2026年马年春节，新茶饮消费市场迎来了名副其实的"最强春节档"。 在史上最长的9天假期与"年节经济"的双重催化下，行业呈现出供需两旺的火热局面，多个品牌业绩实现爆发式增长。 茉莉奶白全国门店GMV同比提升超130%，部分门店增幅环比节前高达790%，累计售出近千万杯茶饮。甜啦啦部分门 店业绩环比增长超1500%，超千家乡镇店业绩环比增长超800%。 春节期间，21世纪经济报道记者走访多家新茶饮门店发现，等待的消费者和外卖骑手络绎不绝。"平时其实会比较克 制喝奶茶，但春节期间，几乎是每天一杯，奶茶、果茶等轮着喝。"在广西过年的消费者吴女士说道，"过年总忍不住 对自己好一点。" "不仅白天生意好，过年大家睡得晚，夜里我们都还有订单进来。"广东省的茶百道加盟商余先生告诉21世纪经济报道 记者，今年春节门店全程不打烊，整体业绩较平日显著增长，余先生算了一笔账，扣除假期新增的人力、水电、物料 等成本，今年春节"不打烊"一共带来约5万元的额外利润。 旅游拉动 21世纪经济报道记者 易佳颖 "虽然春节要守店，不能回家，但收入也是大大增加。"这也是聂店长第三个留守门店的春节，她直言，在春节当月收 入可增加一万多元，对于自愿 ...

21世纪经济报道记者 易佳颖 茉莉奶白方面也表示，部分三四线城市及景区门店更因文旅消费带动涨幅较大。贵阳龙洞堡机场T2航 站楼出发层店、湖州太湖服务区东区店等交通枢纽门店销量亦实现显著增长。此外，"小众游"也成为关 键词，茶百道数据显示，甘肃嘉峪关、四川阿坝州、湖北潜江、山西朔州、广西贵港等"小众目的地"进 入销量增幅前十，有景区门店销量涨幅高达4500%。甜啦啦重庆荣昌、山西忻州古城、河北广府古城等 门店业绩环比增幅均超1500%。 寒假与史上最长的9天春节假期叠加，旅游市场格外火热，拉动了新茶饮品牌的销量。 茶百道数据显示，重庆、成都、上海、北京、杭州等五大旅游热门城市销量领跑。无独有偶，在这些城 市，霸王茶姬的销量也持续稳居全国前列。茉莉奶白在上海、成都、重庆、杭州、北京、深圳、苏州、 温州、广州、南通等城市表现突出，门店销量跻身全国前十。 霸王茶姬位于景区、高速服务区及交通枢纽的重点门店表现尤为突出，销量较假期前增长超 200%。茉 莉奶白宁波熊出没欢乐港湾店、上海千古情景区店和上海海昌海洋公园店日均营业额环比节前涨幅均超 160%。 "可以说是，意想不到的业绩增长。知道春节生意好，但没想到会这么好。 ...

21世纪经济报道记者易佳颖 2026年马年春节，新茶饮消费市场迎来了名副其实的"最强春节档"。 在史上最长的9天假期与"年节经济"的双重催化下，行业呈现出供需两旺的火热局面，多个品牌业绩实 现爆发式增长。茉莉奶白全国门店GMV同比提升超130%，部分门店增幅环比节前高达790%，累计售出 近千万杯茶饮。甜啦啦部分门店业绩环比增长超1500%，超千家乡镇店业绩环比增长超800%。 春节期间，21世纪经济报道记者走访多家新茶饮门店发现，等待的消费者和外卖骑手络绎不绝。"平时 其实会比较克制喝奶茶，但春节期间，几乎是每天一杯，奶茶、果茶等轮着喝。"在广西过年的消费者 吴女士说道，"过年总忍不住对自己好一点。" "不仅白天生意好，过年大家睡得晚，夜里我们都还有订单进来。"广东省的茶百道加盟商余先生告诉21 世纪经济报道记者，今年春节门店全程不打烊，整体业绩较平日显著增长，余先生算了一笔账，扣除假 期新增的人力、水电、物料等成本，今年春节"不打烊"一共带来约5万元的额外利润。 "今年比去年忙多了，去年日均才2000多杯。今年业绩增长的另一来源于24小时营业。春节期间，夜间 订单都相比平时翻了一倍。"她详细说道，"深夜订 ...

也就是说，先喜欢，再判断值不值。 情绪价值成为核心，情绪消费正在成为全球趋势。 市场研究机构数据显示：中国情绪消费相关市场规模已接近2万亿元。 相关行业包括：潮玩、宠物、体验消费、IP联名、内容娱乐、二次元文化。 这些行业的共同特点是：功能并不稀缺，但情绪非常明确。 社交传播已成为产品一部分，过去，产品与营销是两件事。 今天，越来越多产品本身就具备传播属性。 例如，名创优品近几年快速扩张。 其增长背后的关键策略之一，就是IP联名常态化。 合作IP包括：迪士尼、三丽鸥、漫威、哈利波特等。 门店不只是卖商品，而是提供：拍照场景、收藏价值、社交分享素材。 很多消费者排队，并不是因为刚需，而是参与感。 情绪成为溢价来源。 另一个明显变化是：年轻人愿意为情绪支付溢价。 例如Jellycat 在全球范围持续火爆。 Jellycat 的毛绒玩具价格往往远高于普通玩具。 但在社交平台上，用户分享的是：陪伴感、治愈感、情绪寄托。 它卖的不是毛绒，而是情绪安慰剂。 三、为什么情绪消费会爆发？ Z世代消费观念的变化，并不是偶然。 背后至少有三层结构性原因。 1、物质丰富后的心理转移 中国消费市场已经进入供给极度丰富阶段。 大多数功 ...

茶百道相关负责人介绍，为更好承接旺盛的春节消费需求，品牌提前制定了多项面向加盟商的补贴激励 政策，今年选择春节正常营业的门店明显增多，在充分满足消费者需求的同时，也为门店增收增利。广 东省的一位茶百道加盟商表示，今年春节门店全程不打烊，整体业绩较平日显著增长，扣除假期新增的 人力、水电、物料等成本，今年春节"不打烊"一共带来约5万元的额外利润。 （文章来源：新京报） 甜啦啦"一杯好茶，好运加马"主题营销活动也交出亮眼成绩单。活动期间，全国门店客流激增，部分门 店业绩环比增长超1500%，超千家乡镇店业绩环比增长超800%。品牌以"推爆品、焕新装、赠纯茶"三 大核心动作，实现了短期销量爆发与长期品牌价值沉淀的双重目标。 2026年春节期间（2月15日—2月23日），益禾堂实现营业额同比增幅超35%。同期，春节期间总杯量较 去年春节期间同比增长28%。单日数据方面，今年大年初一（2月17日）实现营业额比2025年大年初一 （1月29日）增长10%；当日杯量较去年同期同比增长4%。从区域来看，益禾堂生意最好的省份是广 西、河北、河南。其中形成了"广西稳底盘、提效益，豫冀抢份额、树标杆"的双轮驱动格局。上海、北 京、 ...

新京报讯(记者王子扬)新春假期，不少商家推出"春节不打烊"服务，在"年节经济"带动下，供需两端同 步发力，消费市场迎来了马年"开门红"。寒假与史上最长的9天春节假期叠加，旅游市场格外火热。从 新茶饮品牌茶百道、霸王茶姬、喜茶、甜啦啦、益禾堂等品牌的数据来看，热门旅游城市的门店销量增 速领跑，核心产品销售业绩再创新高。 2026年春节期间(2月15日—2月23日)，益禾堂实现营业额同比增幅超35%。同期，春节期间总杯量较去 年春节期间同比增长28%。单日数据方面，今年大年初一(2月17日)实现营业额比2025年大年初一(1月29 日)增长10%；当日杯量较去年同期同比增长4%。从区域来看，益禾堂生意最好的省份是广西、河北、 河南。其中形成了"广西稳底盘、提效益，豫冀抢份额、树标杆"的双轮驱动格局。上海、北京、重庆、 成都、广州、深圳等热门目的地，霸王茶姬门店的销量持续稳居全国前列，同时低线城市及县城核心商 圈展现出强劲的消费潜力，广东湛江、广西贵港等多地门店日均销量突破2500杯。 产品方面，春节假期，喜茶旗下的奇兰粉芭乐、奇兰苹果杏等茶特调产品以全新的产品结构和风味，成 为全国各地消费者都喜爱的春节新茶饮爆款 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global industrial system is undergoing a significant paradigm shift from "efficiency first" to "security and autonomy," leading to increased demand for infrastructure and industrial construction, with China transitioning from a "final product exporter" to a "global basic industrial provider" [1][39]. Group 1: China's Foreign Trade Trends - China's foreign trade is diversifying and moving towards higher-end products, with exports reaching a historical high of $2.5 trillion in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.5% [2]. - The trade surplus surpassed $1 trillion for the first time, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 19.8% [2]. - Net exports contributed 1.64 percentage points to GDP growth in 2025, the second-highest level since 2007 [5]. Group 2: Regional and Product Structure - The diversification of external demand is strengthening, with emerging markets compensating for declines in the U.S. market. Exports to the U.S. fell by 19.79% year-on-year, while exports to ASEAN, Africa, and the Middle East grew by 13.64%, 25.9%, and 9.7%, respectively [8]. - High-end manufacturing products such as electrical machinery, machinery, automobiles, and ships remain the mainstay of exports, contributing 44.10%, 17.67%, 16.05%, and 6.99% to the total export scale [13]. Group 3: Opportunities for Overseas Expansion - In 2026, there are strong overseas opportunities in sectors such as electric new (batteries, grid equipment), machinery, TMT (electronics, communication, gaming), innovative pharmaceuticals, new consumption, shipbuilding, commercial vehicles, automotive parts, and chemical products [57]. - The restructuring of global supply chains is accelerating the globalization of Chinese enterprises' production capacity, with 229 companies establishing production facilities or subsidiaries in ASEAN, India, and Mexico by 2025, nearly doubling from 2024 [29]. Group 4: AI Expansion Cycle - The AI expansion cycle is a core focus in the Chinese capital market, with significant capital expenditure expected from major tech companies. For instance, capital expenditures from major cloud service providers in North America are projected to reach $598.7 billion in 2026, a 67% increase year-on-year [45][46]. - The demand for AI-related hardware is expected to drive growth in related sectors, benefiting domestic manufacturing leaders in robotics and consumer electronics [48]. Group 5: Cultural and Technological Output - Chinese enterprises are also focusing on cultural and technological exports, with significant growth in overseas revenue from IP (e.g., toys, games) and lifestyle brands (e.g., new tea drinks, e-commerce) [49][50]. - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is becoming a key player in the global market, with several new drugs commercialized in the U.S. and Europe, indicating strong potential for further overseas opportunities in 2026 [53].

Group 1: Core Insights - The Chinese consumer market in 2025 is characterized by both chaos and fragmentation, with a shift towards efficiency, value, and trust as the essence of competition [2] - The year witnessed significant events such as the end of the food delivery war, a crisis in the prepared food sector, and the rise of hard discounts while soft discounts declined [2] - Major international brands are seeking survival through divestitures, while the middle class experiences repeated disillusionment in consumption [2] Group 2: Food Delivery War - The food delivery war was ignited by JD's aggressive entry into the market, leading to a fierce subsidy competition among major players like Meituan and Alibaba [5][6] - In Q2 2025, the three major players burned through at least 30 billion yuan, equivalent to the total industry profit of the previous year [6] - The war has severely impacted small businesses and delivery personnel, highlighting the unsustainable nature of the competition [6] Group 3: Prepared Food Crisis - The prepared food crisis began with a public dispute involving a well-known restaurant, exposing significant gaps in consumer trust and industry standards [10][11] - The crisis has led to the closure of 102 stores by the affected restaurant and highlighted the precarious state of the industry, with many companies facing severe losses [12] - The market for prepared foods is projected to grow significantly, with the government moving towards establishing clearer standards [12][13] Group 4: Hard Discount Battle - The hard discount retail sector is experiencing explosive growth, with major players like JD and Hema aggressively expanding their store presence [16][18] - The distinction between hard and soft discounts is becoming more pronounced, with hard discounts focusing on sustainable low prices through private label products [18][19] - The competition is shifting from price wars to efficiency in supply chains and operational capabilities [19] Group 5: Dairy Product Trends - The "milk skin" product has gained immense popularity, evolving from a local specialty to a nationwide trend, with significant sales figures reported [21][22] - The product's success is attributed to its versatility and the ability to integrate into various food categories, driving demand and industry expansion [22] Group 6: Medicinal Food Market - The market for medicinal food has surpassed 370 billion yuan, with a growing emphasis on integrating traditional Chinese medicine into everyday food products [25][26] - The industry is witnessing an expansion of raw materials and innovative product forms, driven by advancements in technology and consumer demand [27][28] Group 7: International Brand Divestitures - In 2025, international brands like Starbucks and Burger King began divesting their Chinese operations, indicating a shift in market dynamics [31][32] - The decline in market share for these brands is attributed to their inability to adapt to the rapidly changing consumer landscape in China [32] - Successful local brands have capitalized on this opportunity, demonstrating the potential for growth through localized strategies [33] Group 8: Middle-Class Consumer Sentiment - The middle class in China is experiencing a sense of disillusionment, reacting negatively to price increases and perceived quality issues [36][39] - This demographic is increasingly critical of brands that do not meet their expectations, indicating a shift in consumer behavior and brand loyalty [39] Group 9: Weight Management Trends - 2025 has been dubbed the "Year of Weight Management," with a national initiative promoting healthy weight control [41][44] - The market for weight management products is projected to reach 326 billion yuan, with a significant increase in demand for functional foods [45][46] Group 10: IPO Activity in Hong Kong - The Hong Kong stock exchange has seen a surge in IPO activity, with 111 companies raising over 250 billion yuan in 2025, surpassing previous expectations [49][50] - The consumer sector has been a major focus, with numerous retail and consumption-related companies going public [50][51] - The trend of dual listings (A+H shares) is also gaining momentum, indicating a robust interest in capital markets [52]

Group 1: Chinese Consumption Market Trends in 2025 - The Chinese consumption market in 2025 is characterized by both chaos and transformation, moving away from bubble narratives towards efficiency, value, and trust as core competitive elements [1] - The delivery service battle resulted in a loss of at least 30 billion yuan in Q2 2025, significantly impacting small businesses and delivery personnel [3][4] - The pre-prepared food crisis highlighted a significant trust gap between consumers and the food industry, leading to a call for national standards [6][8] Group 2: Delivery Service Battle - The delivery service war was ignited by JD's aggressive entry into the market, leading to a fierce subsidy competition among major players like Meituan and Alibaba [3][4] - The battle resulted in a dramatic increase in active users for JD and Meituan, but ultimately led to unsustainable financial losses [3][4] - The strategic rationale for giants like Alibaba and JD was to cultivate consumer habits of ordering food through their platforms, thereby enhancing their core e-commerce businesses [4] Group 3: Pre-prepared Food Crisis - The pre-prepared food crisis began with a public dispute involving a well-known restaurant, revealing deep-seated issues in the food industry's industrial transformation [6][7] - The crisis underscored the clash between consumer rights and the interests of food enterprises, with consumers demanding transparency [8][9] - The industry is expected to undergo significant regulatory changes, with new national standards being proposed to ensure consumer awareness and rights [9][10] Group 4: Discount Retail Trends - The discount retail sector in China is experiencing rapid expansion, with new players entering the market and established brands accelerating their store openings [11][12] - Hard discount models are thriving due to their focus on private label products and supply chain efficiency, while soft discount models are struggling [11][13] - The competition has shifted from price wars to a broader focus on supply chain efficiency and operational capabilities [13][14] Group 5: Health and Wellness Trends - The market for health and wellness products, particularly those related to traditional Chinese medicine, has surpassed 370 billion yuan, indicating a growing consumer interest in health [18][19] - The product offerings in this sector are diversifying, with new ingredients being added to the list of approved health foods [19][20] - Retail channels are increasingly focusing on health products, with major retailers launching specialized health product lines [22] Group 6: International Brands Selling Out - In 2025, several international brands, including Starbucks and Burger King, opted to sell their Chinese operations to local partners, indicating a shift in market strategy [23][24] - The decline in market share for these brands is attributed to their inability to adapt to the fast-paced and competitive Chinese market [24][25] - Successful local brands have demonstrated the potential for growth and profitability in the Chinese market, contrasting with the struggles of foreign brands [26] Group 7: Middle-Class Consumer Sentiment - The middle-class consumer segment in 2025 is experiencing significant discontent, driven by rising prices and perceived value discrepancies [28][30] - This demographic is increasingly critical of brands that do not meet their expectations for quality and value, leading to a reevaluation of brand loyalty [30][31] - The notion of the middle class is being challenged, with discussions around its existence and relevance in the current economic landscape [30] Group 8: Weight Management as a National Strategy - 2025 has been designated as the "Year of Weight Management," with government initiatives promoting healthy eating and lifestyle choices [33][34] - The market for weight management products is projected to reach 326 billion yuan, with a significant increase in demand for functional foods [35][36] - The trend reflects a broader societal shift towards health consciousness, influencing various sectors including food and fitness [36] Group 9: IPO Activity in Hong Kong - The Hong Kong stock market saw a surge in IPO activity in 2025, with 111 companies raising a total of 250.56 billion yuan, surpassing previous expectations [37][38] - The consumer sector was a major focus, with numerous retail and consumption-related companies going public [38][39] - The trend of dual listings (A+H shares) is gaining momentum, indicating a strategic move by companies to enhance their market presence [40]

Core Insights - The Chinese new tea beverage market is experiencing a significant slowdown, with the growth rate dropping from 24.9% (2017-2022) to 6.4% in 2024, indicating a shift from expansion to competition in a saturated market [4][34][37] - The market is projected to reach a size of 3547.2 billion yuan in 2024, with growth rates stabilizing between 5%-7% in the first three quarters of 2025, marking the transition to a phase of stock competition [4][37] - The competitive landscape is characterized by a concentration of market share among leading brands, with smaller brands struggling to survive [5][49] Group 1: Industry Trends - The new tea beverage industry has officially transitioned from a high-growth phase to a period of meticulous management and profitability focus, moving away from rapid store openings and population growth [4][34] - The number of new tea beverage stores opened in the past year was 118,000, while 157,000 closed, resulting in a net decrease of 39,000 stores, highlighting the intense competition and market saturation [5][47] - The health trend in the industry is deepening, with the use of sugar substitutes in milk tea reaching 61.3%, and the application of plant-based ingredients increasing from 18.9% in 2024 to 26.4% in 2025 [7] Group 2: Brand Dynamics - Leading brands like Mixue Ice City and Bawang Chaji are expanding rapidly, with Mixue Ice City surpassing 53,000 global stores and Bawang Chaji increasing to 7,038 stores, reflecting a trend of head brand concentration [5][44] - Mid-tier brands are facing significant challenges, with companies like Nayuki's Tea reporting a revenue decline of 4.7% and a net loss of 919 million yuan in 2024 [6][49] - The market is witnessing a "one super, many strong" structure, with Mixue Ice City holding a dominant position and other brands like Bawang Chaji and Gu Ming rapidly gaining ground [55] Group 3: Market Strategies - Brands are increasingly focusing on emotional marketing, with Bawang Chaji positioning itself as a solution for emotional needs among young consumers [10] - The exploration of overseas markets has become a core strategy for leading brands, with Bawang Chaji's overseas GMV exceeding 300 million yuan in Q3 2025, marking a 75.3% year-on-year growth [8] - The industry is shifting towards value competition, moving away from price wars, as brands like Xicha announce a return to user and brand focus, halting low-price competition [14] Group 4: Consumer Behavior - The rise of the "one-person economy" is driving demand for smaller, high-quality products, as consumers prefer moderate consumption over large quantities [25][26] - The focus on seasonal products has become a fixed rhythm, with multiple brands launching offerings based on seasonal fruits, indicating a trend towards timely innovation [22] - The consumer landscape is stabilizing, with shopping and afternoon tea becoming dominant consumption scenarios, limiting the expansion of new consumption contexts [38]