2026年A股首个交易日迎来开门红，三大指数高开高走，上证指数重回4000点，收盘报4023.42点。 二级市场的"走势"与实体企业的"喜报"相互映衬。截至发稿，1月5日收盘后已有13家上市公司宣布净利 润预增，其中2家上市公司预计2025年净利润"扭亏为盈"，11家上市公司净利润迎来不同程度的增长。 拨开"增长"这一共同表象，上述公司业绩跃升的背后原因存在显著差异，既有行业周期回暖的助力，也 有减值压力消弭的轻装上阵，更有公司内生动能强化、积极拓展市场的主动作为。 行业周期回升与经营优化迎业绩增长 相较于扭亏为盈的企业，11家业绩预增公司的增长原因更为多元，可进一步划分为"行业景气驱动""主 动经营优化"等类型，不同类别企业的增长路径既各有侧重，又存在诸多共性特征。 主业改善与困境反转促扭亏为盈 英联股份和南兴股份均预计公司净利润扭亏为盈，但分别代表了两种典型的扭亏路径，即主营业务实质 性改善与财务"包袱"卸除的困境反转。 英联股份公告，预计2025年度净利润为3200万元至4200万元，同比扭亏为盈。报告期内，公司营业收入 持续增长，快消品金属包装板块贡献显著。依托技术积累和智能产线投入，精益生产能力提升 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8] Core Insights - The company reported Q3 revenue of $635.2 million, a year-over-year increase of 20.7% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 12.2%, exceeding expectations [5] - Gross margin for Q3 was 13.5%, surpassing the expected range of 10%-12% [5] - The company achieved a net profit of $25.7 million in Q3 [5] - The overall capacity utilization rate remained high at 109.5%, with wafer deliveries reaching 1,400K, a year-over-year increase of 16.7% [8] - The company is accelerating its capacity expansion, with a new capacity addition of 21K/M for 8-inch equivalent capacity in Q3 [8] - Positive guidance for Q4 indicates expected sales revenue of $650-660 million, with a gross margin of approximately 12-14% [8] - The report adjusts profit forecasts for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of $721 million, $1.366 billion, and $1.584 billion respectively [8] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 17,366 million, with a year-over-year growth rate of 20.7% [7] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 721 million, reflecting an 89.5% year-over-year increase [7] - The report anticipates a PE ratio of 303 for 2025 [7]

Market Overview - The three major indices showed divergence, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.24%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.15%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.52% and the Northern Securities 50 dropped by 1.26% [3] - Trading volume increased significantly, with a total turnover of 16,487 billion, up by 1,526 billion compared to the same time yesterday, indicating concentrated capital flow into specific sectors [3] Strong Performing Sectors - The metals and gold sectors were the most notable gainers, with companies like Northern Copper and Hunan Silver reaching their daily limit, driven by international risk aversion and supply-demand dynamics in commodities [3] - The real estate sector also showed strong activity, with stocks like Rongsheng Development and Huaxia Happiness hitting their daily limit, reflecting market expectations regarding real estate policies [3] - The storage chip sector remained resilient, with companies like Shannon Chip and Jiangbo Long experiencing gains, signaling a recovery in the industry cycle [3] Weak Performing Sectors - The liquor sector, including stocks like Guojiao and Shede Liquor, experienced a decline after an initial rise, attributed to short-term emotional fluctuations rather than fundamental changes [4] - The gaming and photovoltaic equipment sectors also faced adjustments, with companies like Youzu Network dropping over 5%, influenced by recent policy changes and demand fluctuations [4] - The overall market volatility should not be overly scrutinized, as the focus should be on capital flow and the sustainability of sectoral support [4]