Core Viewpoint - Keda Manufacturing reported significant growth in both revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, driven by strong performance in overseas markets and the building materials machinery sector [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Keda Manufacturing achieved revenue of 8.188 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.04%, marking a historical high for the same period [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 745 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 63.95%, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 700 million yuan, up 75.06% [1]. - The overseas building materials business saw a revenue increase of approximately 90% to 3.771 billion yuan, with an improvement in gross margin by about 6 percentage points [2]. Group 2: Business Segments - The building materials machinery segment maintained stable operational quality, generating revenue of 2.570 billion yuan with a gross margin of 26.23% [1]. - Keda Manufacturing is actively expanding its global ceramic machinery market, establishing subsidiaries in Brazil, Vietnam, and Egypt, enhancing its global service network [1]. - The company launched the BOZUYUK factory's parts and consumables workshop in Turkey, with plans for the KAMI ink factory to commence production in the second half of the year [1]. Group 3: Production and Capacity - The overseas building materials business achieved a ceramic tile production of over 98 million square meters, glass production exceeding 170,000 tons, and sanitary ware production of over 1.4 million pieces [2]. - The production efficiency and output have improved due to capacity construction and technological upgrades, with projects in Kenya and Côte d'Ivoire commencing production in June [2]. Group 4: Investment and Subsidiaries - Keda Manufacturing's associate company, Lanke Lithium, produced 20,000 tons of lithium carbonate and achieved sales of 20,600 tons, contributing 168 million yuan to Keda's net profit [2]. - Despite a downturn in the lithium carbonate market, Lanke Lithium maintained a net profit margin of 31%, showcasing its cost-effective lithium extraction technology [2].

Summary of Keda Manufacturing Conference Call Company Overview - Keda Manufacturing has over 60% of its revenue from overseas, primarily from local building materials in Africa (approximately 4.7 billion RMB) and machinery equipment exports (approximately 3.3 billion RMB) [2][5][17] - Net profit increased from 120 million RMB in 2019 to 700-800 million RMB in 2024, with expectations to reach 1.3-1.4 billion RMB in 2025 [2][5] Key Business Segments Machinery Equipment - Despite a decline in downstream demand, Keda Manufacturing achieved growth through consumables (expected revenue of 1.2 billion RMB in 2024, with 300 million RMB from ink collaboration with Guocera) and general equipment (revenue of 1 billion RMB) [2][7] - The ceramic machinery segment maintains a revenue of 4.5 billion USD, holding a global market share of approximately 25% [2][7] Local Building Materials in Africa - Keda Manufacturing collaborates with local leading enterprises to strengthen its channel advantages in the African market [2][8] - The African building materials market is projected to reach 1.4 billion square meters by the end of 2023, valued at approximately 40 billion RMB [2][12] Financial Projections - Expected revenue for 2025 is over 7 billion RMB, with projections of 8-9 billion RMB in 2026 and over 10 billion RMB in 2027 [3][17] - The company aims for a revenue target of 10 billion USD, with specific goals for ceramic machinery, consumables, and general equipment [7] Competitive Landscape - Keda Manufacturing has established a dual oligopoly with Italy's Sacmi in the ceramic machinery industry [7] - The company has a strategic focus on enhancing its competitive edge in the African market, where Chinese enterprises have gained significant market share [9][12] Governance and Management - Keda Manufacturing has a complex governance structure with multiple financial investors, which may impact long-term strategic decisions [3][4] Market Dynamics - The African market is characterized by a growing demand for building materials due to population growth and urbanization [9][12] - Local production capabilities have increased, reducing import ratios, although infrastructure challenges still lead to over 20% imports [12] Strategic Initiatives - Keda Manufacturing is expanding into sanitary ware and glass production, with a glass production line in Tanzania expected to generate nearly 1 billion RMB in revenue [15][16] - The company is leveraging its existing channels and partnerships to enhance its market position and profitability [10][11] Investment Outlook - The current market conditions are favorable for investing in Keda Manufacturing due to its low valuation, stable growth, and high elasticity from potential lithium carbonate price increases [17][18]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - Q1 2025 performance met market expectations with revenue of 150 million yuan, a 22% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 16% decrease year-on-year. Net profit attributable to shareholders was 24 million yuan, showing a significant increase of 2153% quarter-on-quarter but a 64% decrease year-on-year [8] - The gross margin for Q1 was 64.9%, reflecting a 9.3 percentage point increase quarter-on-quarter and a 4.7 percentage point decrease year-on-year. The net profit margin was 16.0%, up 15.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter but down 21.1 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company expects revenue from lithium battery equipment to reach 150 million yuan in 2025, driven by the recovery of downstream battery manufacturers. The revenue from accessories and consumables is projected to grow by 50% to 270 million yuan [8] - The new business segment, including high-voltage harnesses and IGBT, is anticipated to see significant growth, with expected revenue doubling in 2025-2026. The company has secured orders from major harness manufacturers and is expected to benefit from its proprietary welding technology [8] Financial Summary - The company forecasts total revenue of 759.84 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 29.99%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 122.06 million yuan, a 42.15% increase year-on-year [1][9] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.06 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 46.70 based on the latest diluted shares [1][9] - The report estimates a net profit of 4.5 billion yuan for 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 42% from 2025 to 2027 [8]