2025Q3 公司营收增长提速，利润低基数上继续明显改善，奶酪品类长期渗透率提升空间较大，公司 B 端开拓和 C端改善之下逐步提速成长可期。 奶酪主业增长较快，盈利逐步提升。公司2025Q3 奶酪业务实现营收11.66 亿元、同比+22%，快于整体 收入增速，液态奶业务有所收缩。公司继续开拓B 端渠道以及C 端新品，我们预计25Q3 因C 端即时营 养系列处于季节性淡季，而B 端占比相对提高，单Q3 利润绝对额相对Q1 和Q2 偏低，后续C 端需求有 望自然回暖带动产品结构和毛利率提升。同时公司通过管理运营的精细化有望继续提升费效，未来盈利 提升空间较大。 产品渠道持续创新，市场开拓空间较大。公司延续B 端高增、C 端稳健的经营态势，C 端奶酪棒稳低温 拓常温、积极布局家庭餐桌场景，以KA 为主逐步走向多元化，积极布局零食量贩、会员店、便利店等 成长性渠道。B 端双品牌产品互补，爱氏晨曦以稀奶油和黄油见长，妙可蓝多马苏里拉、奶酪片、原制 奶酪订单持续放量，定制化新品打开市场，组合协同成效显现。公司作为奶酪行业龙头形成品牌和管理 沉淀，未来有望在奶酪大市场中持续开拓新品和新场景，同时结合渠道开拓推动品类渗透率的 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent research conducted by QuanGuo Fund on the listed company MiaoKeLanDuo, highlighting its strategic focus on the "Store Efficiency Doubling" initiative as a long-term plan for the next three years [1][2]. Group 1: Company Strategy - The "Store Efficiency Doubling" strategy is identified as the company's top priority, aimed at transforming marketing and operations by focusing on consumer needs and enhancing resource allocation towards frontline operations [1][2]. - The company is implementing a triangular organizational model to shift from resource input to capability enhancement, which is expected to drive high-quality development [1][2]. Group 2: Business Performance - As of September 29, 2025, QuanGuo Fund's best-performing product, QuanGuo XuYuan Three-Year Holding Mixed A, achieved a return of 54.74% over the past year [2]. - The company has seen significant progress in both B-end and C-end business operations, with a focus on domestic raw material substitution and enhanced supply chain capabilities [3][4]. Group 3: Product Development and Market Expansion - The company is expanding its product offerings to cater to a broader demographic, including children, teenagers, and adults, by introducing new products like cheese balls and cheese snacks [7][12]. - The company aims to enhance its market position in the cheese segment by leveraging its strong R&D capabilities to customize products for various retail channels [4][9]. Group 4: Sales and Marketing Strategy - The sales team is structured to optimize collaboration with distributors and retailers, focusing on enhancing efficiency through a unified command system [6][8]. - The company is utilizing a dual-brand pricing strategy in the snack retail channel to increase product penetration and market share [4][10]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The company envisions becoming a leading cheese enterprise in China and a respected player globally, with a five-year plan that includes a dual-driven strategy focusing on both B-end and C-end markets [12][13]. - The company plans to enhance its supply chain capabilities and expand its market reach through strategic partnerships and product innovation [12][13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.567 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.98%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 133 million yuan, up 86.27% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of 102 million yuan, an increase of 80.10% year-on-year [1][3]. - The growth in revenue is driven by cheese products, with significant contributions from the ready-to-eat nutrition series and the restaurant industrial series [3]. - The company has implemented cost-cutting measures, resulting in a gross margin of 30.81% in H1 2025, an increase of 0.91 percentage points year-on-year, and a significant reduction in sales expense ratio [3]. - The company is expected to maintain a high growth rate in profits for the second half of the year, with projected EPS of 0.41, 0.57, and 0.82 yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to P/E ratios of 66X, 48X, and 33X respectively [3][4]. Financial Summary - In H1 2025, the company's revenue from liquid milk, cheese, and dairy product trading was 187 million yuan, 2.136 billion yuan, and 230 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.63%, 14.85%, and 3.69% [3]. - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 30.81%, with a net profit margin of 5.18%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.18 percentage points [3]. - The company has forecasted total revenue of 5.38 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 11.1% [4].

Company Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.567 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.98% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 133 million yuan, a significant increase of 86.27% compared to the same period last year [1] - The cheese business generated revenue of 2.136 billion yuan, growing by 14.85% year-on-year, and accounted for 83.67% of the main business revenue [1][2] Product Segmentation - The company’s cheese product lines, including ready-to-eat nutrition series, family table series, and catering industrial series, all showed positive growth [2] - The catering industrial series saw a revenue increase of 36.26%, while the family table series grew by 28.44% due to enhanced channel cooperation [2] - The ready-to-eat cheese segment has developed a product matrix covering various forms for children, while new products for adults have also been introduced [2] Industry Outlook - The cheese industry in China is expected to grow rapidly due to consumer demand for health management and nutritional supplements [3] - The high growth potential of the cheese market is attracting numerous enterprises, leading to increased competition in product innovation and channel expansion [3] - Companies are encouraged to localize their products based on international market experiences and Chinese consumer preferences to enhance market penetration [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to experience accelerated revenue growth, driven by both consumer (C-end) and business (B-end) segments, with a focus on its cheese strategy and cost control measures [8] - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 has been slightly adjusted to 5.37 billion, 6.16 billion, and 7.12 billion RMB, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 10.87%, 14.71%, and 15.58% respectively [8] - The net profit forecast for the same period has been revised to 282.23 million, 382.69 million, and 486.42 million RMB, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 148.40%, 35.59%, and 27.10% [8] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 2.567 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 7.98%, and a net profit of 133 million RMB, up 86.27% [8] - The company's cheese business has shown comprehensive growth, with total revenue from three major cheese series increasing by 14.85% in the first half of the year [8] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 improved to 30.81%, with a net profit margin of 5.18%, reflecting an upward trend [8][9] Product and Market Strategy - The company is focusing on a dual-driven strategy for both B2C and B2B markets, enhancing its product matrix to cater to various consumer needs and expanding into high-potential channels [8] - New product launches in the ready-to-eat cheese segment and customized products for membership supermarkets are expected to contribute to ongoing revenue growth [8] - The company has implemented a "cost control strategy" that has led to significant improvements in gross sales margins and a reduction in sales expense ratios [8]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the financial performance and strategic positioning of Shanghai Milkground Food Tech Co., Ltd. (妙可蓝多) in the dairy industry, particularly focusing on cheese products, which are experiencing growth and market leadership. Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for the first half of 2025 reached approximately 2.57 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.98% compared to the previous year [2] - The total profit for the period was approximately 176.46 million RMB, showing an impressive growth of 85.44% year-on-year [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 132.97 million RMB, reflecting an increase of 86.27% compared to the same period last year [10] Industry Overview - The dairy industry in China is facing a structural imbalance, with a significant reliance on imported raw materials and a low proportion of high-value-added products like cheese and butter, which only account for 7.3% of the market [3][4] - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments have launched initiatives to promote healthy consumption, which is expected to create opportunities for functional dairy products [3] Market Positioning - The company has established a leading market share in the cheese segment, with over 38% of the packaged cheese market in China as of the first half of 2025 [8] - The cheese business has shown a revenue increase of 14.85% year-on-year, indicating strong demand and market acceptance [11] Product Strategy - The company focuses on a "cheese-centric" strategy, developing a diverse range of cheese products, including ready-to-eat nutrition series, family dining series, and food service series [9] - The product matrix has been expanded to include various cheese forms catering to different consumer needs, such as children's nutrition cheese and adult snack cheese [12] Innovation and R&D - The company has enhanced its R&D capabilities by collaborating with domestic universities and research institutions, leading to innovative product developments [12][19] - The company has received multiple awards for its technological advancements in cheese production, reinforcing its commitment to quality and innovation [12] Marketing and Branding - The company has successfully transitioned its brand positioning from children's cheese to a broader appeal, targeting young consumers, fitness enthusiasts, and the elderly [14] - Marketing strategies include leveraging major sporting events and partnerships with well-known IPs to enhance brand visibility and consumer engagement [14][15] Supply Chain and Cost Management - The company has implemented a comprehensive supply chain management system to improve efficiency and reduce costs, which is crucial for maintaining competitive advantage [16][17] - The "extreme cost" strategy has been initiated to enhance organizational efficiency across all business segments [17] Distribution Channels - The company has established a robust distribution network covering both online and offline channels, with over 6,551 distributors and access to approximately 800,000 retail terminals [20] - The focus on e-commerce platforms and instant retail channels has been intensified to capture a larger market share [16][20]

Group 1 - The cheese consumption penetration rate in China is significantly lower than that in Japan, South Korea, the UK, and the US, indicating a large growth potential for the industry [1][2] - The current per capita cheese consumption in China is only 0.2 kg, compared to Japan's 1.8 kg, suggesting substantial room for improvement [2] - The domestic cheese market is still in its growth phase, with a stable competitive landscape and low self-sufficiency rate, necessitating the release of local production capacity [1][2] Group 2 - The leading company, Miaokelando, is expected to enhance its market position through channel integration and cost reduction in the short term, while focusing on deep processing for long-term growth [2] - Miaokelando maintains a leading market share and is strengthening its competitive advantage through partnerships with Mengniu and continuous product innovation [2] - The company is diversifying its distribution channels and expanding collaborations with restaurants and industrial enterprises to enhance operational efficiency and profitability [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Accumulate" [4][10]. Core Views - The company is actively enriching its product matrix and strengthening its ambient products, enhancing C-end channel diversification and B-end channel synergy after integrating Mengniu Cheese, leading to a significant improvement in profitability for H1 2025 [2][10]. - The company expects a notable increase in net profit for H1 2025, projecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 120-145 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 56.29%-88.86% [10]. - The integration of Mengniu Cheese has strengthened synergy across the entire operation, from procurement to sales, enhancing efficiency and profitability [10]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is 5,322 million yuan, with projections of 4,844 million yuan for 2024, and expected growth to 5,313 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a 9.7% increase [3][11]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to rise from 60 million yuan in 2023 to 225 million yuan in 2025, indicating a growth rate of 97.7% [3][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.12 yuan in 2023 to 0.44 yuan in 2025, with a projected net asset return rate of 4.9% in 2025 [3][11]. Market Data - The company's target price is set at 33.20 yuan, with a current price of 28.34 yuan [4][10]. - The market capitalization is approximately 14,512 million yuan, with a 52-week price range of 11.78-32.69 yuan [5][10]. Financial Ratios - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 241.60 in 2023 to 64.61 in 2025, indicating improved valuation [3][11]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 1.3% in 2023 to 4.9% in 2025, reflecting enhanced profitability [3][11].

Core Viewpoint - The company is enhancing its product matrix and strengthening its ambient product offerings, integrating Mengniu Cheese to diversify C-end channels and synergize B-end channels, leading to a significant improvement in profitability by H1 2025 [1][2]. Investment Highlights - The investment rating has been upgraded to "Buy." The company's EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 have been raised to 0.44 (+0.01), 0.64 (+0.01), and 0.85 (+0.01) yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 97.7%, 46.8%, and 32.6% respectively [2]. - The company expects a significant increase in profitability for H1 2025, projecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 120-145 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 56.29%-88.86%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items is expected to be 90-115 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 58.22%-102.16% [2]. - Following the acquisition of Mengniu Cheese, the company reported a year-on-year net profit growth of 68.10%-103.12% when compared to adjusted data, with a similar growth rate for net profit excluding non-recurring items [2]. Product and Channel Innovation - The company is focusing on its core cheese business, continuously enriching and optimizing its product matrix. The C-end cheese sticks are expanding from low-temperature to ambient products, with new product forms being introduced to enhance coverage in family dining and ready-to-eat nutrition scenarios [3]. - The B-end operates dual brands with complementary products, leveraging Mengniu Cheese's strengths in cream and butter, while Miaokelando's main B-end products include mozzarella, cheese slices, and original cheese, enhancing collaborative synergies [3]. - The C-end channel strategy is evolving from a focus on key accounts to a more diversified approach, actively expanding into growth channels such as snack retail, membership stores, and convenience stores, while strengthening partnerships with restaurants and industrial enterprises in the B-end [3]. Integration and Efficiency Enhancement - The integration of Mengniu Cheese has strengthened collaboration across the entire value chain, from upstream procurement to downstream sales, enhancing operational management and brand effects [3]. - The company is advancing refined and precise management operations, with expectations of further improvements in net profit margins through enhanced sales and management efficiency [3].

Group 1 - The company continues to innovate and expand channels, leading the domestic cheese industry with both C-end and B-end products, aiming for a revenue target of 10 billion [1] - The core cheese business is driven by both C-end and B-end, with three main product series: ready-to-eat nutritional cheese, family table cheese, and catering industrial cheese [1] - In the ready-to-eat nutritional cheese series, the company launched several new products in the first half of 2025, focusing on expanding the adult cheese market [1] Group 2 - The company emphasizes the layout and deep cultivation of e-commerce platforms, achieving significant results during the 618 shopping festival, ranking first in the cheese/dairy category across all platforms [2] - New products such as cheese cups and cheese triangles performed exceptionally well, with strong sales for the dual-brand cheese sticks and other cheese products [2] - The company is collaborating with high-potential offline channels like Sam's Club and Hema, showcasing its product and brand strength in the cheese sector [2] Group 3 - Revenue forecasts for the company from 2025 to 2027 are projected at 5.636 billion, 6.549 billion, and 7.608 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.35%, 16.21%, and 16.17% respectively [3] - The expected net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period is 235 million, 342 million, and 436 million, with significant year-on-year growth rates of 107.15%, 45.47%, and 27.41% [3] - The company maintains a "recommended" rating with corresponding PE ratios of 68X, 47X, and 37X for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [3]