证 券 研 究 报 告 ❖ 2025 年 8 月 27 日，达梦数据发布 2025 年半年报。报告期内，公司实现营业 收入5.23亿元，同比增长48.65%；实现归母净利润2.05亿元，同比增长98.36%； 扣非净利润 1.89 亿元，同比增长 98.14%。 基础软件及管理办公软件 2025 年 08 月 31 日 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 1,044 | 1,515 | 2,168 | 3,037 | | 同比增速(%) | 31.5% | 45.1% | 43.1% | 40.1% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 362 | 555 | 822 | 1,150 | | 同比增速(%) | 22.2% | 53.5% | 48.0% | 40.0% | | 每股盈利(元) | 3.20 | 4.90 | 7.25 | 10.16 | | 市盈率(倍) | 81 | 53 | 36 | 26 | | 市 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company achieved significant growth in both revenue and profit in the first half of 2025, indicating strong operational performance and market positioning [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 523 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.65%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 205 million yuan, up 98.36% [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue reached 265 million yuan, reflecting a 42.44% year-on-year growth, while net profit surged by 124.08% to 107 million yuan [2]. - The gross margin remained high at 96.22%, supporting the company's profitability [2]. Profitability and Cost Management - The net profit margin increased significantly by 10.08 percentage points to 38.69%, marking a historical high for the half-year period [2]. - The company effectively controlled expenses, with sales, management, and R&D costs growing at lower rates than revenue, leading to a reduction in expense ratios [2]. Industry Position and Technological Development - The company is a leading database technology provider in China, focusing on domestic adaptation and the development of the Xinchuang ecosystem [3]. - In H1 2025, the company achieved positive revenue growth across seven key industries, particularly in finance and energy sectors [3]. - R&D investment reached 112 million yuan, accounting for 21.36% of revenue, indicating a strong commitment to innovation [3]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates steady growth in its software licensing, operation, industry solutions, and database integration businesses [4]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are set at 1.515 billion, 2.168 billion, and 3.037 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 555 million, 822 million, and 1.150 billion yuan [4]. - The company is assigned a target price of approximately 392 yuan based on a 80x PE ratio, reflecting confidence in its market position and customer base [4].

Core Insights - The domestic database industry is facing a critical period with less than two years remaining for companies to adapt to the "Xinchuang" (indigenous innovation) requirements set by the government [2][3] - The "State-owned Assets Document No. 79" mandates that by the end of 2027, all central enterprises must have secure and reliable information systems replaced with domestic alternatives [3] - The domestic database market is highly competitive, with nearly 300 companies participating, categorized into three main camps: academic, tech giants, and startups [3][4] Market Dynamics - The financial sector is the largest customer for databases, accounting for 20% of the market, making it crucial for database companies to establish a foothold in this area [6][11] - Current domestic database replacement rates in various sectors show that the financial industry has a 40% replacement rate for non-core systems and only 15% for core systems [9][10] - The overall market for domestic database replacements is expected to grow rapidly, with significant opportunities in the financial sector as foreign products currently dominate [18] Challenges and Competition - The transition to domestic databases in the financial sector is complex, with banks prioritizing stability and performance, especially for core business systems [12][13] - The core banking systems are still predominantly reliant on foreign databases, with over 80% market share, indicating a substantial opportunity for domestic vendors [18] - The competition among domestic database vendors has intensified, leading to a phenomenon of "internal competition" or "involution," where companies are pressured to lower prices and enhance features, including AI capabilities [22][23][26] Technological Landscape - The domestic database market features a wide variety of products, with over 280 types available, focusing on compatibility, especially with Oracle [23] - Despite the push for AI integration, the actual necessity and effectiveness of AI features in databases remain questionable, with many vendors emphasizing AI capabilities more for marketing than practical application [28][30] - The integration of AI into database management is seen as a future trend, but current implementations are still in the early stages and may not meet immediate operational needs [30][31]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][6] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1.044 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 31.49%, and a net profit of 362 million yuan, up 22.22% year-on-year [3] - The company is positioned as a leading domestic database service provider, with a significant market share in the Chinese database management system sector [3] - The company has a strong focus on research and development, with R&D expenses reaching 207 million yuan in 2024, accounting for 19.79% of revenue [3] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 794 million yuan in 2023, 1.044 billion yuan in 2024, 1.337 billion yuan in 2025, 1.693 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.097 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 15%, 31%, 28%, 27%, and 24% respectively [1] - Net profit forecasts are 296 million yuan in 2023, 362 million yuan in 2024, 482 million yuan in 2025, 570 million yuan in 2026, and 659 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 10%, 22%, 33%, 18%, and 16% respectively [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 5.19 yuan in 2023, 4.76 yuan in 2024, 6.34 yuan in 2025, 7.50 yuan in 2026, and 8.67 yuan in 2027 [1] Market Position and Product Development - The company has maintained its leading position in the domestic database market, with multiple products passing security assessments [3] - The company’s products are widely used across various sectors, including finance, energy, transportation, and government, with a focus on expanding its market channels and deepening customer relationships [3] - The company has a robust R&D team with 503 personnel as of 2024, reflecting a commitment to innovation and product development [3]