市场消息 圣诞前日美股双指同创历史新高，投资者关注"圣诞老人行情"会否继续。美国股市周四因圣诞节休市，周三提前收盘且交易活动清淡。预计在新年假期缩短 的一周来临前，市场成交量将持续低迷。本周早些时候，受美国第三季度经济增长强于预期提振，标普500指数周三收涨0.3%至6932.05点，刷新历史新高; 道琼斯工业平均指数收涨0.6%至48731.16点，同样创下该蓝筹指数的历史纪录;纳斯达克综合指数收涨0.2%至23,613.31点，主要得益于人工智能龙头企业的 强劲表现。周五市场恢复正常交易后，投资者将聚焦经济数据以获取更多指引。在清淡成交量的背景下，交易可能保持平静，但市场正关注"圣诞老人行 情"能否延续。 华尔街齐声唱多2026年美股!AI与降息共振下有望四年连涨，但高度共识或成隐忧。临近年末，机构对2026年美股市场的预测基本发布完毕。华尔街对2026 年标普500指数的目标点位预测集中在7100-8100 点区间，平均目标点位为7490点，较周三收盘点位有约8%的上涨空间。在美股今年大概率收涨的情况下， 若2026年美股走势符合预测，将是美股连续第四年上涨。华尔街普遍预计，人工智能 (AI) 热潮以及 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that global stock markets are showing mixed trends, with a generally weak performance as the market approaches historically volatile months of September and October [2] - Hong Kong's interbank lending rate (Hibor) has surged above 3%, reaching a five-month high, raising concerns among analysts about its potential impact on economic recovery [2] - Morgan Stanley warns that sustained high Hibor rates could lead to cautious investor behavior and reduced borrowing demand, negatively affecting Hong Kong's economy [2] Group 2 - The U.S. has imposed a 50% tariff on Indian imports as a punishment for purchasing Russian oil, affecting over 55% of goods exported to the U.S., particularly impacting labor-intensive sectors like textiles and jewelry [3] - This tariff move threatens India's export competitiveness and raises doubts about its ambitions to become a manufacturing hub, with exporters facing reduced orders and potential layoffs [3] - The EU plans to accelerate legislation to eliminate tariffs on U.S. industrial products, acknowledging that the agreement favors the U.S. but emphasizes its importance for EU business stability [3] Group 3 - December gold futures are currently in a bullish position, with the next target for bulls being to push prices above the key resistance level of $3,500 [4] - The first resistance level is identified at the overnight high of $3,444.30, with further resistance at $3,450; the first support level is at $3,400, with additional support at this week's low of $3,396.10 [4]