Workflow
赖脯胰岛素注射液(速秀霖®)
icon
Search documents
甘李药业:国内胰岛素续约量价齐升,创新出海加速推进-20250415
Ping An Securities· 2025-04-15 09:15
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing robust growth in the domestic insulin market, with both volume and price increasing due to successful participation in centralized procurement [5][6]. - The company is actively advancing its innovative research and development pipeline, with promising data from its GLP-1 receptor agonist GZR18 and long-acting insulin GZR4 [5][6]. - The company is expanding its international presence, with increasing overseas sales and successful entry into emerging markets [5][6]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Position and Growth - The company is a leading player in the diabetes market, with a comprehensive insulin product pipeline and significant market share growth due to centralized procurement [9][12]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 22.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.81%, and a net profit of 5.07 billion yuan, up 90.36% [5][12]. 2. Research and Development - The company has a complete insulin research pipeline, including both marketed products and innovative drugs in development, such as GZR18 and GZR4 [34][39]. - GZR18 has shown significant weight loss results in clinical trials, indicating its potential as a best-in-class (BIC) treatment [36][37]. 3. International Expansion - The company is actively pursuing international markets, with successful product registrations and sales in regions such as Latin America and Asia-Pacific [43][44]. - The company’s overseas revenue reached 2.27 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.31% [44]. 4. Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 6.52 billion yuan in 2024, 11.50 billion yuan in 2025, and 14.97 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding P/E ratios of 40, 23, and 17 [6][12]. - The company's P/E valuation for 2025 is estimated at 23 times, which is lower than the average of comparable companies at 32 times [6].