25.51億港元。從技術面來看，股價處於短期均線 （MA10：67.16港元）、中期均線（MA30：69.87港元）及長期均線（MA60：73.85港元）下方，呈現典型的短期弱勢格局，但技術指標綜合信號為"買 入"，信號強度達10，RSI指標為39，接近超賣區域。多個震盪指標綜合判斷為"嚴重超跌，可能築底，買入"，這表明股價經過調整後，反彈動能正在醞釀。 其他個股表現各不相同，12月18日，華虹半導體（01347）收盤價報67.25港元，下跌1.39%，同樣處於均線阻力之下，技術信號呈現"中立"，短期需要觀察 能否守住支撐位；上海復旦（01385）則逆市上漲7.03%，收報45.06港元，但RSI達到58，接近超買水準，需留意獲利回吐壓力。相關科技股方面，舜宇光學 （02382）收報65.35港元，下跌1.80%，技術形態偏弱，多項指標呈現"賣出"信號；中興通訊（00763）收報26.94港元，跌1.46%，雖然短期均線向下運行， 但部分震盪指標顯示超賣，或存在技術性反彈機會。 整體而言，半導體板塊受制於行 ...

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor sector is experiencing active trading, with SMIC (00981) showing a price increase of 2.47% to HKD 74.7, indicating rich investment opportunities for short-term traders [1] Technical Analysis - SMIC's stock price has been fluctuating between the middle and upper bands of the Bollinger Bands since August 29, suggesting a critical breakout window [1] - Key support levels are at HKD 67.7 and HKD 62.3, while resistance levels are at HKD 78.4 and HKD 87.2, marking significant price barriers [1] - The stock is currently trading above multiple moving averages, with MA10 at HKD 71.74, MA30 at HKD 62.86, and MA60 at HKD 56.14, indicating a relatively strong medium-term bullish trend [1] Signal Summary - The overall technical indicators provide a "sell" signal with a strength of 8, yet several important indicators show positive signs [3] - The RSI is at 74, indicating an overbought condition but maintains a neutral buy/sell signal [3] - Various oscillators are neutral, while the CCI indicator has issued a buy signal, and both MACD and Bollinger Bands show buy signals, reflecting significant market divergence regarding SMIC's short-term direction [3] Derivative Products Performance - Recent derivative products related to SMIC have performed exceptionally well, with Huatai call warrants (14397) rising by 34%, UBS bull certificates (60514) increasing by 33%, and other products showing gains of 18%, all outperforming the underlying stock's 5.79% increase [3] Investment Options - For bullish investors, UBS call warrants (20322) offer 3.2x leverage with a strike price of HKD 80.05, while the Cinda call warrants (20290) provide 3.5x leverage with the lowest premium and implied volatility [6] - For bearish investors, the Bank of China put warrants (20088) offer 2.5x leverage with a strike price of HKD 52.45, and UBS bear certificates (54920) provide 11.1x leverage with a redemption price of HKD 80 [8]