投资建议：整合成效渐显，新产品和新客户加速拓展，"大继峰"（继峰+格拉默）未来有望成为全球智 能座舱龙头， 我们预计公司2025-2027 年收入为229.50/264.50/309.50 亿元，归母净利润为 4.71/8.69/11.79 亿元，对应EPS 为0.37/0.68/0.93 元，对应2026 年2 月2 日14.40 元/股的收盘价，PE 分别 为39/21/16 倍，维持"推荐"评级。 风险提示：乘用车销量不及预期；整合不及预期；客户拓展不及预期等。 智能电动突围 座椅市场空间广阔。截至2025 年12 月19 日，公司累计乘用车座椅在手项目定点25 个， 其中2025H1 乘用车座椅业务实现营收19.84 亿元，归母净利-0.63 亿元，展望未来利润率有望随规模效 应显现而提升。当前所有在手订单生命周期总金额达1,057-1,104 亿元，根据经验，一般车型生命周期 为5-7年，我们假设全部按照生命周期6 年测算，当前公司在手订单如在同一年量产，可实现年收入176- 184 亿元，为继峰分部2024 年收入的274%-286%，收入增量显著。根据公司股权激励计划，2025/2026 年座椅 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 410 to 495 million yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround from losses in previous years [2]. Group 1: 2025 Q4 Performance - The company anticipates a net profit of 159 to 244 million yuan in Q4 2025, representing a year-on-year turnaround and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 63.6% to 151.0%, exceeding expectations [3]. - Key factors for this performance include optimization of human resources in Europe, integration of European operations to reduce costs, resolution of losses from the US TMD subsidiary, and ongoing capacity expansion in the seating business [3]. Group 2: Market Potential and Growth - As of January 29, 2026, the company has secured 25 projects for passenger car seats, with expected revenue of 1.984 billion yuan in H1 2025, despite a net loss of 63 million yuan [4]. - The total value of current orders is estimated between 1,057 to 1,104 billion yuan, which could translate to annual revenues of 176 to 184 billion yuan if all orders are produced in the same year, significantly increasing revenue compared to 2024 [4]. - The company's revenue targets for the seating division are set at 5 billion yuan for 2025 and 10 billion yuan for 2026, reflecting confidence in rapid growth and profitability [4]. Group 3: Strategic Integration and Product Development - Following the integration with Grammer in Q4 2019, the company has focused on enhancing profitability through cost reduction and efficiency measures under the leadership of COO Li Guoqiang [5]. - The company is expanding its product offerings in the automotive sector, including smart seating, audio headrests, and vehicle refrigerators, with significant growth in the vehicle refrigerator segment, achieving 80 million yuan in revenue in H1 2025 [5]. - The long-term vision is for the combined entity of Jifeng and Grammer to become a leader in the global smart cockpit market, leveraging technological advantages and operational efficiencies [6]. Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are 22.95 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 3.1%, and expected to reach 30.95 billion yuan by 2027, with a growth rate of 17.0% [7]. - The company forecasts a net profit of 471 million yuan in 2025, with significant growth anticipated in subsequent years, reaching 1.179 billion yuan by 2027 [7]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.37 yuan in 2025, increasing to 0.93 yuan by 2027, indicating a positive outlook for shareholder returns [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.10 to 4.95 billion yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround from losses [10]. - The fourth quarter of 2025 is projected to see a net profit of 1.59 to 2.44 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year turnaround and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 63.6% to 151.0% [10]. - The company is accelerating its global seat production, with expected revenue from seat business exceeding 5 billion yuan in 2025, showing a year-on-year growth of over 60% [10]. - The company has a total order value of 1,057 to 1,104 billion yuan, which could potentially yield annual revenues of 176 to 184 billion yuan if all orders are produced in the same year [10]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: 22,255 million yuan - 2025: 22,950 million yuan - 2026: 26,450 million yuan - 2027: 30,950 million yuan - The growth rates for these years are projected at 3.2%, 3.1%, 15.3%, and 17.0% respectively [3][11]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be: - 2024: -567 million yuan - 2025: 471 million yuan - 2026: 869 million yuan - 2027: 1,179 million yuan - The corresponding growth rates are -378.0%, 183.1%, 84.6%, and 35.6% [3][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be: - 2024: -0.45 yuan - 2025: 0.37 yuan - 2026: 0.68 yuan - 2027: 0.93 yuan [3][11]. Strategic Developments - The company is integrating its European operations to reduce costs and improve profitability, particularly through the consolidation with Grammer [10]. - The company aims to become a global leader in smart cockpits by expanding its product offerings, including smart seats, audio headrests, and vehicle refrigerators [10]. - The company has set ambitious revenue and profit targets for its seat division, with goals of 50 billion yuan in revenue and 1.5 billion yuan in net profit for 2025 [10].

继峰股份（603997.SH）系列点评二十三 2025Q4 业绩超预期 座椅全球化加速 glmszqdatemark 风险提示：乘用车销量不及预期；整合不及预期；客户拓展不及预期等。 [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 项目/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 22,255 | 22,950 | 26,450 | 30,950 | | 增长率（%） | 3.2 | 3.1 | 15.3 | 17.0 | | 归属母公司股东净利润（百万元） | -567 | 471 | 869 | 1,179 | | 增长率（%） | -378.0 | 183.1 | 84.6 | 35.6 | | 每股收益（元） | -0.45 | 0.37 | 0.68 | 0.93 | | PE | / | 39 | 21 | 16 | | PB | 3.9 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 2.5 | | 执业证书： S0590525110023 | | --- | | 邮箱： cuiyan@ ...

Group 1 - The company has recently received a project from a European luxury brand for the development and production of passenger car seat assemblies, marking a significant step in its global expansion strategy [1] - The project is expected to have a total lifecycle value of 9.8 billion yuan and will last for 8.5 years, starting from September 2028, indicating strong recognition of the company's capabilities in product development and production [1] - This new contract follows a previous project with BMW, showcasing the company's transition from a domestic supplier to a global player in the passenger car seat market [1] Group 2 - As of December 20, 2025, the company has secured 25 projects in the passenger car seat sector, with revenue from the first half of 2025 reaching 1.984 billion yuan, although it reported a net loss of 63 million yuan [2] - The total lifecycle value of current orders is estimated between 105.7 billion to 110.4 billion yuan, which could translate to annual revenues of 17.6 billion to 18.4 billion yuan if all orders are produced in the same year [2] - The company has set ambitious revenue targets for its seat division, aiming for 5 billion yuan in net profit by 2026, reflecting confidence in rapid growth and profitability [2] Group 3 - Following the acquisition of Grammer, the company has been integrating operations to enhance profitability and reduce costs, with a focus on expanding its product offerings in the smart cabin sector [3] - The company is diversifying its product line to include smart products such as audio headrests and mobile control systems, which are expected to drive future growth [3] - The revenue from the car refrigerator segment reached 80 million yuan in the first half of 2025, showing significant year-on-year growth [3] Group 4 - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 22.95 billion yuan in 2025, with net profits expected to reach 457 million yuan, indicating a strong recovery and growth trajectory [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to increase from -0.45 yuan in 2024 to 0.36 yuan in 2025, reflecting a turnaround in financial performance [5] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to improve significantly, dropping from 30 in 2025 to 15 by 2027, suggesting increasing investor confidence [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3] Core Insights - The company has recently received a "designated point" from a European luxury car manufacturer for a complete seat assembly project, which is expected to generate a total revenue of 9.8 billion yuan over its lifecycle [9] - The company aims to transition from a domestic supplier to a global player in the passenger car seat market, enhancing its overseas market presence and order acquisition [9] - The company has a total of 25 designated projects for passenger car seats, with expected revenue of 19.84 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, despite a net loss of 0.63 billion yuan [9] - The company anticipates significant revenue growth from its existing orders, projecting annual revenues of 176-184 billion yuan if all orders are produced in the same year [9] - The integration of the company with Grammer is expected to enhance profitability and operational efficiency, positioning the company as a leader in the global smart cockpit market [9] Financial Forecasts - Projected revenue for 2024 is 22.255 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 3.2%, increasing to 30.95 billion yuan by 2027 with a growth rate of 17.0% [3][10] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to turn positive by 2025, reaching 471 million yuan, and further increasing to 1.179 billion yuan by 2027 [3][10] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to improve from -0.45 yuan in 2024 to 0.93 yuan in 2027 [3][10] - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 38 in 2025 to 15 by 2027 [3][10]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 16.13 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.6%, but achieved a net profit of 250 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [2] Financial Performance Summary - Q3 2025 revenue was 5.61 billion yuan, down 4.9% year-on-year but up 2.2% quarter-on-quarter [3] - Q3 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders was 100 million yuan, a significant increase of 96.8% quarter-on-quarter, and a turnaround from losses year-on-year [3] - Q3 2025 gross margin was 16.5%, up 2.4 percentage points year-on-year and 2.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3] - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 2.0%, an increase of 13.7 percentage points year-on-year and 1.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3] - The increase in net profit margin is attributed to the low base from the sale of the US subsidiary TMD in 2024 and cost reduction measures implemented by the company [3] Business Development and Market Position - The company has secured over 20 seat projects since October 2021, with mass production starting in May 2023, generating revenue of 1.984 billion yuan in H1 2025 [4] - As of September 30, 2025, the company has 24 projects in hand for passenger car seats, with a total lifecycle value of 95.9 to 100.6 billion yuan, potentially leading to annual revenues of 16 to 16.8 billion yuan if produced in the same year [4] - The company's stock incentive plan sets revenue targets for the seat division at 5 billion yuan for 2025 and 10 billion yuan for 2026, indicating confidence in rapid growth and profitability [4] Strategic Initiatives - Following the acquisition of Grammer in Q4 2019, the company has focused on integration and cost reduction measures to enhance profitability [5] - The company is expanding its product offerings in the smart cabin market, including passenger car seats, audio headrests, and mobile control systems, while also venturing into smart home-style heavy-duty truck cabins [5] - In H1 2025, the company generated 80 million yuan in revenue from vehicle refrigerators, showing significant year-on-year growth [5] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 22.95 billion yuan in 2025, with net profits of 470 million yuan, and further growth projected for 2026 and 2027 [6] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.37 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 37 times based on the closing price of 13.87 yuan per share on October 31, 2025 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue for the first half of 2025, but significant growth in net profit and non-recurring net profit, indicating improved profitability despite lower sales [2][3]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 10.52 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.4%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 150 million yuan, up 189.5%, and the non-recurring net profit was 190 million yuan, an increase of 598.6% [2]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 5.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.1% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 50 million yuan, up 43.7% year-on-year but down 52.9% quarter-on-quarter. The non-recurring net profit was 100 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 809.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.4% [3]. Business Development - The company has made significant progress in its new business, with passenger car seats generating revenue of 1.98 billion yuan in H1 2025, doubling year-on-year. The car-mounted refrigerator also saw substantial growth, achieving revenue of 80 million yuan, a multiple increase year-on-year [3]. - As of August 14, 2025, the company has secured 24 projects for passenger car seats, with a total lifecycle value of 95.9 to 100.6 billion yuan. If these projects are mass-produced in the same year, they could generate annual revenue of 16 to 16.8 billion yuan, representing a significant increase compared to the 24.9 billion yuan revenue in 2024 [4]. Strategic Initiatives - The company aims to become a global leader in smart cockpits by leveraging the integration of its operations with Grammer, focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements. The strategy includes expanding into new product lines such as smart passenger car seats, sound systems, and car-mounted refrigerators [5][6]. - The company has set ambitious revenue targets for its seat division, aiming for 5 billion yuan in 2025 and 10 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting confidence in rapid growth and profitability in this segment [4]. Future Outlook - The company projects revenues of 26.75 billion yuan, 29.95 billion yuan, and 35.95 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 602 million yuan, 940 million yuan, and 1.34 billion yuan [7].

Event Overview - The company disclosed a pre-increase announcement for its 2025 semi-annual performance, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 150 to 180 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 182.3% to 238.7%. The non-recurring net profit is expected to be 180 to 220 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 566.9% to 715.1% [1] Analysis and Judgment - The profit for Q2 2025 is in line with expectations, with the integration effects of Grammer becoming evident. The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 46 to 76 million yuan for Q2 2025, with a median of 61 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 77.7% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 42.0%. Grammer's Q2 2025 revenue is expected to be 466 million euros, down 6.9% year-on-year, with an operating profit of 12 million euros, down 42.1% year-on-year. The decline in profit is mainly due to decreased revenue and profit in the Americas and Asia-Pacific regions, particularly in high-margin businesses in China, affected by economic uncertainties. However, the company maintains its full-year operating profit forecast of 60 million euros [1][2] Intelligent Electric Breakthrough - Since October 2021, the company has secured over 20 seat assembly project designations, achieving mass production in May 2023, with cumulative deliveries of 330,000 sets and revenue of 3.11 billion yuan in 2024. As of July 14, 2025, the company has 21 designated projects for passenger car seats, with a total lifecycle value of 92.7 to 97.4 billion yuan. If these orders are produced in the same year, they could generate annual revenue of 15.4 to 16.2 billion yuan, significantly contributing to the 2024 revenue of the company [2] Comprehensive Synergy - Following the consolidation of Grammer in Q4 2019, the company has been focusing on integration since 2020. With the appointment of Grammer's global COO in 2023, the company aims to enhance profitability through cost reduction and efficiency measures. The collaboration between Grammer and the company is expected to expand market reach, enhance product offerings, and increase market share. The company is diversifying its product line to include intelligent new products such as passenger car seats, sound headrests, and mobile central control systems, while also planning to develop smart cabin solutions for heavy trucks and other innovative features [3] Integration Effects and Future Outlook - The integration effects are becoming apparent, with new products and customers accelerating expansion. The combined entity of "Da Jifeng" (Jifeng + Grammer) is expected to become a global leader in intelligent cockpits. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 26.75 billion, 29.95 billion, and 35.95 billion yuan, with net profits of 605 million, 945 million, and 1.343 billion yuan, respectively. Corresponding EPS is projected at 0.48, 0.74, and 1.06 yuan, with PE ratios of 26, 17, and 12 times based on the closing price of 12.33 yuan per share on July 14, 2025 [4][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [7]. Core Insights - The company expects a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a range of 150 to 180 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 182.3% to 238.7% [1]. - The integration effects from Grammer in Europe are becoming evident, with the company forecasting a net profit of 46 to 76 million yuan for Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 77.7% [2]. - The company has secured over 20 seat assembly projects since October 2021, with a total lifecycle value of 927 to 974 billion yuan, indicating substantial revenue potential [3]. - The strategic integration with Grammer aims to enhance profitability and market share, targeting leadership in the global smart cockpit market [4]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 26.75 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 605 million yuan, and expects continued growth in subsequent years [6][10]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.48 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 26 times based on the closing price of 12.33 yuan per share on July 14, 2025 [4][6].