Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that Xin'ao Co., Ltd. is expected to achieve healthy growth in net profit attributable to shareholders in 2025, with a focus on long-term asset construction and market share expansion [1] Financial Performance - For Q1 to Q3 of 2025, the company's revenue increased by 1% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, rose by 5% [1] - In Q3 of 2025, the company's revenue grew by 2% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, increased by 11% [1] - The performance in Q3 2025 met expectations, and rising gross prices are anticipated to benefit Q4 results [1] Market Position and Outlook - The company is a leader in the fine wool spinning yarn industry and is committed to long-term capacity construction, which is expected to enhance its competitive strength in the medium to long term [1] - Considering the overall situation for the year, the estimated net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 455 million yuan, with forecasts of 541 million yuan and 609 million yuan for 2026 and 2027, respectively [1] - The corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025 is estimated to be 13 times, and the "buy" rating is maintained [1]

Summary of Xin'ao Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - Xin'ao Co., Ltd. is a leading wool spinning enterprise in China, serving renowned fashion brands such as Baosi and Prada. The company has a wool spinning capacity of 17,000 tons and cashmere yarn capacity of 3,300 tons by 2024. [2][3][6] Industry Insights - The cashmere industry is primarily based in China, which accounts for 60% of global production capacity. Xin'ao's integration with Zhongyin Cashmere has increased its cashmere revenue share to 31%, enhancing profitability. The company ranks second domestically and third globally in the cashmere market. [2][6] - The global demand for Merino wool remains stable, with China being the largest exporter. The market share is increasingly concentrated among leading companies, benefiting Xin'ao significantly. The domestic market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 4%, driven by outdoor sports and sustainability trends. [2][7] Financial Performance - Xin'ao's revenue growth has slowed since 2023 due to international brand destocking, with projected revenue CAGR for the first half of 2023-2025 expected to be in single digits. Profit growth is also anticipated to slow correspondingly. [2][3] - The company has diversified its customer base, reducing the concentration of its top five customers to around 10%. [2][9] Operational Efficiency - Xin'ao has improved operational efficiency through enhanced marketing channel layouts, sales incentives, and increased production-sales ratios. The production-sales ratio for wool yarn remains above 94%, while cashmere yarn has improved to 99%. [2][9] Strategic Developments - Since implementing the broadband strategy in 2021, Xin'ao has diversified its customer structure and increased its marketing efforts across various regions, leading to a significant reduction in customer concentration. [9] - The company has also increased its R&D investments, launching innovative products such as wool and diacetate blended yarns, which have contributed to a steady increase in gross margins. [9][10] Future Outlook - Xin'ao is expected to maintain a double-digit CAGR over the next two to three years, supported by new capacity from its Vietnam and Ningxia projects. The cashmere business is projected to become a significant profit source, with a 70% increase in revenue and sales since acquiring Zhongyin Cashmere and UK-based Duncan Cashmere. [11][12] - The company’s ability to adapt to market changes, strong production capacity, and innovative R&D will help maintain robust growth and a prominent position in the global market. [12]