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英国通胀七个月来首降!央行降息预期重燃,财政预算成新变数
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 09:08
英国通胀出现七个月来首次下降,这一信号表明,在英国央行和财政大臣雷切尔.里夫斯做出关键决策 前,价格压力已过峰值。 英国国家统计局周三数据显示,10月消费者价格指数(CPI)同比上涨3.6%,较9月的3.8%有所回落。该数 据略高于伦敦金融城经济学家预期的3.5%,但符合英国央行预测。 通胀率降至6月以来最低水平,主要受能源价格涨幅低于去年同期推动。服务通胀微降至4.5%——这一 备受英国央行密切关注的数据低于其预期。 这些数据重新点燃了市场对英国央行在下次会议上实施圣诞节前降息的期待。随着交易员更关注服务通 胀数据,英镑兑美元汇率下跌0.1%至1.313美元。"通胀见顶的证据应会促使央行在12月降 息,"Schroders高级经济学家乔治.布朗表示。 然而,降息之路仍面临重大障碍,特别是工党政府将于下周公布的秋季预算。里夫斯承诺将通过财政计 划抑制高通胀,但目前考虑的增税方案可能使英国央行的决策复杂化。 财政大臣就通胀数据回应称:"通胀下降对全国家庭和企业来说是个好消息,但我决心采取更多措施来 降低价格。"她重申将在11月26日的预算中优先解决生活成本问题。 Schroders经济学家布朗指出,若能从家庭能 ...
菲律宾通胀率连续两个月攀升
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-10-07 22:11
Core Insights - The inflation rate in the Philippines rose to 1.7% in September, up from 1.5% in August, marking the second consecutive month of increase [1] - The average inflation rate for the first nine months of the year stands at 1.7%, which is below the government's annual target range of 2% to 4% [1] Inflation Drivers - The increase in September's inflation was primarily driven by a shift in transportation prices from a year-on-year decline of 0.3% in August to an increase of 1.0% in September [1] - Food and non-alcoholic beverage prices also contributed to the inflation rise, with the year-on-year growth rate increasing from 0.9% to 1.0% [1] Food Inflation Details - The food inflation rate in September was 0.8%, up from 0.6% in August, with vegetable prices experiencing a significant increase from 10.0% in August to 19.4% in September due to adverse weather conditions in major production areas [1] - The decline in corn prices narrowed from a year-on-year drop of 11.8% to 4.5% [1] - Food inflation contributed approximately 0.3 percentage points to the overall inflation rate [1] Core Inflation - Excluding food and energy prices, the core inflation rate for September was 2.6%, slightly lower than August's 2.7% but higher than the 2.4% recorded in the same month last year [2] Government Response - The Philippine government is committed to ensuring sufficient food supply and will allow the importation of specific vegetables such as carrots, onions, and broccoli as part of its price stabilization measures [2]
8月波黑CPI环比小幅下跌,年通胀率为4.1%
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-09-27 03:18
Core Insights - Bosnia's consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month in August, while year-on-year it increased by 4.1% [1] Price Changes - In August, prices for clothing and footwear rose by 0.1%, housing and utilities by 0.2%, healthcare products by 0.4%, entertainment and cultural services by 0.6%, education services by 0.1%, and food and hotel services by 0.1% [1] - Conversely, prices for food and non-alcoholic beverages fell by 0.4%, and transportation services decreased by 0.8% [1] Year-on-Year Comparisons - Year-on-year, food and non-alcoholic beverage prices increased by 9.2%, alcoholic beverages and tobacco by 3.7%, housing and utilities by 0.2%, furniture and household equipment by 1.1%, healthcare products by 6.1%, communications by 0.3%, entertainment and cultural services by 4.9%, education services by 2.4%, and food and hotel services by 7.2% [1] - However, clothing and footwear prices dropped by 5.7%, and transportation services decreased by 2.7% [1]