说实话，最近的欧洲真是没有一天能安稳下来，简直是按下葫芦又起了瓢。无论是铁路遭到袭击、能源 供应危机，还是政坛不断动荡，种种问题接二连三地发生，仔细一看，背后似乎都与地缘政治博弈息息 相关。今天我们就来聊聊，欧洲大陆到底发生了什么，以及这些事情又如何与我们息息相关。 基础设 施遭遇破坏，混合战形势严峻 你有没有发现，现代战争的手段越来越不按常理出牌，专门挑一些软柿 子捏。就在上个周末，波兰的情况可不太妙——华沙到卢布林的关键铁路线被炸毁，整整一米长的铁轨 报废，附近的供电线路也被人为破坏。这可不是小打小闹，这条铁路不仅是波兰人民日常出行的主要交 通路线，更是帮助乌克兰获取援助的重要通道。许多乌克兰的武器、粮食等物资都需要通过这里运送。 波兰总理图斯克气得直拍桌子，直言这是前所未有的破坏，并誓言要找出幕后黑手。更巧合的是，斯洛 文尼亚也不安宁，近期发生了两起铁路事件，官方表示这绝不是疏忽，而是故意找茬。结合此前的无人 机乱飞、间谍事件，专家指出，这些问题背后可能是俄罗斯混合战争策略的升级。俄罗斯有一套名为格 拉西莫夫教义的战略手册，其中将混合战争分为8个阶段。现在看来，这些破坏行动已经进入了第5至第 6阶段，接 ...

Core Points - Ukraine will purchase "up to 100" French-made Rafale fighter jets, along with air defense systems and drones, as confirmed by the Élysée Palace during President Zelensky's visit to Paris [1][2] Group 1 - The agreement was signed during President Zelensky's visit to Paris, which is described as a "historic agreement" by Zelensky [2] - The signing took place at the Villacoublay Air Base, southwest of Paris, in the presence of French President Macron [2]

Core Points - The Russian Ministry of Defense reported that in the past 24 hours, Russian forces targeted 142 locations in Ukraine, including fuel energy facilities, railway infrastructure, and temporary deployment points of Ukrainian armed forces and foreign mercenaries, destroying multiple tanks, armored vehicles, field guns, and ammunition depots [1] - Ukrainian Air Force reported that from the evening of November 16, Russian forces launched attacks using 2 "Iskander-M" ballistic missiles and 128 drones, with Ukrainian air defense forces managing to shoot down or suppress 91 drones by 9 AM on November 17 [1] - French President Macron announced that Ukraine will purchase 100 "Rafale" fighter jets, radar systems, air defense systems, and drones from France, highlighting France's support for Ukraine in both military and economic sectors [1]

【文/观察者网 陈思佳】欧盟正寻求使用俄罗斯被冻结资产向乌克兰提供1400亿欧元贷款，但由于比利 时提出反对意见，欧盟已将相关讨论推迟到12月。但随着近期俄罗斯在战场上缓慢推进，乌克兰方面的 焦虑与日俱增，基辅迫切希望从欧洲获得更多资金。 据美国彭博社11月13日报道，乌克兰总统泽连斯基敦促欧盟尽快提供这笔资金，他表示，乌克兰需要更 多资金来购买防空系统和生产无人机，这关乎乌克兰的"生死存亡"。泽连斯基还呼吁美国总统特朗普没 收俄罗斯被冻结资产，以推动欧盟采取行动。 泽连斯基称："我希望，上帝保佑，我们能够看到这个决定。否则，我们将不得不寻找替代方案，这关 系到我们的生存问题。这就是为何我们如此需要这笔资金，我将希望寄托在我们的伙伴身上。" 泽连斯基认为，俄罗斯"必须为冲突买单"，乌克兰可以利用俄罗斯被冻结资产，从美国和欧洲购买更多 防空系统，并为无人机生产提供资金。他告诉彭博社："我们没有额外的资金，这就是解决方法——而 且这是公平的。" 泽连斯基还建议特朗普没收俄罗斯在美国被冻结的数十亿美元资产，向欧盟发出"积极信号"，"特朗普 可以掌控超过五十亿美元资产，也许他会决定动用这些资金，这将有所帮助。"他认为 ...

Core Points - Ukraine plans to establish weapon export and joint production offices in Berlin and Copenhagen to raise funds for domestic weapon shortages [1][3] - The Ukrainian delegation will negotiate a drone cooperation agreement in Washington next week [5] Group 1: Weapon Export and Production - Ukraine aims to sell available weapons, including naval drones and artillery systems, while still relying on Western allies for fighter jets and air defense systems [5] - The establishment of offices in Germany and Denmark is part of a strategy to enhance Ukraine's defense capabilities and secure funding for weapon production [1][3] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - The move to export weapons is seen as a way to strengthen Ukraine's ties with NATO and the European Union, potentially leading to a "drone wall" in Europe [7] - Economic factors play a role, as exporting drone equipment and anti-drone facilities could inject new economic momentum into Ukraine's defense industry [9] - Since September, Ukraine has been actively discussing weapon exports, with plans to sell surplus weapons to Europe, the U.S., the Middle East, and Africa [11]

Group 1 - Ukraine plans to establish arms export and joint production offices in Berlin and Copenhagen to enhance its weapon sales and production capabilities [1] - The focus of Ukraine's export will be on naval drones and artillery systems, which are seen as viable options to generate funds for domestic production of weapons [1] - Ukraine is currently reliant on allies for aircraft and air defense systems but has made progress in drone and missile projects [3] Group 2 - A Ukrainian delegation is set to visit Washington next week to discuss further cooperation on drone agreements, aiming to strengthen ties with the Trump administration [3] - Ukraine intends to sell surplus weapons to Europe, the United States, and Middle Eastern countries, with preliminary agreements reached for arms sales to several African nations during the UN General Assembly [3]

Core Insights - The meeting held by Ukrainian President Zelensky focused on enhancing Ukraine's long-range strike capabilities against Russia [1] - The discussion included the analysis of the effectiveness and outcomes of long-range strikes during a specific period [1] - Ukraine aims to expand its long-range fire strike capabilities and is in talks with weapon manufacturers regarding long-term contracts [1] Military Strategy - The meeting included representatives from weapon manufacturers and personnel responsible for weapon deployment [1] - Zelensky highlighted the significant costs incurred by Russia's oil processing industry and indicated that further penalties would follow [1] - New defense requirements were established in response to the current security situation, with a focus on air defense systems [1] International Cooperation - Ukraine is collaborating with partners to ensure the supply of necessary defense equipment [1] - The emphasis is on the need for Ukraine's diplomatic efforts to expedite decision-making processes related to defense supplies [1]

Core Points - Ukrainian President Zelensky expressed gratitude for the productive meeting with U.S. President Trump, emphasizing the importance of air defense systems and the need for increased cooperation with the U.S. [1] - Trump stated that it is time for both Russia and Ukraine to reach an agreement to stop the conflict and avoid further loss of life and unsustainable financial expenditures [1] - Zelensky indicated a willingness to engage in bilateral or trilateral talks to achieve peace, highlighting the necessity of strong U.S. security guarantees for Ukraine [1] Summary by Sections Meeting Outcomes - Zelensky reported to European leaders about his discussions with Trump, focusing on air defense systems and security guarantees, while avoiding escalation regarding missile discussions [2] - The conversation included topics such as the "Tomahawk" missiles, but did not address Ukraine's attacks on Russian energy facilities [2] Security Concerns - Zelensky emphasized that the U.S. is crucial in dialogues with Russia, stating that strong security guarantees from the U.S. are vital for Ukraine [1][2] - The discussions highlighted the complexity of territorial issues as a significant challenge in any negotiations [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Ukrainian energy system is facing a critical situation due to systematic attacks from Russia, leading to nationwide emergency power outages and industrial electricity restrictions [1] Group 1: Emergency Measures - The Ukrainian National Power Company announced emergency power outages across all regions of Ukraine due to urgent situations in the power system [1] - Planned industrial electricity restrictions will be implemented from 7 AM to 10 PM on October 17 [1] Group 2: Military and Infrastructure Attacks - President Zelensky accused Russia of conducting a "systematic terror war" against Ukraine's energy facilities, highlighting ongoing drone and missile attacks targeting civilian infrastructure [1] - The Russian Defense Ministry stated that the military is conducting large-scale strikes on natural gas facilities that support Ukraine's military technology enterprises [1] Group 3: International Support and Discussions - President Zelensky mentioned meetings with representatives from U.S. defense and energy companies to discuss the provision of more air defense systems to Ukraine [1] - Zelensky expressed hopes that discussions with U.S. President Trump could help in leveraging the situation in the Middle East to end the Russia-Ukraine war [1]

Group 1 - Germany will provide military aid to Ukraine worth over €2 billion, including air defense systems, precision-guided weapons, and ammunition [1] - The aid package aims to address some of Ukraine's urgent needs and includes two additional Iris-T air defense systems along with guided missiles and shoulder-fired air defense missiles [1] - Germany plans to modernize previously delivered weapons to extend their lifespan and will enhance cooperation between German and Ukrainian defense industries [1] Group 2 - Ukraine's defense minister stated that the country's defense needs for 2026 are approximately $120 billion, with domestic resources only covering half of that amount [1]