8月8日下午，沈阳宏远电磁线股份有限公司（以下简称"宏远股份"，股票代码：920018.BJ）向不特定 合格投资者公开发行股票并在北交所上市网上路演在全景路演举行。 投资者交流环节，问及电磁线研发中心建设项目有关情况，宏远股份董事长、总经理杨绪清介绍，电磁 线研发中心建设项目拟在公司现有研发体系的基础上，加大研发投入，添置所需的研发设备、检测设 备，引进高端技术人才，进一步提高公司的研发能力和自主创新能力，为公司技术创新提供先进设备支 持和实验保障。研发中心建设项目将在充分发挥公司现有研发能力的基础上，进一步加大公司研发投 入，提高研发能力和整体竞争力。 天眼查信息显示，宏远股份主要从事电磁线的研发、生产和销售，产品主要包括换位导线、纸包线、漆 包线、漆包纸包线、组合导线等多种品类，目前主要应用于高电压、大容量电力变压器、换流变压器和 电抗器等大型输变电设备。 二十多年的专业技术积累与市场沉淀，宏远股份现已成为具有成熟研发和生产能力的高压、超高压、特 高压变压器用电磁线产品制造商，是国家级"制造业单项冠军企业"、辽宁省"制造业单项冠军企业"、辽 宁省"专精特新"中小企业、国家级"绿色工厂"、高新技术企业，20 ...

Core Viewpoint - The latest FOF (Fund of Funds) report indicates that bond funds remain the primary focus for FOF managers, accounting for over half of their holdings, with a notable increase in ETF products being favored for investment [2][4]. Group 1: FOF Holdings Overview - As of the end of Q2 2025, the top five funds held by FOFs include Hai Fu Tong Zhong Zheng Short Bond ETF, Bosera Zhong Dai 0-3 Year National Development Bank ETF, Bosera Credit Selection E, Hua An Gold ETF, and Hua Xia Hang Seng ETF [2][4]. - The total number of bond funds in the top 50 held by FOFs reached 30, representing over 50% of the total [4]. - Hai Fu Tong Zhong Zheng Short Bond ETF had a market value held by FOFs exceeding 1.643 billion yuan, making it the highest valued fund among FOF holdings [4][5]. Group 2: Active Equity Fund Holdings - The top active equity fund held by FOFs is Yi Fang Da Ke Rong, with a total holding value of 384 million yuan, followed closely by Yi Fang Da Information Industry Selection C at 371 million yuan [8][9]. - Other notable active equity funds include Xing Quan Business Model Selection A and Yi Fang Da Supply Side Reform, both exceeding 300 million yuan in holdings [8][9]. Group 3: Fund Increases - The fund with the highest increase in holdings during Q2 was Bosera Credit Selection E, which saw an increase of 936 million yuan, bringing its total holding value to 1.016 billion yuan [10]. - Other funds with significant increases include Bosera An Yue Short Bond A and Bosera Credit Bond Pure Bond B, with increases of 760 million yuan and 711 million yuan, respectively [10]. Group 4: Market Outlook and Strategy - FOF managers express confidence in the A-share market, aiming for diversified and multi-strategy asset allocation [12][14]. - The focus is on sectors such as new materials, resource industries, and innovative pharmaceuticals, with a keen eye on the potential recovery of the A-share market [13][14].

Research Background - The purpose of the research is to understand the operational status, bottlenecks, and future trends of lithium battery-related companies in the Yangtze River Delta region, especially in light of the pessimistic market sentiment due to lithium carbonate prices dropping below 60,000 yuan/ton [1][3] - The research was conducted from July 7 to July 11, 2025, focusing on companies involved in lithium carbonate consumption, trade, and recycling in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai, and Anhui [2] Research Summary - The research covered various types of companies in the lithium battery supply chain, including recycling firms, anode and cathode material producers, and lithium ore and salt traders. Key topics included current development status, business layout, challenges, market price outlook, and future development plans [3] - Upstream producers face cost inversion issues, while downstream anode manufacturers deal with price pressure from battery manufacturers and intense competition. Traders are limited by a flat term structure, reducing profit margins. Despite these challenges, companies remain optimistic about the new energy sector as a strategic industry and are not planning to exit [3][4] Recycling Enterprises - Recycling companies are facing difficulties in raw material procurement and cost inversion, with operating rates generally below 20%. The current oversupply of primary lithium means that the market does not require recycled lithium at this time. A significant recovery in recycling is expected post-2028 as large-scale battery retirements occur [6][8] - Company A has an annual production capacity of 300,000 tons for battery material recycling, with a lithium recovery capacity of 30,000 tons. However, it primarily operates as an OEM due to raw material constraints, with a current operating rate of about 20% [7][8] - Company B is building a comprehensive recycling project with a capacity of 200,000 tons, focusing on ternary lithium batteries. It has achieved a recovery capacity of over 80,000 tons and aims to become an industry leader with an annual output value exceeding 10 billion yuan in five years [9] - Company C plans to reach a recycling capacity of 1 million tons by 2032, with a market share of over 25%. It utilizes a unique process that reduces energy costs by 30% and is currently limited by raw material availability [11] Anode Material Production Enterprises - Anode material production remains dominated by lithium iron phosphate, with ternary materials facing significant competition. Sodium batteries currently lack sufficient application scenarios and are unlikely to replace lithium batteries [12] - Company A has a planned capacity of 500,000 tons for lithium iron phosphate, with the first phase already in production. It is currently not profitable and relies on other production lines for support [13][14] - Company B focuses on high-nickel ternary and sodium battery materials, facing severe price pressure and competition. It plans to maintain a small capacity for ternary materials while increasing sodium battery production [15][16] Lithium Ore and Salt Traders - Domestic lithium ore traders primarily source from Zimbabwe and Nigeria, facing challenges due to poor mining planning and political environments in these countries. The current price of lithium carbonate makes it difficult to source ore profitably [18][21] - Trader A has a significant presence in lithium carbonate trading, with a monthly trade volume of several hundred tons and a recent increase in bid volume to 5,000 tons per day [19] - Trader B has begun trading lithium mica and plans to shift to lithium spodumene, facing challenges in sourcing due to low prices and political instability in Nigeria [21] - Trader D, a major lithium carbonate trader, maintains a stock of 6,000-7,000 tons to support a trade volume of 5,000 tons per month, indicating a cautious outlook for lithium carbonate prices in the second half of the year [24]

Core Viewpoint - The credit rating agency maintains a stable outlook for the company, indicating its competitive position in the power distribution equipment industry and the expected continued demand for its electrical equipment manufacturing business [3][7]. Company Overview - The company, Zhongneng Electric Co., Ltd., has a credit rating of A+ with a stable outlook, reflecting its technical and experiential advantages in the power distribution equipment sector [3][4]. - The company has established stable partnerships with major state-owned enterprises in the electric grid, railway, and transportation sectors, which supports its business development [3][10]. Financial Performance - The company's total assets are projected to decrease from 30.38 billion in 2023 to 29.03 billion in 2024, while total liabilities are expected to decline from 10.61 billion to 10.35 billion [4]. - The company reported a significant drop in revenue, with a projected decline of 44.39% in the first quarter of 2025, leading to consecutive quarterly losses [13][17]. - The net profit for 2024 is expected to be negative, with a net profit margin of -0.14 billion, compared to a positive net profit of 0.52 billion in 2023 [4][12]. Market Environment - The demand for power distribution equipment is expected to remain strong due to ongoing investments in the electric grid, railways, and urban transit systems, with significant growth in the industry anticipated through 2024 [10][11]. - The company faces intense competition in the electrical equipment manufacturing sector, which has weakened its pricing power and profitability [5][16]. Business Segments - The company's electrical equipment manufacturing segment is stable, but the construction business has seen a significant reduction in profitability due to increased competition and longer payment cycles from major clients [6][12]. - The renewable energy segment, particularly in solar power and energy storage, has experienced a decline in revenue and profitability due to market saturation and policy changes [17][19]. Investment and Projects - The company has ongoing projects funded by convertible bonds, including a new energy storage project and a research center, but progress has been slower than expected due to market conditions [8][19]. - The company has divested from its solar power subsidiary, leading to a substantial decrease in solar power revenue, while still maintaining a few operational solar projects [18][19].

1. Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Macro: In June, the Fed kept rates unchanged, pausing rate cuts for the fourth consecutive meeting. It is expected to cut rates twice this year, hinting at an increased risk of stagflation. Geopolitical risks, uncertain tariff policies, and delayed rate cuts are suppressing market risk appetite [5]. - Supply: In June, bauxite prices fluctuated. The overall cost of alumina did not change significantly. Although the supply of domestic ores has been tight recently and concerns about imported ore supplies remain, some alumina enterprises continue to increase their operating capacity, and new projects are still expected to be launched in the southern region in the third quarter. There is still pressure for an increase in domestic supply. Due to high profits, the operating rate of electrolytic aluminum smelters remains high, but the room for output growth is limited due to capacity constraints. In May 2025, China imported 350,000 tons of unwrought aluminum and its products, a year-on-year increase of 14.7%. Domestic aluminum smelting enterprises still face pressure from environmental protection supervision and electricity price adjustments, which may continue to promote the import of primary aluminum and intermediate products [5]. - Demand: The previous electricity reform policy stimulated the demand for photovoltaic installations. After entering June, the marginal demand for aluminum in the photovoltaic sector is under downward pressure. The real estate market in China has recovered due to a series of policy stimuli, and real estate demand has improved. The production schedules of white goods in July - August have decreased significantly month-on-month, increasing the downward pressure on terminal demand. However, the strong demand in the new energy industry largely offsets the impact of the decline in traditional industry demand [5]. - Inventory: Last week, both the LME market and domestic social inventories continued to decline, indicating that the market demand is not weak in the off - season [5]. - View: Entering June, bauxite prices fluctuated, and the overall cost of alumina did not change significantly. Although the supply of domestic ores has been tight recently and concerns about imported ore supplies remain, some alumina enterprises continue to increase their operating capacity, and new projects are still expected to be launched in the southern region in the third quarter. There is still pressure for an increase in domestic supply. Due to high profits, the operating rate of electrolytic aluminum smelters remains high, but the room for output growth is limited due to capacity constraints. In May 2025, China imported 350,000 tons of unwrought aluminum and its products, a year-on-year increase of 14.7%. Domestic aluminum smelting enterprises still face pressure from environmental protection supervision and electricity price adjustments, which may continue to promote the import of primary aluminum and intermediate products. On the demand side, the previous electricity reform policy stimulated the demand for photovoltaic installations. After entering June, the marginal demand for aluminum in the photovoltaic sector is under downward pressure. The real estate market in China has recovered due to a series of policy stimuli, and real estate demand has improved. The production schedules of white goods in July - August have decreased significantly month-on-month, increasing the downward pressure on terminal demand. However, the strong demand in the new energy industry largely offsets the impact of the decline in traditional industry demand. Currently, domestic social inventories are at a long - term low. Under the dual effects of capacity constraints and stable demand, aluminum prices still have upward potential in the medium term [5]. - Strategy: For Shanghai aluminum and aluminum alloy operations, it is recommended to mainly buy on dips. The reference support level for Shanghai Aluminum 2508 is 20,000 yuan/ton [5]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Week - ly Viewpoints and Strategies - Macro factors such as Fed's rate - decision, geopolitical risks, and tariff policies affect market risk appetite [5]. - Supply side has capacity - related situations in alumina and electrolytic aluminum, along with import trends [5]. - Demand varies in different industries like photovoltaic, real estate, white goods, and new energy [5]. - Inventory shows a downward trend in both LME and domestic social inventories [5]. - The view is that aluminum prices have medium - term upward potential, and the strategy is to buy on dips [5]. 3.2 Futures and Spot Markets - The report presents figures on domestic aluminum futures and spot prices, A00 aluminum ingot spot premiums and discounts, LME aluminum prices, and China's aluminum ingot import profits [9][10]. 3.3 Supply and Inventory - **Bauxite**: From January to May 2025, China's cumulative imports of bauxite and its concentrates were 85.18 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 33.1%. In May, imports were 17.51 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 29.4%. In 2024, China imported 158.767 million tons of bauxite, a year - on - year increase of 12.3%. Guinea and Australia were the main sources. There are also many potential incremental projects in Guinea with a total expected increment of 62 million tons [20][22]. - **Alumina**: By May 2025, the weighted average full cost of China's alumina industry was 2,879.8 yuan/ton, a decrease of about 153.6 yuan/ton from the previous month. From January to May 2025, China's cumulative alumina production was 37.401 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 9.5%. In May, production was 7.488 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 5%. From January to May 2025, cumulative imports were 1.67 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 85.4%, and cumulative exports were 11.723 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 79.4% [28][33][34]. - **Electrolytic Aluminum**: As of the end of March 2025, China's built - in electrolytic aluminum capacity was 45.172 million tons, and the operating capacity reached 43.85 million tons. In May 2025, the average fully - taxed cost of China's electrolytic aluminum industry was 16,333 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 0.3% and a year - on - year decrease of 5.1%. The average profit was about 3,717 yuan/ton. In May 2025, China's primary aluminum (electrolytic aluminum) production was 3.83 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 5.0%. From January to May, the cumulative production was 18.59 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 4.0%. In May 2025, domestic primary aluminum imports were about 2.232 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 10.9% and a year - on - year increase of 41.4%. From January to May, the cumulative primary aluminum imports were about 10.575 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 3.7%. From January to May, the cumulative primary aluminum exports were about 0.67 million tons, a year - on - year increase of about 215.6%. On June 20, 2025, the LME futures inventory was 342,900 tons. As of June 19, 2025, China's electrolytic aluminum social inventory was 450,000 tons [39][43][46][50][56][57]. 3.4 Primary Processing and Terminal Markets - **Aluminum Alloy**: From January to May 2025, China's cumulative aluminum alloy production was 7.405 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 15.2%. In May, production was 1.645 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 16.7% [65]. - **Aluminum Products**: In May 2025, China's aluminum product production was 5.762 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 0.4%. From January to May, the cumulative production was 26.831 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 0.6% [72]. - **Imports and Exports of Aluminum Products**: From January to May 2025, China's cumulative imports of unwrought aluminum and aluminum products were 16.7 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 6.9%, and exports were 24.3 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 5.1% [78]. - **Downstream Demand**: The report shows the global aluminum downstream demand structure, green demand forecasts, photovoltaic and wind power installation capacity forecasts, new energy vehicle sales forecasts, China's real estate market situation, new energy vehicle production, and power project investment, as well as China's automotive and photovoltaic aluminum consumption forecasts [83][87][92][97][102]. 3.5 Supply - Demand Balance Sheet and Industrial Chain Structure - **Global Electrolytic Aluminum Supply - Demand Balance Sheet**: It is expected that the global primary aluminum production in 2025 will be 73.81 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 1.9%. There are detailed production and demand data for different regions and years from 2021 to 2027E, showing supply - demand balances in different periods [105][106][107]. - **Aluminum Industrial Chain Structure**: No detailed text description provided, but presumably related to the overall industrial chain of aluminum from bauxite to downstream products.

Core Viewpoint - The conference organized by Jinrui Futures in Foshan focused on the evolving global trade landscape, trends in the copper and aluminum markets, and the application of financial derivatives in the non-ferrous metal industry [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - The non-ferrous metal industry in South China is facing challenges such as supply-demand structural adjustments and increased price volatility due to the rise of the new energy industry [1]. - There has been a decline in non-ferrous metal inventories in Guangdong province, with spot and futures premiums reaching new highs, indicating tight supply expectations [2]. - The expected decline in imported copper will accelerate the decrease in domestic electrolytic copper inventories [2]. Group 2: Demand and Supply Dynamics - The growth in investment in the power sector is expected to support copper prices, although the construction industry is unlikely to provide positive feedback for copper consumption in the short term [2]. - The aluminum market is experiencing limited supply growth as electrolytic aluminum production capacity approaches its ceiling, while demand remains relatively weak [2]. Group 3: Risk Management and Derivatives - The development of the over-the-counter derivatives business in China is progressing well, with increasing participation and transaction volumes in copper options [2]. - The risk management subsidiary of Jinrui Capital plays a crucial role in enhancing the risk management capabilities of the non-ferrous metal industry and supporting its international development [2].

Group 1 - The battle between the new energy industry and traditional industries is intensifying, with electric vehicles rapidly capturing market share due to their environmental benefits, efficiency, and lower travel costs [1] - Lithium batteries, essential for electric vehicles, have applications beyond the automotive sector, initially being used in 3C digital products and expanding due to environmental policies [1] - The company Baoli Lion has launched a "one-stop lithium battery assembly franchise" project to assist aspiring entrepreneurs in entering the lithium battery market [1] Group 2 - Baoli Lion has extensive experience in the lithium battery assembly and recycling industry, having started research on this technology over 15 years ago and developing environmental equipment and a strong engineering team [1] - The franchise project requires minimal space and can be operated by 1-2 people, making it accessible for entrepreneurs, often referred to as a "home-based dream project" [2] - The demand for lithium batteries is significant across various sectors, including communications, medical devices, military, and aerospace, driven by their lightweight, high energy storage, and long lifespan [2]