稀奶油和黄油
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妙可蓝多(600882)季报点评:营收逐季提速 持续开拓可期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 04:23
Core Insights - The company is experiencing accelerated revenue growth and significant profit improvement due to a low base, with substantial long-term penetration potential in the cheese category [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.957 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.09%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 176 million yuan, up 106.88%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 120 million yuan, reflecting a 92.44% increase. In Q3 alone, revenue reached 1.39 billion yuan, a 14.22% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 43 million yuan, up 214.67%, and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 17 million yuan, increasing by 224.22% [2]. Cheese Business Growth - The cheese segment reported revenue of 1.166 billion yuan in Q3 2025, growing 22% year-on-year, outpacing overall revenue growth. The liquid milk business saw a contraction. The company is expanding its B-end channels and improving its C-end offerings, with expectations for a natural recovery in C-end demand to enhance product structure and gross margins [3]. Market Expansion and Innovation - The company maintains a strong growth trajectory in the B-end while ensuring stable performance in the C-end. It is innovating product channels and expanding into new market segments, including family dining and various retail formats. The dual-brand strategy in the B-end is yielding complementary benefits, with significant growth in customized products. As a leader in the cheese industry, the company is well-positioned to continue launching new products and enhancing category penetration [3].
妙可蓝多(600882): 2025H1 业绩预增公告点评:协同释放,盈利高增
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-07-13 10:57
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Accumulate" [4][10]. Core Views - The company is actively enriching its product matrix and strengthening its ambient products, enhancing C-end channel diversification and B-end channel synergy after integrating Mengniu Cheese, leading to a significant improvement in profitability for H1 2025 [2][10]. - The company expects a notable increase in net profit for H1 2025, projecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 120-145 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 56.29%-88.86% [10]. - The integration of Mengniu Cheese has strengthened synergy across the entire operation, from procurement to sales, enhancing efficiency and profitability [10]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is 5,322 million yuan, with projections of 4,844 million yuan for 2024, and expected growth to 5,313 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a 9.7% increase [3][11]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to rise from 60 million yuan in 2023 to 225 million yuan in 2025, indicating a growth rate of 97.7% [3][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.12 yuan in 2023 to 0.44 yuan in 2025, with a projected net asset return rate of 4.9% in 2025 [3][11]. Market Data - The company's target price is set at 33.20 yuan, with a current price of 28.34 yuan [4][10]. - The market capitalization is approximately 14,512 million yuan, with a 52-week price range of 11.78-32.69 yuan [5][10]. Financial Ratios - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 241.60 in 2023 to 64.61 in 2025, indicating improved valuation [3][11]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 1.3% in 2023 to 4.9% in 2025, reflecting enhanced profitability [3][11].