证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2025-07-03 [Table_Tag] 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观量化经济指数周报 20250630：内需延续结构分化，外需保持总量平 稳 货币政策对"资金空转"的关注度依然较高，仍然偏重提高资金使用效率 海外周报 20250629：特朗普《大美丽法案》开始闯关参议院 核心观点：本周以伊冲突与贸易谈判局势缓和令美股大涨，美联储理事 Waller 与 Bowman 的鸽派发言与经济数据走弱令美债利率大幅走低，10 年期美债利率下至 4.277%，美元指数下行至 97.4；黄金与原油价格在避 险情绪大幅降温的情况下分别下跌 2.79%和 12.56%。在美国部分批发商 "抢进口"行为告一段落后，本月分析师大幅上修 Q2 美国 GDP 增速预 期，同时维持美联储 Q3 首次降息，全年降息 2 次的预期不变。向前看， 特朗普《大美丽法案》本周已于参议院进入最终审议阶段，在于 8 月中 下旬来临的 X Date 前提高债务上限的需要或令法案最终通过的 "Deadline"为 7 月 31 日。 风险提示：特朗普政策超预期；美联储降息 ...

Company Overview - Derlin Holdings, formerly Derlin Securities, was established in 2011 and has expanded its service offerings, completing a reverse merger and rebranding in 2020 [1] - The company aims to create a comprehensive financial service ecosystem for high-net-worth individuals and currently holds licenses from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission [1] - As of March 31, 2025, the company expects to achieve a revenue of HKD 190 million, a year-on-year decrease of 6.4%, while net profit is projected to be HKD 137 million, a year-on-year increase of 36.9% [1] Market Potential - The demand for wealth management among high-net-worth individuals is diversifying, creating opportunities for family offices [2] - Hong Kong's private wealth management industry has an AUM of HKD 9 trillion as of 2023, with favorable policies for establishing family offices compared to other international financial centers [2] - Derlin's family office services generated approximately HKD 58.08 million in service fees for the fiscal year 2023, up from HKD 18.7 million in 2022, with expectations to reach 200 clients and USD 10 billion AUM by 2026 [2] Technological Innovation - Derlin Holdings is focused on making services more accessible and intelligent, with AI and finance as core strategies [3] - The company launched Asia's first AI family office (DLiFO) at the end of 2023 to enhance service delivery to a broader range of investors [3] - The flagship project, Synapse Technology, aims to create an intelligent financial ecosystem, allowing licensed financial experts to share knowledge through AI technology [3] Financial Forecast - For the fiscal years 2026-2028, Derlin Holdings is projected to achieve net profits of HKD 138 million, HKD 153 million, and HKD 165 million, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.81%, 11.18%, and 7.84% respectively [4] - Expected earnings per share for the same period are HKD 0.09, HKD 0.10, and HKD 0.11, with corresponding PE ratios of 35, 31, and 29 [4] - The company is viewed positively due to its "AI + family office + cross-border finance" strategy, receiving an "overweight" rating [4]

证券研究报告·海外公司深度·其他金融(HS) 德林控股（01709.HK） 家办业务厚积薄发，AI 金融探索持续深化 2025 年 07 月 02 日 增持（首次） | Table_EPS] [盈利预测与估值 | 2024A | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万港元） | 202.35 | 189.66 | 332.38 | 441.18 | 526.69 | | 同比（%） | 5.88% | -6.27% | 75.25% | 32.73% | 19.38% | | 归母净利润（百万港元） | 99.90 | 136.81 | 137.92 | 153.34 | 165.36 | | 同比（%） | - | 36.94% | 0.81% | 11.18% | 7.84% | | EPS-最新摊薄（港元/股） | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.11 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 43.24 | 33.41 | 34.83 | 31.32 | 2 ...