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博俊科技(300926)2025三季报预告点评:Q3超预期 强客户结构典型代表
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-19 12:36
Core Viewpoint - The company expects a significant increase in net profit for Q3 2025, driven by contributions from major clients such as Seres and Li Auto, with a projected net profit of 244-285 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 80%-110% [1] Short-term Outlook - The company's modular body business is closely tied to leading clients like Seres, Li Auto, Geely, BYD, and Changan, which is expected to support sustained high growth in performance [2] - In the first half of 2023, revenue contributions from Li Auto and Geely were 31% and 20% respectively, indicating strong client relationships and growth potential [2] Long-term Strategy - The company aims to become a leading supplier of white body assemblies by leveraging comprehensive bodywork processes, integrated capabilities, and production advantages [3] - The company has a full range of bodywork processes, including stamping, hot forming, welding, laser welding, injection molding, laser cutting, integrated die-casting, and assembly, which positions it to meet the development needs of OEMs [3] - The integrated capability spans from mold design and manufacturing to body parts and modular products, creating strong responsiveness and cost advantages [3] - The company has been enhancing its production capacity across various regions, with new factories in Chongqing and Changzhou set to boost localized support and service for clients [3] Profit Forecast - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 930 million, 1.2 billion, and 1.45 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 51%, 30%, and 21% respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 14.5X, 11.2X, and 9.3X [3]
博俊科技(300926):Q3超预期,强客户结构典型代表
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-10-19 11:59
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative performance increase of over 15% against the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [4][9]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 2.44 to 2.85 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 80% to 110% [5][6]. - The strong performance is attributed to significant contributions from major clients such as Seres and Li Auto, with Li Auto's new models contributing to the growth [6]. - The company is positioned well within the automotive parts industry, benefiting from a robust client structure and a strong product cycle among key customers [6]. Financial Projections - Revenue is expected to grow from 2,600 million yuan in 2023 to 8,589 million yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 39% from 2024 to 2025 [4][6]. - Net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are adjusted to 9.3 billion yuan, 12 billion yuan, and 14.5 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 51%, 30%, and 21% [6][8]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 1.41 yuan in 2024 to 3.34 yuan in 2027 [4][8]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has established a strong market position by deeply integrating with leading clients such as Li Auto, Geely, and Seres, which accounted for 31% and 20% of revenue from Li Auto and Geely respectively in the first half of 2023 [6]. - The company is enhancing its production capabilities across various regions, including the Southwest, Yangtze River Delta, and Pearl River Delta, to support local client needs and service [6]. - The comprehensive coverage of bodywork processes and integrated capabilities positions the company as a leading supplier in the automotive parts sector, aiming for both volume and price increases [6].
问界周度分析
数说新能源· 2025-07-02 06:37
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant growth in delivery numbers for the company, indicating a strong market position and potential for revenue growth in the upcoming quarters [1][5][8]. Delivery Performance - The company achieved a weekly delivery of 11,734 units, with M8 and M5 models showing steady increases, while M9 remained stable around 3,100 units [5]. - The order backlog stands at 69,000 units with a delivery cycle of approximately 2 months, indicating a healthy demand [5]. - The second quarter revenue is projected to be between 43 billion and 45 billion, with total deliveries expected to exceed 105,000 units [5]. Competitive Analysis - The company's weekly revenue gap with the second competitor has widened from 20 billion to 26 billion, with the company reaching a weekly revenue of 49.8 billion [8]. - Compared to competitors, the company's delivery numbers are on the rise, while another competitor, Li Auto, reported a year-on-year decline of 24% in deliveries [7][8]. Production Capacity - The production capacity for M9 and M8 has increased to a maximum of 8,800 units per week, reflecting a 10% improvement from the previous capacity of 8,000 units [1][5].