协同释放，盈利高增 妙可蓝多(600882) 公司积极丰富产品矩阵、强化常温产品，整合蒙牛奶酪后加强 C 端渠道多元化及 B 端渠道协同，叠加协同释放、提升费效，2025H1 盈利能力显著增强。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 5,322 | 4,844 | 5,313 | 6,004 | 6,820 | | (+/-)% | 10.2% | -9.0% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.6% | | 净利润(归母) | 60 | 114 | 225 | 330 | 437 | | (+/-)% | -56.3% | 89.2% | 97.7% | 46.8% | 32.6% | | 每股净收益(元) | 0.12 | 0.22 | 0.44 | 0.64 | 0.85 | | 净资产收益率(%) | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | | 市盈率(现价&最 ...

公司预计2025H1 盈利显著提升。公司发布2025H1 业绩预增公告，预计2025H1 实现归母净利1.20-1.45 亿元、同比增长56.29%-88.86%，扣非归母净利0.90-1.15 亿元、同比增长58.22%-102.16%。 2024 年妙可蓝多收购蒙牛奶酪后于同年7 月1 日起并表，与同期经追溯调整后的数据相比，归母净利同 比增长68.10%-103.12%，扣非归母净利增长58.22%-102.16%。报告期内公司盈利能力显著提升，主要得 益于奶酪营收同比上升、原材料成本下降，以及降本增效措施成效显现推动销售费用率同比优化。 本报告导读： 公司积极丰富产品矩阵、强化常温产品，整合蒙牛奶酪后加强C 端渠道多元化及B端渠道协同，叠加协 同释放、提升费效，2025H1 盈利能力显著增强。 投资要点： 投资建议：上 调至"增持"评级。上调公司2025-2027 年EPS 预测至0.44（+0.01）、0.64（+0.01）、0.85 （+0.01）元，分别同比增长97.7%、46.8%、32.6%。参考可比公司平均估值，考虑公司产品及渠道创 新能力较强、合并后协同效应释放提升销售和管理费效，给予公 ...

线下合作山姆、盒马等高势能渠道，有望持续上新。今年5 月，公司上架了新品"牛肉+再制奶酪"，将 牛肉风干小香肠+超干牛肉+再制奶酪打包成为"内蒙草原风味小零食"；今年3 月，公司联合盒马推出鳕 鱼奶酪条，定位佐酒伴侣，抢占成人零食赛道。公司在山姆、盒马等线下新零售渠道推出特色新品，展 现公司在奶酪领域的产品力与品牌力，基于公司领先的产品研发能力，我们期待未来公司将更多新品打 入高势能渠道。 盈利预测及投资评级：我们预计公司2025-27 年实现营收56.36/65.49/76.08 亿元，同比增长 16.35%/16.21%/16.17%，实现归母净利润2.35/3.42/4.36 亿元，同比增长107.15%/45.47%/27.41%，对应 PE分别为68X/47X/37X，维持"推荐"评级。 风险提示：行业竞争加剧、与蒙牛奶酪业务整合不及预期、原材料价格大幅波动、产品推新效果不及预 期、食品安全问题等 25Q2 公司持续推新、拓宽渠道，C 端及B 端的产品均引领国内奶酪行业的发展，基于公司在产品、品 牌、渠道的核心竞争力，我们看好公司未来的持续成长，朝着百亿营收的目标坚实迈进。 聚集奶酪核心业务，C 端 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is enhancing its C-end channel diversification and B-end channel synergy after integrating Mengniu Cheese, aiming to enrich its product matrix and strengthen ambient products, which, along with optimized management and improved cost efficiency, is expected to drive a performance turnaround [1]. Investment Highlights - The company is initiating coverage with a "cautious buy" rating, focusing on product innovation and matrix enrichment, accelerating C-end channel diversification, and increasing B-end expansion post-Mengniu integration. Improved management precision is anticipated to significantly enhance net profit margins. EPS is projected to be 0.43, 0.63, and 0.84 yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of 94.4%, 45.4%, and 34.6% respectively. Given the expected improvement in net profit margins and substantial growth potential compared to peers, a valuation of 3.1X P/S for 2025 is suggested, corresponding to a fair value of 31.92 yuan per share [2]. Product and Channel Innovation - The company is focusing on its core cheese business, continuously enriching and optimizing its product matrix. C-end cheese sticks are expanding from low-temperature to ambient products, with new product forms being introduced. The B-end operates dual brands with complementary products, leveraging Mengniu's strengths in cream and butter, while the main brand excels in mozzarella, cheese slices, and original cheese. The C-end is diversifying from key accounts to include growth channels like snack wholesale, membership stores, and convenience stores, while the B-end is expanding collaborations with food service and industrial companies. Following Mengniu's acquisition in 2021, the number of retail terminal outlets increased from 600,000 in 2021 to approximately 800,000 in 2022, with further expansion expected [3]. Synergy and Efficiency Enhancement - After integrating Mengniu Cheese, the company is strengthening synergy and mutual empowerment across the entire value chain, from upstream procurement to downstream sales and management. The company is actively promoting refined and precise management operations, with expectations of a noticeable improvement in net profit margins through enhanced sales and management efficiency [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company is preparing for the 2024 Annual General Meeting (AGM) and has outlined the procedures and key agenda items for the meeting, including the review of various reports and proposals related to its operations and governance [1][2][4]. Group 1: Meeting Procedures - The company emphasizes the importance of maintaining order during the AGM and requires attendees to present identification and authorization documents [1][2]. - Voting will be conducted through a combination of on-site and online methods, with specific rules regarding late arrivals and participation [2][3]. - Attendees are reminded to respect the meeting's decorum and cooperate with staff to ensure a smooth process [2][3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2024, the company reported a total revenue of CNY 4.84 billion, a decrease of 8.99% compared to the previous year [20][21]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 113.62 million, reflecting a significant increase of 89.16% year-on-year [6][21]. - The company achieved a net cash flow from operating activities of CNY 530.73 million, marking a substantial improvement of 101.28% from the previous year [6][21]. Group 3: Business Strategy and Operations - The company continues to focus on its core cheese business, which generated revenue of CNY 3.76 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.92% [6][7]. - The company has implemented various operational measures to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, contributing to improved profit margins [6][7]. - Product innovation remains a priority, with new offerings such as preservative-free cheese sticks and seasonal products aimed at expanding market share [8][9]. Group 4: Governance and Compliance - The board of directors has adhered to legal and regulatory requirements, holding 14 meetings and convening 5 AGMs during the reporting period [13][14]. - The company has established specialized committees to support governance, including a strategic committee and an audit committee, which have met regularly to oversee key decisions [14][15]. - The company plans to revise its articles of association to align with new regulatory guidelines and enhance corporate governance [27][28].