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慧翰股份(301600):公司动态研究:2025Q1归母净利润同比+31%,受益TBox与eCall成长动能
Guohai Securities· 2025-05-05 08:22
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1][36][38]. Core Views - The company has shown significant growth, with a 31% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q1 2025, driven by the growth of TBox and eCall products [1][4]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the rising penetration of connected vehicles and the overall growth of the automotive industry, particularly in smart and connected solutions [8][25][26]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 216 million yuan, a 16.85% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 43 million yuan, up 30.67% year-on-year [4][10]. - For the full year 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.022 billion yuan, a 25.68% increase, and a net profit of 175 million yuan, a 37.54% increase [4][10]. - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for net profit from 2019 to 2024 was 47%, with revenue CAGR at 30.01% [5][11]. Business Segments - The connected vehicle terminal devices segment generated revenue of 842 million yuan in 2024, a 32.19% increase, accounting for 82.39% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 27.71% [5][15]. - The IoT smart module segment reported revenue of 136 million yuan, a decrease of 6.73%, contributing 13.28% to total revenue, with a gross margin of 24.77% [5][15]. Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin improved to 29.07% in 2024, up 2.05 percentage points year-on-year, with a net margin of 17.17%, an increase of 1.48 percentage points [6][20]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin further increased to 29.33%, with a net margin of 20.02%, reflecting effective cost management [6][20]. Market Trends and Opportunities - The global connected vehicle market is projected to reach 228.1 billion USD in 2024, with the Chinese market expected to reach 543 billion yuan [26][28]. - The company has established strong partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, enhancing its market position and growth potential [29][35]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.339 billion yuan, 1.705 billion yuan, and 2.126 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits projected at 238 million yuan, 308 million yuan, and 377 million yuan [36][38]. - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected to be 49, 38, and 31 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [36][38].