证券研究报告|行业定期报告 2025 年 06 月 17 日 政策继续推动地产链止跌回稳，产业转型助力基本面修复 建材行业定期报告 中游制造/建材 本周（2025/6/9-2025/6/15）建材动态：水泥市场需求持续疲软，价格维持震 荡调整；浮法玻璃市场价格补跌，出货偏弱；玻纤中，无碱粗纱市场价格稳 中局部调整，电子纱市场价格稳中有涨。消费建材板块，好房子建设持续， 子赛道龙头优势仍存。 推荐（维持） 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只） | 96 | 1.9 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 750.6 | 0.9 | | 流通市值（十亿 | 689.9 | 0.9 | | 元） | | | 1、《建材行业定期报告—老旧小区 更新及"好房子"有望提振建材换新 需求》2025-06-10 2、《建材行业定期报告—稳楼市政 策继续发力，等待基本面筑底改善》 2025-05-27 3、《建材行业定期报告—降准降息 推进稳楼市，"好房子"时代头部品 牌受益》2025-05-12 郑晓刚 S1090517070008 zhengxiaogang@cmschina. ...

Group 1 - The 39th China International Ceramic Industry Exhibition will be held from June 18 to 21 in Guangzhou, with an exhibition area exceeding 80,000 square meters and over 800 exhibitors [1] - The exhibition will attract approximately 100,000 industry visitors and professional buyers from more than 80 countries and regions [1] - The event will cover the entire production process of ceramics, including raw material processing, product packaging, and storage, featuring advanced equipment and innovative solutions [1] Group 2 - The exhibition will focus on the themes of high-end, intelligent, green, and integrated transformation and upgrading, providing advanced technologies and innovative processes for various ceramic production enterprises [2] - It will offer lower-cost high-performance ceramic matrix composites and new environmentally friendly materials, as well as higher levels of automation and intelligent operations [2] - The event will include over ten high-quality forums and conferences, inviting industry experts to share insights on the latest technologies, future trends, and market strategies to enhance brand value and core competitiveness [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has achieved significant revenue growth in 2024, with operating income reaching 12.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30% [5][6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 was 1.01 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 51.9% year-on-year, primarily due to the drop in lithium carbonate prices impacting profitability [5][6] - In Q1 2025, the company reported operating income of 3.77 billion yuan, up 47% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to the parent company increasing by 11.4% to 350 million yuan [5][7] Revenue Performance - In 2024, the company’s revenue from major business segments showed strong growth: machinery equipment, overseas building materials, and lithium battery materials generated revenues of 6.72 billion, 4.72 billion, and 880 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 35.1%, 29.0%, and 19.2% [6] - The company’s domestic and overseas revenues were 4.57 billion and 8.02 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 18% and 38%, indicating that overseas business accounted for over 63% of total revenue [6] Profitability Analysis - The company’s gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 26.0% and 10.2%, down 3.29 and 16.68 percentage points year-on-year, respectively, due to the significant decline in profits from its associate, Blue Lithium Industry [8] - In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved slightly to 29.7%, while the net margin was 13.8%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.83 percentage points [9] Cash Flow and Expenses - The company’s operating cash flow for 2024 was 557 million yuan, a decrease of 174 million yuan compared to the previous year [8] - The financial expense ratio increased significantly to 5.1% in Q1 2025 due to substantial exchange losses, while other expense ratios were well-controlled [9] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see gradual profit recovery in 2025, with revised net profit forecasts of 1.52 billion and 1.68 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively [11] - The company is actively expanding its overseas building materials business, with production bases established in multiple African countries and plans for further capacity increases [11]