公 司 报 告 计算机 2025年11月09日 紫光股份(000938.SZ) 三季度营收加速增长，"算力×联接"协同优势把握发展机遇 推荐 ( 维持) 股价:26.29元 行情走势图 证券分析师 闫磊 投资咨询资格编号 S1060517070006 YANLEI511@pingan.com.cn | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 77,308 | 79,024 | 96,630 | 116,390 | 135,688 | | YOY(%) | 4.4 | 2.2 | 22.3 | 20.4 | 16.6 | | 净利润(百万元) | 2,103 | 1,572 | 1,954 | 2,460 | 3,046 | | YOY(%) | -2.5 | -25.2 | 24.3 | 25.9 | 23.8 | | 毛利率(%) | 19.6 | 17.4 | 16.4 | 16.2 | 16.2 | | 净利率(%) | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong growth driven by its subsidiary, Xinhua San, with significant improvements in operational cash flow [7]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its "computing power x connectivity" strategy, which is expected to drive future growth [11]. - The financial forecasts indicate a steady increase in revenue and net profit over the next few years, with a projected revenue of 944.58 billion yuan in 2025 [14]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 773.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.41%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 14.04 billion yuan, down 11.24% [6]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 298.97 billion yuan, reflecting a 43.12% year-on-year growth, but the net profit decreased by 37.56% to 3.63 billion yuan [6]. - The subsidiary Xinhua San generated 596.23 billion yuan in revenue for the first three quarters, up 48.07% year-on-year, with a net profit of 25.29 billion yuan, an increase of 14.75% [7]. Product and Market Strategy Summary - The company is advancing its next-generation ultra-node products and establishing a complete capability for liquid-cooled cabinets [11]. - It has launched new network solutions and AI computing switches, focusing on silicon photonics and optical switching technologies [11]. - The company is expanding its domestic and international business collaborations, successfully partnering with major clients across various sectors [12]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 indicates revenues of 944.58 billion yuan, 1,107.54 billion yuan, and 1,285.02 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 19.73 billion yuan, 25.83 billion yuan, and 32.27 billion yuan [14]. - The projected EPS for the same period is 0.69 yuan, 0.90 yuan, and 1.13 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 38.65, 29.51, and 23.63 [14].

Summary of Unisplendour Corporation's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Unisplendour Corporation (紫光股份) - **Core Subsidiary**: New H3C Group (新华三) Key Financial Performance - **Revenue Growth**: Unisplendour's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 77.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.41% [3] - **Net Profit**: The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.46 billion yuan, up 5.15% year-on-year [3] - **Core Subsidiary Performance**: New H3C's revenue was 59.623 billion yuan, growing 48.07% year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.529 billion yuan, an increase of 14.75% [2][3] Industry Dynamics - **Internet Sector Demand**: New H3C's domestic enterprise business benefited from the growing demand in the internet sector, with revenue increasing by 62.55% to 51.502 billion yuan [4] - **International Business Growth**: International revenue reached 3.478 billion yuan, a significant increase of 83.99% [4] Product and Technology Developments - **Supernode Products**: Unisplendour is advancing its UniPro S8 supernode product cluster deployment and collaborating with domestic manufacturers to develop competitive intelligent computing products [2][6] - **New Solutions**: The company launched a new generation of lossless network solutions and computing cluster switches, enhancing bandwidth and computing access efficiency [2][7] - **800G AR Intelligent Switch**: A new 800G AR intelligent switch was released, focusing on silicon photonics CPO and NPO technologies [2][7] Market Trends and Future Outlook - **Server Market Growth**: The Chinese server market is expected to maintain a growth rate of over 20% in 2026, with AI servers growing significantly faster than non-AI servers [13] - **Exchange and Server Business**: New H3C's switch business grew approximately 30%, while server business (including white-box servers) grew about 75% [11] - **High-Speed Switches**: The combined growth rate for 400G and 800G switches reached 287%, with these high-speed switches accounting for about 30% of overall shipments [13] Strategic Collaborations - **Partnerships with Internet Giants**: Unisplendour collaborates deeply with major internet companies like Alibaba and Tencent on supernode products, integrating domestic AI chips for cost-effective solutions [5][14] - **International Expansion**: New H3C has established 22 overseas branches and collaborates with 3,600 overseas partners, covering 180 countries and regions [10] Challenges and Risks - **Geopolitical Factors**: The company remains cautiously optimistic about future growth despite uncertainties such as US-China technology sanctions [25] - **Margin Pressures**: The overall gross margin has faced pressure due to the high proportion of white-box server sales, but future margins are expected to stabilize between 12% and 16% [21] Conclusion - **Positive Outlook**: Unisplendour is confident in its performance for the fourth quarter and the following year, driven by its robust supply chain and technological advantages in computing, networking, and storage solutions [26]