Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the contrasting performance of the tea beverage brand Mixue Ice City, highlighting its strong financial results amidst challenges posed by rising lemon prices and competitive pressures in the market [3][4][11]. Financial Performance - Mixue Ice City reported a revenue of 14.87 billion yuan and a net profit of 2.72 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, outperforming competitors like Bawang Tea and Guming [3]. - Forecasts suggest that Mixue's revenue could reach 29.7 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a steady growth of 20% year-on-year [3]. Supply Chain and Raw Material Challenges - The brand's success is attributed to its robust supply chain and competitive pricing, particularly for its lemon-based products, which account for 15%-20% of its revenue [4][7]. - Extreme weather conditions have severely impacted lemon production, with some regions experiencing a yield reduction of 30%-60%, leading to a surge in wholesale lemon prices to 15 yuan per kilogram, nearly doubling year-on-year [7][9]. Competitive Landscape - Mixue Ice City faces significant pressure from competitors who primarily use a different variety of lemon (fragrant lemon), which has not seen the same price increases as the yellow lemon used by Mixue [9][10]. - The ongoing "takeout war" has eroded Mixue's price advantage, as competitors offer substantial discounts, making it challenging for Mixue to maintain its market position [12]. Strategic Responses - In response to the lemon crisis, Mixue has diversified its product offerings by incorporating fragrant lemons into new products, thereby alleviating some supply chain pressures [10][11]. - The brand is leveraging its IP, "Snow King," to enhance customer engagement and loyalty through innovative marketing strategies, including blind box promotions and emotional branding [13][15]. Expansion into New Markets - Mixue is expanding into new product categories, including coffee and fresh beer, to capture a broader consumer base and diversify its revenue streams [18][21]. - The launch of its coffee brand, "Lucky Coffee," has seen rapid expansion, with over 8,200 locations globally, and aims to penetrate first-tier cities [19][21]. Conclusion - The challenges posed by rising lemon prices and competitive dynamics have prompted Mixue Ice City to adapt its strategies, focusing on emotional branding, product diversification, and market expansion to sustain its growth trajectory [21].

14 Jun 2025 中国可选消费 & 必需消费 China (Overseas) Discretionary & Staples 餐饮、潮玩及家电行业周报 F&B, Designer Toys and Home Appliance Sector Weekly Report [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus 研究报告 Research Report | [Table_Info] | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股票名称 | 评级 | 股票名称 | | 评级 | | 泡泡玛特 | Outperform 现代牧业 | | | Outperform | | 安踏体育 | Outperform 九毛九 | | | Outperform | | 百威亚太 | Neutral | 澳优 | | Outperform | | 海底捞 | Outperform | | | | | 华住酒店集团有限 | Outperform | | | | | 公司 | | | | | | 华润啤酒 | Outperform | | | | | ...