今日早参 2026 年 1 月 13 日 张继强 研究所所长、固收首席研究员 座机：13910012450 邮箱：zhangjiqiang@htsc.com 仇文竹 债券策略研究组长 座机：13910895671 邮箱：qiuwenzhu@htsc.com 今日热点 固定收益：开门红环比略有改善 1 月第二周，地产方面，新房热度下行明显，二手房略有上行但低于上年同 期，房价有待改善，土地成交指标低位运行，北京新政后成交热度有所反 复，后续待观察。生产端来看，工业方面，货运量同比降幅扩大，生产开工 率分化，焦化、化工边际偏强，高炉、地炼与汽车开工率下行；建筑业方 面，水泥供需降幅略有收窄，春节错位对生产阶段性利好，黑色供需偏弱运 行，库存小幅去化，沥青开工率有所回落，关注后续资金与项目落地情况。 外需方面，吞吐量同比回落但热度延续，运价指标略有分化，韩国与越南出 口韧性。消费方面，出行热度延续，汽车消费同比降幅缩窄。价格方面，生 产端扰动等对原油产生影响，黑色系价格上行。 风险提示：1)政策推进不及预期：政策落实节奏和落地效果存在不确定性， 经济修复速度可能偏缓。2)海外经济和地缘政治风险的不确定性：海外经济 ...

12月26日，钧崴电子跌1.36%，成交额6511.94万元。两融数据显示，当日钧崴电子获融资买入额691.74 万元，融资偿还748.35万元，融资净买入-56.61万元。截至12月26日，钧崴电子融资融券余额合计1.84 亿元。 截至9月30日，钧崴电子股东户数2.01万，较上期减少18.87%；人均流通股3215股，较上期增加 23.25%。2025年1月-9月，钧崴电子实现营业收入5.73亿元，同比增长18.00%；归母净利润1.14亿元，同 比增长25.27%。 分红方面，钧崴电子A股上市后累计派现5280.00万元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，钧崴电子十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第一大流 通股东，持股89.82万股，相比上期增加74.69万股。南方中证1000ETF（512100）位居第三大流通股 东，持股72.99万股，相比上期减少1.25万股。华夏中证1000ETF（159845）位居第八大流通股东，持股 43.50万股，相比上期增加2155.00股。广发中证1000ETF（560010）、国投瑞银中证500指数量化增强A （005994）退出十大流通股东之列。 融资 ...

Core Points - Junwei Electronics experienced a slight increase of 0.18% in stock price on November 27, with a trading volume of 60.55 million yuan [1] - The company reported a financing buy-in of 10.42 million yuan and a financing repayment of 12.02 million yuan on the same day, resulting in a net financing outflow of 1.61 million yuan [1] - As of November 27, the total balance of margin trading for Junwei Electronics was 181 million yuan, accounting for 8.60% of its market capitalization [1] Financing Summary - On November 27, Junwei Electronics had a financing buy-in of 10.42 million yuan, with a current financing balance of 181 million yuan [1] - The company repaid 1,000 shares in short selling on the same day, with no shares sold short, resulting in a short selling balance of 6532 yuan [1] Business Overview - Junwei Electronics, established on January 13, 2014, is located in Jiangmen City, Guangdong Province, and is set to be listed on January 10, 2025 [1] - The company's main business involves the design, research and development, manufacturing, and sales of precision resistors for current sensing and fuses [1] - The revenue composition of Junwei Electronics is as follows: precision current sensing resistors 64.82%, fuses 18.82%, and others 16.36% [1] Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, Junwei Electronics reported a total revenue of 573 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.00% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 114 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 25.27% [2] - The company has distributed a total of 52.8 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing [2] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Junwei Electronics was 20,100, a decrease of 18.87% from the previous period [2] - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 23.25% to 3,215 shares [2] - The largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 898,200 shares, an increase of 746,900 shares from the previous period [2]

Core Viewpoint - Junwei Electronics experienced a slight decline in stock price, with a trading volume of 174 million yuan and a net financing outflow of 11.87 million yuan on October 29, 2023 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2023, Junwei Electronics reported a revenue of 573 million yuan for the first nine months of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 18% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was 114 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 25.27% [2] - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 52.8 million yuan [2] Group 2: Shareholder and Market Activity - The number of shareholders for Junwei Electronics decreased by 18.87% to 20,100 as of September 30, 2023, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 23.25% to 3,215 shares [2] - The top circulating shareholder, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, increased its holdings by 746,900 shares to 898,200 shares [2] - The company had a total financing balance of 180 million yuan, accounting for 7.3% of its market capitalization [1]

Company Overview - The company specializes in the design, research and development, manufacturing, and sales of precision resistors and fuses for current sensing, with a strong market presence in both domestic and international markets [2][3]. - The brand names "华德", "Walter", "TFT", and "YED" have gained a good reputation among customers, establishing the company as a global leader in the precision current sensing resistor sector [2]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of ¥573,429,389.35, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.00% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was ¥114,174,886.97, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 25.27% [4]. - Growth was driven by seasonal demand in consumer electronics and significant orders from industrial and AI-related sectors [4]. Profitability and Market Position - The company maintains a high gross margin due to its strategic focus on high-tech segments, continuous R&D investment, and collaboration with leading industry clients [5]. - By targeting top-tier clients, the company achieves premium pricing and drives technological advancements, while also benefiting from economies of scale [5]. Product and Business Strategy - The core products include current sensing resistors and fuses, with a focus on deepening market penetration in traditional sectors like consumer electronics and home appliances [6]. - Future growth strategies involve expanding existing products into high-value sectors such as AI, industrial applications, automotive, and renewable energy [6]. M&A Strategy - The company adopts a cautious and synergistic approach to mergers and acquisitions, focusing on targets with similar business and technology profiles to minimize integration risks [7]. - The acquisition of Japan's Flat Electronics Co., Ltd. exemplifies this strategy, enhancing overseas market presence and adding value through complementary products and customer resources [7]. Overall Development Strategy - The company aims for growth through both organic and inorganic means, emphasizing R&D and product innovation while strategically pursuing acquisitions and partnerships [8]. - Recent acquisitions, such as that of Flat Electronics, are intended to enhance technology and product offerings while accumulating high-end customer resources [8].

Core Viewpoint - Junwei Electronics (301458.SZ) has shown strong operational performance, with significant growth in both revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a positive trajectory for the company in the global electronic components market [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Junwei Electronics achieved revenue of 573 million yuan, representing an 18.00% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 114 million yuan, reflecting a 25.27% increase [1][2]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 219 million yuan, up 20.02% year-on-year, and a net profit of approximately 45.93 million yuan, which is a 26.89% increase [2]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 reached a historical high of 50.69%, an increase of 2.42 percentage points compared to the same period in 2024 [2][4]. Business Operations - Junwei Electronics specializes in the design, research, development, manufacturing, and sales of precision resistors and fuses, with applications in smartphones, laptops, lithium battery protection boards, and emerging markets such as AI servers and energy storage [2][3]. - The company has expanded its global presence by establishing subsidiaries and sales teams in regions like the United States and Japan, while maintaining production bases in mainland China [3][4]. Market Position and Clientele - The company has a diverse client base, including major global companies such as Samsung, Xiaomi, Lenovo, and NVIDIA, which enhances its market competitiveness [3][4]. - As of 2025, the proportion of revenue from overseas markets has steadily increased, reaching 36.24% in the first half of 2025, with higher gross margins compared to domestic operations [4]. Research and Development - Junwei Electronics has consistently increased its R&D investment, with expenditures of 25.92 million yuan, 27.33 million yuan, and 23.24 million yuan for the years 2023 to the first three quarters of 2025, respectively [4]. - The company holds 126 patents, including 26 invention patents, which underscores its commitment to innovation and technology advancement [4]. Financial Health - As of September 2025, Junwei Electronics reported cash and cash equivalents of 729 million yuan and trading financial assets of 205 million yuan, indicating a strong liquidity position [5].

Core Viewpoint - Junwei Electronics reported strong financial performance in Q3, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, indicating effective cost control and product optimization strategies [2][3]. Financial Performance - In Q3, the company achieved revenue of 219 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.02% [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 45.93 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 26.89% compared to the same period last year [2][3]. - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses was 45.64 million yuan, up 27.95% year-on-year [2][3]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 573 million yuan, an 18% increase year-on-year [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters was 114.17 million yuan, showing a growth of 25.27% [2][3]. - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses for the same period was 112 million yuan, up 25.16% year-on-year [2][3]. Profitability and Efficiency - The gross margin for Q3 improved to 52.94%, an increase of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year and 4.29 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, indicating effective product structure optimization and cost control [2][3]. Business Composition - The main business of Junwei Electronics includes the design, research and development, manufacturing, and sales of precision resistors for current sensing and fuses [4]. - In terms of revenue composition, current sensing precision resistors accounted for 64.82%, fuses for 18.82%, and other businesses for 16.36% [4]. Strategic Developments - The company's wholly-owned subsidiary, Yokohama Electronics, is actively pursuing the acquisition of 100% equity in Flat Electronics, enhancing Junwei Electronics' strategic layout in the thin-film resistor sector and further enriching its product line and technological reserves [4].

Core Insights - Junwei Electronics experienced a slight increase of 0.20% in stock price on October 22, with a trading volume of 70.5853 million yuan [1] - The company reported a net financing outflow of 1.6158 million yuan on the same day, with a total financing and securities balance of 197 million yuan [1] - As of September 30, Junwei Electronics achieved a revenue of 573 million yuan, marking an 18% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 114 million yuan, reflecting a 25.27% increase [2] Financing and Trading Activity - On October 22, Junwei Electronics had a financing buy-in of 5.0768 million yuan, with a current financing balance of 197 million yuan, accounting for 8.76% of its market capitalization [1] - The company repaid 600 shares of securities and sold 400 shares on the same day, with a selling amount of 13,900 yuan [1] Shareholder and Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, the number of shareholders for Junwei Electronics decreased by 18.87% to 20,100, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 23.25% to 3,215 shares [2] - The largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 898,200 shares, an increase of 746,900 shares from the previous period [3] - Southern CSI 1000 ETF and Huaxia CSI 1000 ETF are among the top ten circulating shareholders, with varying changes in their holdings [3] Business Overview - Junwei Electronics, established on January 13, 2014, specializes in the design, research, development, manufacturing, and sales of precision resistors and fuses [1] - The main revenue sources are precision current sensing resistors (64.82%), fuses (18.82%), and other products (16.36%) [1]

Core Viewpoint - Junwei Electronics experienced a decline of 1.23% in stock price on September 25, with a trading volume of 162 million yuan, indicating a negative sentiment in the market [1] Financing Summary - On September 25, Junwei Electronics had a financing buy amount of 18.6854 million yuan, while the financing repayment was 28.9425 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of -10.2571 million yuan [1] - As of September 25, the total financing and securities lending balance for Junwei Electronics was 188 million yuan, with the current financing balance at 187 million yuan, accounting for 7.70% of the circulating market value [2] - The company had no shares repaid in securities lending on September 25, with 100 shares sold, amounting to 3,769 yuan at the closing price, and a remaining securities lending balance of 32.41 million yuan [2] Company Overview - Junwei Electronics, established on January 13, 2014, and listed on January 10, 2025, is located in Jiangmen City, Guangdong Province, focusing on the design, research, development, manufacturing, and sales of precision resistors and fuses [2] - The main business revenue composition includes precision current sensing resistors (64.82%), fuses (18.82%), and others (16.36%) [2] - As of July 31, the number of shareholders for Junwei Electronics was 24,700, a decrease of 9.94% from the previous period, with an average of 2,608 circulating shares per person, an increase of 11.03% [2] Financial Performance - For the period from January to June 2025, Junwei Electronics achieved an operating income of 355 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.79%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 68.242 million yuan, up 24.20% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 52.8 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing [2] Institutional Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, the largest circulating shareholder of Junwei Electronics was the Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100), holding 742,400 shares as a new shareholder [3] - Other notable new shareholders include the Huaxia CSI 1000 ETF (159845) with 432,800 shares and the GF CSI 1000 ETF (560010) with 353,600 shares [3] - Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, ranked ninth among circulating shareholders, reduced its holdings by 113,700 shares [3]

Group 1: Company Overview and Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of ¥354,731,314.86 in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.79% [2] - The net profit for the same period was ¥68,242,031.52, with a year-on-year increase of 24.20% [2] - The company is transitioning to become a comprehensive current application solution provider, leveraging its leading position in precision resistors [2][3] Group 2: Product Development and Market Strategy - The company is focusing on developing a full range of current sensor products, including technologies like magnetic flux gate, Hall effect, and tunnel magnetoresistance (TMR) [3] - Current sensors are identified as a new growth point, with significant market potential driven by demand in electric vehicles and industrial automation [4] - The company plans to enhance its product offerings in high-precision current measurement solutions to meet the needs of automotive and industrial sectors [3][4] Group 3: Market Outlook and Competitive Landscape - The global sensor market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9%, with China being one of the largest markets [4] - Automotive and industrial control are the largest and fastest-growing application areas for sensors, particularly for precision sensors [4] - The company has established a sustainable competitive advantage in overseas markets, with a revenue ratio of approximately 70% domestic and 30% international [5] Group 4: Strategic Acquisitions and Future Growth - The acquisition of Flat Electronics Co., Ltd. will enhance the company's capabilities in high-precision thin-film resistors and expand its product matrix [6][7] - The company aims to deepen its presence in high-end markets through localized services and tailored solutions [8] - Future growth will be driven by multiple high-potential sectors, including electric tools, electric vehicles, and energy storage [9][10]