一、医药流通行业龙头，25Q3 单季度归母净利润增速达 17% 1.1 中国医药流通行业龙头，业务布局医药分销、器械分销及零售 国药控股是国药集团医药商贸流通板块的承载企业。公司于 2003 年 1 月在上海成立，并于 2009年 9月在香港上 市，下辖 1100余家子公司（含国药股份、国药一致两家 A股上市公司）。 目前，公司业务涵盖医药分销，器械分 销，医药零售三大板块。 在医药和器械分销领域，公司依托覆盖全国的配送网络，为国内外药品、医疗器械、耗 材及 其他医疗保健产品的制造商和供货商，及下游的医院、其他分销商、零售药店、基层医疗机 构等客户提供全 面的分销、配送和其他增值服务。在医药零售领域，公司在中国主要城市以 直接经营和特许经营方式管理零售连 锁药店网络，向终端消费者销售药品及大健康产品，该 业务板块一直居于中国医药零售行业前列。2024 年，国药 控股实现营业收入 5845 亿元人民币。 其中，药品分销业务持续巩固领先优势，各省(区、市)终端网络覆盖 70 余 万家，市场份额稳 步提升；医疗器械业务网络覆盖优势稳固，综合服务能力持续提升，工业制造扎实推进；药 品 零售网络持续优化，门店总数超过 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Construction Investment forecasts that China National Pharmaceutical Group (国药控股) will achieve revenue and net profit growth from 2025 to 2027, maintaining a "buy" rating for the stock [1] Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 431.48 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.47%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.31 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.53% [1] - For Q3 2025, revenue was 145.44 billion yuan, down 1.53% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 16.9% to 1.84 billion yuan, attributed to cost reduction and efficiency improvements [1][2] Market Dynamics - The company has focused on enhancing its market presence in key regions such as East and North China, leading to stable growth in drug distribution [2] - The medical device distribution segment continues to face pressure from centralized procurement, but the decline in revenue and net profit is manageable [2] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a return to stable growth in the drug distribution sector as the impact of compliance sales normalizes and price reforms take effect [3] - The medical device distribution performance is expected to accelerate due to ongoing improvements in service and manufacturing capabilities [3] Financial Metrics - The overall gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 7.25%, a decrease of 0.23 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in high-margin business revenue [4] - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of -39.08 billion yuan, an improvement from -47.72 billion yuan in the previous year [4]

Core Insights - The company reported a total operating revenue of approximately 55.12 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.38% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 957 million yuan, down 10.18% year-on-year [1] - The basic earnings per share were 1.72 yuan [1] Distribution Segment - The distribution segment achieved operating revenue of 40.59 billion yuan from January to September 2025, a year-on-year decline of 0.59% [2] - Net profit for the distribution segment was 723 million yuan, down 7.32% year-on-year [2] - Despite ongoing policy and market competition pressures, the company managed to stabilize distribution revenue through continuous optimization of its business structure [2] Retail Segment - The retail segment, represented by "Guoyao Holdings Guoda Pharmacy Co., Ltd.", generated operating revenue of 15.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.14% [2] - The net profit for the retail segment was 13 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 133.91% [2] - The retail segment faced challenges from the market environment and strategic store closures, but improved profitability through optimization of procurement systems and closure of inefficient stores [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in key financial metrics for the first half of 2025, indicating challenges in both distribution and retail segments due to market competition and policy changes [2][3]. Financial Performance - Total operating revenue for the first half of 2025 was 3,679.66 million yuan, a decrease of 2.62% compared to the previous year [2]. - Operating profit decreased by 2.36% to 926.50 million yuan [2]. - Total profit fell by 4.16% to 918.11 million yuan [2]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 666.91 million yuan, down 10.43% year-on-year [2]. - Basic earnings per share decreased by 10.45% to 1.20 yuan [2]. - The weighted average return on equity declined by 0.49 percentage points to 3.70% [2]. - Total assets increased by 6.04% to 5,042.61 million yuan [2]. - Shareholders' equity attributable to the company rose by 2.64% to 1,813.62 million yuan [2]. Segment Performance - The distribution segment generated operating revenue of 26,783 million yuan, a decline of 1.09%, with net profit down 7.82% to 482 million yuan, impacted by industry policy changes and increased market competition [2]. - The retail segment, represented by "Guoyao Holdings Guoda Pharmacy Co., Ltd.", achieved operating revenue of 10,479 million yuan, a decrease of 6.46%, but net profit increased by 215.81% to 17 million yuan due to strategic store closures and cost reductions [2]. Strategic Direction - The company aims to adapt to industry policy changes and market trends by focusing on "increasing revenue, reducing costs, and improving efficiency" while accelerating digital transformation and enhancing management practices [3].