全球 业绩报告 Q2 2025 基于2025年第三季度 的初步数据 引言 私人资本的业绩报告具有滞后性，这意味着我们现在才提供2025年第二季度的最终数字。现在感觉时间已久远，但 那不过是2025年4月2日，唐纳德·特朗普总统的"解放日"关税宣布让全球市场陷入混乱。关税冲击引发了关于通货膨 胀压力重新出现的担忧、供应链堵塞，以及对经济增长放缓的恐慌。尽管不确定性很高，但公共股权市场表现出韧 性，在大约一个月内恢复损失，并且在当年剩余时间里持续稳步上升。然而，在多个未解决的地缘政治热点、人工 智能资产泡沫的恐惧、私营信贷可能出现的裂痕、顽固的通货膨胀和劳动力市场担忧之下，投资者情绪依然不稳定 。 对于私人资本，短期市场波动不会实时反映，但可能影响分配者的观点和未来净资产价值（NAV）的确定。尽管 投资者情绪依然脆弱，但私人市场出现了一些令人鼓舞的迹象。2025年末，私募股权（PE）和风险投资（VC） 的交易活动加速。这种复苏预示着对有限合伙人（LP）的分配将有所改善，尽管它们在大多数私人资本策略中仍 然面临挑战，并且低于长期平均水平。 近期新冠疫情后的经济逆风导致短期回报不及长期平均水平。更具体地说，利率敏感性 ...

Market Overview - On February 19, U.S. stock markets opened lower and closed down, with all three major indices declining [1][2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.54% to 49,395.16 points, the S&P 500 decreased by 0.28% to 6,861.89 points, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped by 0.31% to 22,682.73 points [2][3] Asset Management Sector - Blue Owl Capital announced the sale of $1.4 billion in loan assets from three private debt funds, raising concerns among investors about potential losses in the private loan sector [4] - Following this news, several asset management companies experienced significant stock declines: Blue Owl Capital down 5.93%, Blackstone down 5.37%, Apollo Global Management down 5.21%, Ares Management down 3.08%, and Brookfield down 2.68% [4] Software Industry - The software sector also showed weakness, with notable declines in stocks such as Cadence Design Systems down 2.76%, SAP down 2.41%, Intuit down 2.06%, and ServiceNow down 1.33% [4] - Concerns about artificial intelligence potentially disrupting the software industry were highlighted, with Mistral AI's CEO stating that over 50% of enterprise software could be replaced by this technology [4] Energy Sector - Energy stocks mostly rose amid ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Iran, with ConocoPhillips up 0.97% and Chevron up 0.49% [5] Retail Sector - Walmart's stock fell by 1.38% after the company provided a fiscal year profit guidance that fell short of market expectations, overshadowing its better-than-expected fourth-quarter results [5] Technology Stocks - Major tech stocks had mixed performances: Nvidia down 0.04%, Apple down 1.43%, Alphabet down 0.13%, Microsoft down 0.29%, Amazon up 0.03%, Meta up 0.24%, and Tesla up 0.12% [6][7] Chinese Stocks - The LiFeng Chinese stock index fell by 0.54%, and the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index decreased by 0.35% [8] - Popular Chinese stocks mostly declined, with Bawang Tea down 2.5%, Trip.com down 2.28%, Alibaba down 0.96%, and Pinduoduo down 0.94% [8] Company News - Amazon surpassed Walmart to become the highest-grossing company globally, reporting $717 billion in sales for the fiscal year ending December, compared to Walmart's $713.2 billion [9] - AMD announced it will support a $300 million loan to Crusoe, backed by chip products [10] - Hims & Hers Health is acquiring Australian digital health company Eucalyptus for up to $1.15 billion, which boosted its stock by approximately 7% in pre-market trading [11] - Yorkville America Equities LLC announced plans to acquire the Point Bridge America First ETF, focusing on investments aligned with former President Trump's "America First" ideology [12] - BE Semiconductor Industries reported fourth-quarter revenue of €166.4 million, exceeding analyst expectations, and projected a revenue growth of 5%-15% for the first quarter [13]