Summary of Huichuan Technology Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Huichuan Technology - **Industry**: Industrial Automation and New Energy Vehicles Key Points Business Structure and Revenue - General automation business accounts for nearly 40% of revenue, while the new energy vehicle (NEV) business has become the largest segment at approximately 43% with revenue of 16 billion yuan [2][4] - NEV business has a gross margin below 20%, impacting overall profitability, whereas general automation maintains a gross margin above 40% [2][4] Industry Dynamics - The industrial control (IC) sector has experienced a three-year downturn, but the automation market showed slight positive growth in Q1, with orders increasing by 20%-30% year-on-year [2][5] - The Ministry of Finance's 200 billion yuan equipment renewal bond is expected to stimulate 30 billion yuan in public equipment demand, indicating a gradual recovery in the public sector market by 2025 [2][6] Growth Potential - The NEV business has become profitable since 2023, with rapid profit release and significant potential for product line extension and overseas market expansion [2][7] - Huichuan Technology's core products in general automation, including servo systems, low-voltage frequency converters, and small PLCs, hold the highest market share among domestic companies, with long-term gross margins exceeding 40% [2][8] Future Projections - The company anticipates a 15%-20% growth rate for non-NEV businesses and expects overall performance to reach nearly 5.5 billion yuan by 2025, with a 40x PE valuation [3][26] - The NEV sector is projected to grow rapidly, with expectations of reaching 1.5 billion yuan in revenue by 2025 [3][26] International Strategy - Huichuan Technology is accelerating its international strategy, with overseas market potential estimated to be 4-5 times that of the domestic market [11] - The company has established over 130 distributors and 18 subsidiaries globally, with plans for a North American base and a factory in Hungary [11] Digitalization and Energy Management - The company is focusing on digitalization in production and service management, with plans to launch an integrated industrial automation software by 2025 [12] - In energy management, Huichuan is developing storage management systems and integrated solutions for power generation and distribution [12] Robotics and AI - The industrial robotics segment has seen a 40% growth in 2024, with a market share nearing 9% [13] - The company is investing in humanoid robotics, with a focus on core components that account for 50%-60% of the value [21][22] Risks - Potential risks include slower-than-expected recovery in manufacturing, intensified competition in the NEV sector, and delays in product development and humanoid robotics commercialization [27] Conclusion - Huichuan Technology is positioned for growth in both the industrial automation and NEV sectors, with significant opportunities in digitalization, international expansion, and robotics. The company is rated as a "buy" with a strong long-term outlook [25][26]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 81.10 CNY per share based on a 40x PE valuation for 2025 [4]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading electromechanical integration platform in China, successfully leveraging technology across industries such as industrial control, new energy vehicles, and robotics, with a projected revenue and net profit CAGR of 38% and 30% from 2007 to 2024, respectively [15][22]. - The new energy vehicle segment is expected to see significant growth, with a projected revenue CAGR exceeding 30% from 2025 to 2027, driven by an increase in market share and operational flexibility [2]. - The industrial robotics business is also on a growth trajectory, with a projected CAGR of approximately 30% from 2025 to 2027, supported by cost control and channel advantages [2]. - The general automation business maintains a strong market position, with the company holding the top market shares in key product categories such as servo systems and low-voltage frequency converters [3]. - The mature businesses in rail transit and elevators are expected to grow steadily, providing stable cash flow to support strategic initiatives [3]. Summary by Sections Investment Logic - The company has achieved a unique position by integrating technology across industrial control, new energy vehicles, and robotics, which allows it to outperform industry cycles [15]. - The new energy vehicle business is projected to generate 16 billion CNY in revenue in 2024, a 70% year-on-year increase, with expectations for further growth as new production capacities come online [2]. - The industrial robot segment is experiencing rapid growth, with a revenue of 1.1 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a 37% increase year-on-year [2]. General Automation Business - The company has solidified its leadership in the automation sector, with market shares of 28%, 19%, and 14% in core products for 2024, ranking first among domestic competitors [3]. - The automation industry is expected to recover slightly in 2025, following a downturn, with the company poised to benefit from this recovery [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 5.46 billion CNY, 6.67 billion CNY, and 7.83 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 27.5%, 22.0%, and 17.6%, respectively [4]. - The valuation is based on a robust competitive position built through technology reuse, strategic positioning, and organizational transformation [4].

Key Points - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.3 billion yuan, up 63% year-on-year [1] - For the full year 2024, the company achieved revenue of 37 billion yuan, a 22% increase year-on-year, but net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10% to 4.3 billion yuan [1] Segment Analysis - General Automation: Revenue reached 15.2 billion yuan in 2024, a 1% increase year-on-year, with specific product revenues of 5.6 billion yuan for general servo, 5.2 billion yuan for general frequency converters, 1.3 billion yuan for PLC&HMI, and 1.1 billion yuan for industrial robots [2] - New Energy Vehicles: Revenue was 16 billion yuan, a significant increase of 70% year-on-year, driven by the growth of the new energy vehicle industry and increasing penetration rates [2] - Smart Elevators: Revenue declined to 4.9 billion yuan, a 7% decrease year-on-year, with the domestic elevator production dropping by 8% [3] - Rail Transit: Revenue increased to 560 million yuan, a 2% growth year-on-year [3] Future Focus Areas - The company is prioritizing internationalization, digitalization, energy management, AI, and humanoid robots, with overseas revenue reaching 2 billion yuan in 2024, a 17% increase [3] - Progress in humanoid robots includes the development of high-power drivers and high-performance joint components, as well as establishing connections with machine manufacturers and industrial clients [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Short-term outlook suggests a recovery in the industrial control cycle and steady profit contribution from the new energy vehicle business [3] - Long-term projections estimate revenues of 45.2 billion yuan, 54.7 billion yuan, and 65.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 4.9 billion yuan, 5.9 billion yuan, and 7.1 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 14%, 19%, and 20% [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive investment rating to Huichuan Technology, indicating a strong performance outlook relative to the market index [8]. Core Insights - Huichuan Technology's dual strategy in "Intelligent Manufacturing & New Energy Vehicles" has led to better-than-expected performance in the first quarter of 2025, with a revenue of 9 billion yuan, representing a 38% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 1.3 billion yuan, up 63% year-on-year [6]. - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of 37 billion yuan in 2024, a 22% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 4.285 billion yuan, reflecting a 10% decline year-on-year [6]. - The report highlights the company's strong market position in various segments, including general automation and new energy vehicles, with significant growth in revenue from the latter [6]. Financial Summary - Revenue Forecast: - 2024: 37.041 billion yuan - 2025: 45.244 billion yuan - 2026: 54.711 billion yuan - 2027: 65.723 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 22% for 2024 and 2025, 21% for 2026, and 20% for 2027 [2]. - Net Profit Forecast: - 2024: 4.285 billion yuan - 2025: 4.906 billion yuan - 2026: 5.859 billion yuan - 2027: 7.044 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at -10% for 2024, 14% for 2025, 19% for 2026, and 20% for 2027 [2]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS) Forecast: - 2024: 1.6 yuan - 2025: 1.8 yuan - 2026: 2.2 yuan - 2027: 2.6 yuan [2]. Segment Performance - General Automation: - Revenue of 15.2 billion yuan in 2024, a 1% increase year-on-year, with market shares of 18.6% in low-voltage frequency converters and 28.3% in general servos, ranking first in both categories [6]. - New Energy Vehicles: - Revenue of 16 billion yuan in 2024, a 70% increase year-on-year, driven by industry growth and increased market penetration [6]. - Smart Elevators: - Revenue of 4.9 billion yuan in 2024, a 7% decrease year-on-year, reflecting a broader market decline [6]. Future Outlook - The company is focusing on internationalization, digitalization, energy management, AI, and humanoid robots as key growth areas [6]. - The long-term forecast suggests a robust growth trajectory, with expected revenues of 45.244 billion yuan in 2025, 54.711 billion yuan in 2026, and 65.723 billion yuan in 2027, alongside net profits of 4.906 billion yuan, 5.859 billion yuan, and 7.044 billion yuan respectively [6].