行业研究 2026 年 1 月 23 日 2025Q4 有色板块重仓股持仓环比大增，锂、铝增持明显 ——有色金属行业基金重仓股数据点评 要点 事件： 2025Q4 基金重仓股已全部披露，我们根据基金重仓股统计了主动型权益 基金对有色金属行业的重仓股持仓，基金类型包括普通股票型基金、偏股混合型 基金、平衡混合型基金和灵活配置型基金。 行业：2025Q4 有色金属重仓股持仓占基金重仓股 7.83%，环比增加 2.11pct。 2025Q4 主动型权益基金对有色金属行业重仓股的持仓合计市值约 1519 亿元， 占基金整体重仓股持仓比重为 7.83%，环比 2025Q3（5.72%）增加 2.11pct。 个股：重仓股持仓市值前十集中在铜、金、锂、铝，紫金矿业仍为第一大重仓股。 截至 2025Q4，主动型权益基金在有色金属行业重仓股持仓市值前十为紫金矿业 （381.2 亿元）、洛阳钼业（105.7 亿元）、中矿资源（64.5 亿元）、中金黄金（59.5 亿元）、华友钴业（58.7 亿元）、云铝股份（54.9 亿元）、山东黄金（48.4 亿元）、 紫金矿业（H）46.7 亿元、兴业银锡（31.6 亿元）、山金国际（30 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a strong start in 2026, with major indices rising, and the Shanghai Composite Index closing above 4000 points, indicating positive market sentiment and potential growth opportunities for listed companies [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - As of January 5, 2026, 13 listed companies announced profit increases, with 2 companies expected to turn losses into profits and 11 companies projecting varying degrees of profit growth [3]. - Yinglian Co. and Nanxing Co. are both expected to turn losses into profits, representing two distinct paths: substantial improvement in core business for Yinglian and the elimination of financial burdens for Nanxing [4]. - Yinglian Co. anticipates a net profit of 32 million to 42 million yuan for 2025, driven by revenue growth in the fast-moving consumer goods metal packaging sector and improved production efficiency [4]. - Nanxing Co. expects a net profit of 9 million to 12 million yuan for 2025, a significant recovery from a loss of 175 million yuan the previous year, primarily due to the removal of a large goodwill impairment charge [4]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The recovery of industry cycles and operational optimizations are key drivers for the performance growth of 11 companies, with factors such as industry prosperity and proactive management playing significant roles [7]. - The rise in industry prosperity is particularly evident in the non-ferrous metals sector, with Chifeng Gold projecting a net profit of 3 billion to 3.2 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 70% to 81%, attributed to a 49% rise in gold product sales prices [8]. - Huayou Cobalt expects a net profit of 5.85 billion to 6.45 billion yuan for 2025, benefiting from the recovery in metal prices and management improvements [8]. - Companies like Whirlpool, Taotao Automotive, and Ugreen attribute their profit growth to proactive measures such as enhancing technological innovation, improving operational efficiency, and expanding market presence [9][10]. Group 3: Market Demand and Growth Opportunities - The surge in demand in specific sectors has created growth opportunities for several companies, with Dingtai High-Tech expecting a net profit of 410 million to 460 million yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 81% to 103% due to rising demand for high-end PCB products [11]. - Zhongcai Technology anticipates a net profit of 1.55 billion to 1.95 billion yuan for 2025, driven by increased demand in the domestic and overseas wind power markets, resulting in both volume and price growth [11]. - LZ Group expects a net profit increase of 17% to 23% for 2025, benefiting from rising production and sales across various business segments and the recovery of its lithium hexafluorophosphate business [11].