Group 1 - The market dynamics this week are complex, influenced by interest rate paths, economic growth expectations, and central bank policy signals, with key focus on US CPI, PPI, and Fed Chair Powell's speech [1] - Stock market shows cautious optimism due to breakthroughs in diplomacy, trade negotiations, and easing global tensions, bolstered by President Trump's positive remarks urging Americans to "buy immediately" [1] - Despite the UK trade agreement providing tariff exemptions for key goods, US-China dialogue continues, with Trump viewing recent talks in Switzerland as a potential "reset" to ease the trade war [1] Group 2 - Geopolitical developments, such as the ceasefire between India and Pakistan and Russia's call for direct negotiations with Ukraine, have positively impacted the market, with traders focusing on broader diplomatic shifts [2] - Key economic data to watch includes US CPI expected to remain at 2.4% and core CPI projected to drop from 2.8%, which may strengthen expectations for a shift in Fed policy [2] - On May 15, significant data releases include UK GDP growth forecast at 0.0% and US PPI expected to rebound to 0.2%, indicating potential inflationary pressures that complicate the Fed's outlook [2] Group 3 - Overall, the market reflects reduced disruptions from global diplomatic issues, but increased focus on economic direction, with traders weighing inflation data against central bank communications [3] - Market positioning will depend on whether macro signals support easing policies or suggest further tightening is necessary, amidst uncertainties from trade negotiations [3]