Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a first-time coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company is a leading insulin manufacturer in China, focusing on innovative drug development for metabolic diseases, with a complete product line for diabetes treatment [3][13]. - The company has successfully transitioned from price reduction to volume and price increases in its insulin business due to two rounds of centralized procurement [3][5]. - The innovative pipeline includes the GLP-1RA injection, which is expected to be the first globally approved biweekly formulation, showing superior weight loss and glycemic control data [4][62]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a high-tech biopharmaceutical enterprise that pioneered the industrialization of insulin analogs in China, with a comprehensive product line covering long-acting, rapid-acting, and premixed insulin [13]. - The company aims to provide integrated diabetes treatment solutions and is expanding into other therapeutic areas such as oncology and cardiovascular diseases [15]. Financial Performance - The company experienced a revenue decline in 2022 due to centralized procurement impacts but has since begun a recovery, with 2023 revenue reaching 26.08 billion yuan, a 52.31% increase year-on-year [33][34]. - For 2025, the company expects significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 30.47 billion yuan in the first three quarters, a 35.73% increase year-on-year [34]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company has increased its market share in the insulin sector, with a notable rise from 8% to 24% in the third-generation insulin market during the procurement rounds [51][61]. - The company has expanded its medical institution coverage significantly, from 18,000 in 2021 to over 41,000 by the end of 2024, enhancing its market reach [59]. Research and Development - The company has a strong focus on R&D, with a dedicated team and increasing R&D expenditure, reaching 6.46 billion yuan in 2024, representing 21.2% of revenue [20][19]. - The innovative pipeline includes several promising products, such as GZR4, which is in Phase III clinical trials and aims to reduce injection frequency for diabetes patients [62][64]. Future Outlook - The company is well-positioned for future growth, with a robust pipeline and a strong market presence, particularly in the insulin and GLP-1RA segments [5][62].

文/华夏大健康研究院 11月21日下午，由华夏时报社主办的"2025第五届华夏大健康产业发展暨康复服务大会"在北京成功举 行。本次大会以"智领健康未来"为主题，汇聚产业界、学术界、研究机构及投资方等多方代表，旨在整 合全链条资源，把脉行业趋势，探索发展路径。 现场设置了多场高水平圆桌对话，聚焦创新药、脑机接口、AI医疗、中医药转化等前沿议题，深入探 讨行业热点与突破方向。会议还集中发布并展示了一批具有示范意义与前瞻价值的创新典型案例，涵盖 赋能美好生活、ESG、创新药、中医药、生物科技、AI医疗、硬核科技与社会心理服务等八大类别，从 企业实践、技术应用、品牌建设与人物故事等多维度，展现了大健康领域的活力、深度与创新成果。 甘李药业：深耕胰岛素技术，为全球患者提供优质治疗方案 甘李药业是中国第一家掌握产业化生产重组胰岛素类似物技术的公司，公司在研发生产生物合成人胰岛 素及其类似物方面处于中国糖尿病市场的领先地位。近期，甘李药业取得两大突破性成果：自主研发的 甘精胰岛素注射液（长秀霖®）获得欧洲药品管理局积极意见，国际化进程迈出关键一步；同时，公司 与拉美知名企业PC达成博凡格鲁肽独家商业协议，实现创新药产品全球 ...

Overview - The demand for insulin in China is rapidly increasing due to a large diabetic patient population, with the market for insulin glargine projected to reach 6.083 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.13% and accounting for 22.36% of the overall insulin market [1][9]. Market Policy - The Chinese government has implemented a series of policies to regulate the production, sales, and use of insulin, including insulin glargine, to ensure drug quality and safety, promoting healthy and high-quality industry development [4][5]. Industry Chain - The upstream of the insulin glargine industry includes suppliers of raw materials such as gene-engineered strains, culture media, and packaging materials, while the midstream consists of production companies, and the downstream includes medical institutions and pharmacies [6][7]. Current Development - The prevalence of diabetes in China is on the rise, with an estimated 148 million diabetic patients in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 4.89%, which drives the demand for insulin glargine [8][9]. Competitive Landscape - The market is transitioning from foreign dominance to the rise of domestic companies, with a multi-faceted competitive landscape involving original research companies, leading domestic firms, and follow-up entrants. Domestic companies like Ganli Pharmaceutical and Tonghua Dongbao have gained market share through centralized procurement policies [10][11]. Company Profiles - **Ganli Pharmaceutical**: Focuses on the research, production, and sales of insulin analogs, with projected revenue of 3.045 billion yuan and a gross profit of 2.279 billion yuan in 2024, achieving a gross margin of 74.83% [11][12]. - **Tonghua Dongbao**: Engaged in drug research and production, with a focus on diabetes and endocrine treatments, reporting a revenue of 2.01 billion yuan and a gross profit of 1.485 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 73.90% [12]. Future Trends - Domestic companies are expected to continue improving product quality and reducing the gap with imported products, leading to an increase in market share for domestic insulin glargine as centralized procurement policies advance, and more products may enter the international market [10][12].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing robust growth in the domestic insulin market, with both volume and price increasing due to successful participation in centralized procurement [5][6]. - The company is actively advancing its innovative research and development pipeline, with promising data from its GLP-1 receptor agonist GZR18 and long-acting insulin GZR4 [5][6]. - The company is expanding its international presence, with increasing overseas sales and successful entry into emerging markets [5][6]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Position and Growth - The company is a leading player in the diabetes market, with a comprehensive insulin product pipeline and significant market share growth due to centralized procurement [9][12]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 22.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.81%, and a net profit of 5.07 billion yuan, up 90.36% [5][12]. 2. Research and Development - The company has a complete insulin research pipeline, including both marketed products and innovative drugs in development, such as GZR18 and GZR4 [34][39]. - GZR18 has shown significant weight loss results in clinical trials, indicating its potential as a best-in-class (BIC) treatment [36][37]. 3. International Expansion - The company is actively pursuing international markets, with successful product registrations and sales in regions such as Latin America and Asia-Pacific [43][44]. - The company’s overseas revenue reached 2.27 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.31% [44]. 4. Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 6.52 billion yuan in 2024, 11.50 billion yuan in 2025, and 14.97 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding P/E ratios of 40, 23, and 17 [6][12]. - The company's P/E valuation for 2025 is estimated at 23 times, which is lower than the average of comparable companies at 32 times [6].