证券研究报告 工程机械 / 公司点评 / 2025.08.26 投资评级:增持(维持) | 基本数据 | 2025-08-25 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | 18.89 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 8.91 | | 每股净资产(元) | 11.92 | | 总股本(亿股) | 8.91 | 最近 12 月市场表现 -6% 5% 15% 26% 36% 47% 安徽合力 沪深300 分析师 佘炜超 SAC 证书编号：S0160522080002 shewc@ctsec.com 分析师 张豪杰 SAC 证书编号：S0160522090002 zhanghj01@ctsec.com 相关报告 二季度业绩逐步加速，打造智能物流第二成长曲线 安徽合力(600761) 1. 《一季度收入平稳增长，毛利率水平不断 提升》 2025-04-29 2. 《三季度业绩有所下滑，国际化步伐持续 加快》 2024-10-29 3. 《电动化及国际化持续推进，经营业绩稳 健增长》 2024-08-30 核心观点 | 盈利预测 | | --- | | [币种Table_FinchinaSimple] (人民币) ...

8月22日，格陵兰科技(GTEC)盘中上涨3.88%，截至22:47，报1.34美元/股，成交2.08万美元，总市值 2330.83万美元。 本文源自：金融界 财务数据显示，截至2025年06月30日，格陵兰科技收入总额4339.73万美元，同比减少5.12%；归母净利 润77.85万美元，同比减少89.12%。 作者：行情君 资料显示，格陵兰科技控股公司是一家生产和开发电动工业车辆以及用于物料搬运机械和车辆的传动系 统的公司。其产品包括电动叉车、电动装载机和电动挖掘机。该公司成立于2017年12月28日,总部设在 新泽西州东温莎。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the financial performance and stock movement of Greenland Technologies (GTEC), indicating a stock price increase of 2.47% to $1.619 per share, with a total market capitalization of $28.16 million as of August 8 [1] - Financial data shows that as of March 31, 2025, GTEC's total revenue was $21.68 million, representing a year-on-year decrease of 4.6%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was $4.00 million, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 60.01% [1] - GTEC is set to disclose its mid-year report for the fiscal year 2025 on August 13, with the actual disclosure date subject to company announcements [2] Group 2 - Greenland Technologies Holdings Company specializes in the production and development of electric industrial vehicles and transmission systems for material handling machinery and vehicles, including electric forklifts, electric loaders, and electric excavators [2] - The company was established on December 28, 2017, and is headquartered in East Windsor, New Jersey [2]

Group 1 - Greenland Technologies (GTEC) stock increased by 2.55% to $1.61 per share, with a trading volume of $193,200 and a total market capitalization of $28.0047 million as of August 7 [1] - For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, Greenland Technologies reported total revenue of $21.6776 million, a year-over-year decrease of 4.6%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was $4.0038 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 60.01% [1] - The company is set to disclose its fiscal year 2025 interim report on August 13, with the actual release date subject to company announcement [2] Group 2 - Greenland Technologies is involved in the production and development of electric industrial vehicles and drivetrains for material handling machinery and vehicles, including electric forklifts, electric loaders, and electric excavators [2] - The company was established on December 28, 2017, and is headquartered in East Windsor, New Jersey [2]

Group 1 - Greenland Technologies (GTEC) opened with a 2.66% increase, trading at $1.735 per share, with a total market capitalization of $30.179 million [1] - As of March 31, 2025, GTEC reported total revenue of $21.678 million, a year-over-year decrease of 4.6%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was $4.004 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 60.01% [1] Group 2 - GTEC is scheduled to release its mid-year report for the fiscal year 2025 on August 13, with the actual disclosure date subject to company announcement [2] - The company specializes in the production and development of electric industrial vehicles and drivetrains for material handling machinery, including electric forklifts, loaders, and excavators [2]

Group 1 - The engineering machinery sector showed a 12.29% increase in H1 2025, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 8.97% [13][15] - The sector's five-year PE TTM is 18.66, slightly below the average of 19.73, indicating a valuation at the 40.39 percentile over the past five years [15] - In Q1 2025, the sector's revenue and net profit reached 964.40 billion and 94.78 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.62% and 31.15% [17][19] Group 2 - Domestic sales of excavators in June 2025 reached 8,136 units, a year-on-year increase of 6.20%, supported by infrastructure investments and equipment replacement policies [40][44] - The cumulative sales of excavators in H1 2025 were 120,520 units, reflecting a 16.77% year-on-year growth [40][44] - The construction machinery sector is expected to benefit from significant projects like the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project, which has a total investment of approximately 1,200 billion [50][53] Group 3 - Excavator exports in June 2025 totaled 10,668 units, marking a 19.30% year-on-year increase, with the U.S. being a major market [54][59] - The total export value of excavators in H1 2025 was approximately 4.89 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.83% [57][59] - The average export price for excavators to the U.S. was around 6,400 USD per unit, indicating a demand for smaller, general-purpose equipment [59][62] Group 4 - The penetration rate of electric machinery is increasing, with policies from the government aimed at phasing out older equipment and promoting the transition to new energy [67][71] - The electric machinery market is expected to grow significantly, with electric forklifts and loaders showing high penetration rates of 53.52% and 12.78% respectively [71][75] - The overall electric machinery penetration rate in China is projected to reach approximately 29.60% by 2024 [71][72] Group 5 - The investment recommendation maintains a "market perform" rating, with a focus on companies such as SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and Hengli Hydraulic [84]

Group 1: Industry Overview - Yihe New District is the core area for the construction of "China's Engineering Machinery City" in Linyi, focusing on high-end engineering equipment through an industrial chain approach [1] - The high-end engineering equipment industry chain is developing towards high-end, green, intelligent, and clustered growth [1] Group 2: Leading Enterprises - Shandong Liugong Forklift Co., Ltd. has achieved 50% of its annual target of 850 million yuan in the first half of the year, with a projected sales increase to 670 million yuan in 2024 [2] - The company aims to increase the proportion of electric forklifts from 35% to over 50% within two years, driven by strong market demand and policy support [2] - Shanzhong Construction Machinery Co., Ltd. plans to increase its production capacity from 18,000 to 25,000 units after the introduction of welding robots and intelligent assembly lines [2] Group 3: Component Manufacturers - Shandong Jinli Hydraulic Technology Co., Ltd. has improved its electroplating production line, increasing the salt spray test level from 200 hours to over 400 hours, significantly extending product lifespan [3] - The company has successfully entered the supply chains of international giants like Volvo and Caterpillar, with a transaction volume of 30 million yuan with Shanzhong Construction Machinery last year [3] - Jinli Group produces 1 million hydraulic cylinders and has a 30% market share in domestic hydraulic cylinders for loaders [3] Group 4: Innovation and Cluster Development - The Yihe New District is focusing on attracting projects that enhance the entire industrial chain, emphasizing innovation and collaboration among upstream and downstream enterprises [4] - The district has formed an engineering machinery industry cluster led by major manufacturers like Shandong Lingong, Shanzhong Construction Machinery, and Liugong Forklift, supported by component manufacturers and logistics services [4] - The high-end engineering equipment cluster has been approved as a provincial advanced manufacturing cluster for 2024 [4]

Group 1 - The fourth China-Central and Eastern European Countries Expo and International Consumer Goods Expo opened in Ningbo, Zhejiang, focusing on economic cooperation, technological innovation, and cultural exchange [1] - The exhibition area for Central and Eastern European countries covers 20,000 square meters with over 400 exhibitors showcasing more than 8,000 unique products [1] - The expo features participation from 14 Central and Eastern European countries and 9 other countries, expanding from "Central and Eastern Europe" to "Central and Eastern Europe+" [1] Group 2 - Livestocker, a Hungarian digital animal farm software provider, showcased a solution that enhances farm productivity through integrated management across mobile, computer, IoT, and cloud data [2] - 24alife from Slovenia focuses on digital health and remote patient monitoring, aiming to connect with large Chinese enterprises to promote health awareness [2] - The expo highlights the transition from "Made in China" to "Intelligent Manufacturing in China," with products demonstrating high cost-effectiveness, quality, and technological content [2] Group 3 - The Consumer Direct Procurement Conference held during the expo emphasized "precise matching," facilitating connections between over 40 procurement representatives from 25 countries and more than 50 suppliers from various Chinese provinces [2] - Nigerian buyer Francis attended the direct procurement conference with a detailed purchasing list, having previously established long-term partnerships with Chinese suppliers [3] - The export consumer goods exhibition area spans 60,000 square meters with 1,028 participating companies, including local Ningbo enterprises aiming to expand their customer base in Central and Eastern Europe [3] Group 4 - Chinese State Councilor Chen Yiqin emphasized China's commitment to multilateralism and the expansion of imports from Central and Eastern European countries, aiming to enhance bilateral trade and cooperation in high-quality initiatives [4] - The expo is expected to attract over 15,000 professional visitors, including more than 3,000 foreign buyers from 72 countries, with anticipated procurement intentions exceeding 10 billion yuan from Central and Eastern Europe [4]

Summary of Hangcha Group Conference Call Company Overview - Hangcha Group is a leading company in the Chinese forklift industry, demonstrating stable performance and low valuation. The projected profits for the next three years are expected to reach 2.2 billion, 2.6 billion, and 3 billion respectively, with growth rates of 10%, 15%, and 18% [2][3]. Key Industry Insights - The Chinese electric forklift market is rapidly growing, with domestic sales projected to reach 810,000 units and exports at 480,000 units in 2024. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for electric forklift models in China is expected to be 16% [2][5]. - The market share of unmanned forklifts is anticipated to increase from the current 5% to 20%-30% in the coming years, driven by advancements in automation and logistics systems [2][9]. Technological Advancements - Unmanned technology is expected to significantly enhance warehouse and logistics efficiency. In 2025, unmanned forklift models accounted for 7% to 8% of new orders, indicating a clear penetration trend [2][6]. - Hangcha Group is focusing on product iteration and innovation, particularly in unmanned technology, with electric models making up 73.61% of their offerings [2][8]. Future Development Directions - The company plans to invest in the development of humanoid logistics robots and micro logistics robots, which could address material handling challenges [2][10]. - The shift towards domestic markets and smart manufacturing is expected to define a new growth phase for Hangcha Group, moving away from reliance on overseas sales [2][8]. Competitive Landscape - Hangcha Group, along with competitors like Anhui Heli, is experiencing rapid growth in unmanned forklift and intelligent logistics system orders. This trend is also evident in developed countries with high labor costs [2][9]. - The company’s overseas gross profit margin reached 54% in 2024, with a revenue share of 42%. This positions Hangcha Group close to global leaders in terms of sales volume [2][12]. Collaboration Potential - There is potential for collaboration between Hangcha Group and Zhejiang Guozhi Robotics, as both companies operate in overlapping segments of intelligent logistics equipment [2][11]. Conclusion - Hangcha Group is well-positioned for future growth through its focus on unmanned technology and electric models, with significant opportunities in both domestic and international markets. The company is expected to continue its trajectory towards becoming a top player in the global forklift industry [2][12][13].

Policy Impact - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance have issued a notice to enhance the implementation of large-scale equipment updates and the replacement of old consumer goods, providing new opportunities for the forklift industry [1] - The policy aims to increase funding for equipment updates in key areas, expanding support to sectors such as electronic information, safety production, and facility agriculture, with a focus on high-end, intelligent, and green equipment [1] Market Opportunities - Experts from the China Construction Machinery Industry Association predict that the policy will drive a forklift equipment update market exceeding 100 billion yuan over the next three years [2][3] - The transition from traditional internal combustion forklifts to electric forklifts is being accelerated due to the high pollution and energy consumption associated with internal combustion models, which contradicts the national green development goals [2] Cost Advantages of Electric Forklifts - Electric forklifts are becoming the mainstream choice in the market, with significant operational cost advantages; for instance, the annual fuel cost for a 3-ton internal combustion forklift is approximately 50,000 yuan, while the charging cost for an electric forklift is only about 15,000 yuan, making the internal combustion option three times more expensive [4] - Companies switching from internal combustion to electric forklifts can save substantial amounts on fuel and maintenance costs, with one logistics company reporting nearly 1 million yuan in annual savings by converting 20 forklifts [4] Company Innovations - Zhongli Co., Ltd. has introduced an attractive rental scheme for regenerated lithium battery forklifts, aiming to help users save costs and facilitate the transition to electric models [5][7] - The company has established a comprehensive lifecycle modification process for old forklifts, ensuring that they are recycled and transformed into new energy forklifts, thus promoting resource reuse and reducing environmental pollution [6] Industry Challenges - The forklift industry faces several challenges, including a shortage of skilled professionals, an incomplete recycling network, and outdated battery technology standards, which hinder further development [8][9] - The lack of a targeted talent training mechanism in vocational education and the slow pace of internal training contribute to a significant skills gap in the industry [8] - Less than 30% of old forklifts are currently recycled through formal channels, indicating a need for improved recycling networks and processes [9] Future Outlook - The electric forklift market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected compound annual growth rate exceeding 20% over the next five years, driven by technological innovations and supportive policies [11] - Companies like Zhongli are leading the charge in battery technology innovation and smart upgrades, positioning themselves to meet market challenges and drive the industry towards sustainable development [10][11]