Core Viewpoint - The upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is expected to show data that may be below expectations, which has led to an increase in U.S. stock index futures. A significantly lower CPI could increase the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points [1] Group 1 - The CPI report is set to be released tomorrow, indicating potential market movements based on its results [1] - A lower-than-expected CPI, particularly a substantial deviation from expectations, could enhance the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve [1] - The Producer Price Index (PPI), excluding food and energy, has recorded its largest month-over-month decline in the past decade [1]

美国8月份生产者价格指数(PPI)预计将同比增长3.3%，增速与7月份持平。 市场普遍预期美联储将在9月份下调政策利率，降息50个基点的可能性有所上升。 在周四公布CPI数据之前，8月份的PPI数据对美元的影响可能有限。 通胀是美联储（Fed）制定货币政策决策的两个依据之一。各国央行在通胀压力加大时往往采取强硬立场，而在通胀压力缓解时则 倾向于鸽派立场。 这两个指数都衡量通胀，CPI关注消费者购买的商品和服务总价值，而PPI则衡量批发或生产者层面的通胀。一般而言，PPI的上涨 最终会反映在CPI中，因为生产者会将更高的价格转嫁给消费者。如果PPI数据先于CPI数据发布，则可以作为价格压力上升的早 期指标。 下一份PPI数据报告将带来哪些预期？ 预计美国8月份生产者通胀率（PPI）年率将上升3.3%，7月份的数据与此类似。扣除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心PPI通胀率 预计将同比上涨3.5%，低于上月的3.7%。预计本月PPI和核心PPI将分别上涨0.3%。 CPI报告通常对金融市场产生更广泛的影响，鉴于其发布时间晚于PPI报告24小时，PPI报告对美元的影响可能会有所减弱。 鉴于上周公布的就业数据表现疲软，市 ...