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长盛基金郭堃:穿越市场周期的均衡成长之道
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-09-08 00:00
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the investment philosophy and strategies of Guo Kun, a balanced growth-style fund manager, who focuses on long-term sustainable excess returns through industry diversification and selective growth stock picking [1][3][8]. Investment Strategy - Guo Kun employs a "balanced investment style" that does not require precise market timing or sector rotation, making it suitable for ordinary investors [1][10]. - His investment framework consists of three layers: position management, asset and industry allocation, and internal comparisons within growth sectors [8][9]. - The core of his strategy is to maintain a stable position around 85%, adjusting only slightly in extreme market conditions [8]. Performance Metrics - Historical data shows that Guo Kun's managed portfolios consistently rank in the top 30%-40% of the market, with some periods in the top 10% [1][10]. - Over the past five years, funds like Changsheng Manufacturing Select have achieved net value growth rates between 10%-20%, outperforming most short-term champions [1][10]. Market Outlook - Guo Kun holds an optimistic view of the market towards 2025, identifying AI and innovative pharmaceuticals as key investment areas [2][11]. - He believes the current bull market is driven by a solid economic foundation, ongoing liquidity, and strong industrial momentum, particularly in AI [11][12]. Sector Focus - The focus on AI encompasses various sectors, including communications, electronics, media, and computing, with an emphasis on applications rather than just upstream capabilities [12]. - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is highlighted as a strong performer, with significant growth potential despite recent price increases [13]. Team Collaboration - Guo Kun emphasizes the importance of team collaboration in enhancing research capabilities, implementing a multi-tiered research discussion system to keep information current [7][4]. - The team’s synergy has led to the identification of high-quality stocks across various sectors, contributing to the overall success of the investment strategy [6][4].
长盛基金郭堃:穿越市场周期的均衡成长之道
中国基金报· 2025-09-07 23:56
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the investment philosophy of Guo Kun, a balanced growth-style fund manager, who focuses on long-term sustainable excess returns through industry balance and selective growth [1][10][11]. Investment Philosophy - Guo Kun's investment strategy is characterized by a "balanced growth" approach, utilizing industry balance as a shield and selective growth as a spear to achieve stable long-term returns [10][11]. - Historical data shows that the portfolios managed by Guo Kun consistently rank in the top 30%-40% of the market, with some periods reaching the top 10% [1][11]. Market Outlook - Guo Kun holds an optimistic view of the market as of 2025, identifying AI and innovative pharmaceuticals as key investment directions [2][15]. - The current bull market is driven by a solid economic foundation, ongoing structural optimization, and sustained liquidity [15]. Investment Strategy - The investment framework includes three layers of dynamic management: 1. Position management with a central position of 85%, allowing for limited adjustments based on market conditions [11]. 2. Asset and industry allocation, with growth stocks making up 70%-100% of the portfolio [11]. 3. Internal comparison and selective stock picking within growth sectors, focusing on companies with sustainable growth and significant competitive advantages [12][11]. Successful Case Studies - Guo Kun successfully executed left-side layouts in the new energy sector at the end of 2018 and in the innovative pharmaceutical sector in 2023, leading to significant returns [7][17]. Team Collaboration - The team collaboration mechanism is highlighted as a key factor in Guo Kun's investment success, fostering a multi-level research discussion system to keep information fresh and relevant [8][6]. Future Focus Areas - The article identifies AI applications and innovative pharmaceuticals as the primary focus for the next 2-3 years, with a long-term view on nuclear fusion and advanced manufacturing sectors [15][17].