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沪上阿姨港股首秀涨68%,解码下沉市场的资本新叙事
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-05-08 12:18
Core Viewpoint - The successful IPO of "沪上阿姨" (Hu Shang A Yi) on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange marks a significant milestone for the new tea beverage industry, reflecting strong market interest and a shift in valuation logic from rapid store openings to ecological resilience [1][2]. Group 1: IPO and Market Performance - "沪上阿姨" was listed on May 8, with an issue price of HKD 113.12, raising approximately HKD 195 million, and saw a first-day opening price of HKD 190.6, a 68.48% increase from the issue price [1]. - The company achieved an issuance valuation of approximately HKD 11.86 billion, with a valuation multiple of 33.58 times, significantly higher than its competitor, "蜜雪冰城" (Mixue Ice Cream) [1]. - The IPO was oversubscribed by over 3,300 times, indicating strong investor confidence and interest in the new tea beverage market [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, "沪上阿姨" reported revenues of RMB 2.199 billion, RMB 3.348 billion, and RMB 3.285 billion, respectively, with net profits of RMB 149 million, RMB 388 million, and RMB 329 million [2]. - The number of franchise stores increased from 5,244 in 2022 to 7,756 in 2023, with a growth rate of 47.9% in 2023 [2]. Group 3: Market Strategy and Product Development - "沪上阿姨" has differentiated itself by focusing on health-oriented ingredients and has successfully penetrated the northern market, where hot beverages are more popular [3]. - The company has launched over 100 new products annually since 2021, including popular items like "杨枝甘露" and "超嗲草莓大福" [4]. - The brand has expanded its product line to include "轻享版" (Light Enjoyment Version) priced mostly under RMB 10, targeting lower-tier cities [4]. Group 4: Expansion and Supply Chain - Approximately 50.4% of "沪上阿姨's" stores are located in third-tier cities and below, with a significant portion of new stores opening in these areas [5]. - The company has established a robust supply chain network, including 12 logistics bases and 15 cold chain warehouses, enhancing operational efficiency [6]. Group 5: ESG and Future Growth - "沪上阿姨" has initiated a "green factory" initiative focusing on lean management and energy conservation, alongside a comprehensive quality control system for its fresh fruit tea products [7]. - The company plans to allocate approximately 25% of its IPO proceeds to enhance digital capabilities and 20% for product development and supply chain improvements [7]. - The brand has opened its first overseas store in Malaysia, marking its initial step into international markets [8].
十年开出近万家门店,沪上阿姨终成新式茶饮第六股
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-08 10:20
Core Viewpoint - Hu Shang A Yi (02589.HK) successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange at an issue price of HKD 113.12, reflecting strong market optimism for the new tea beverage sector and the company's business model [1] Market Overview - The Chinese ready-to-drink beverage market has seen rapid growth, with the market size increasing from RMB 187.8 billion in 2018 to RMB 517.5 billion in 2023, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.5%. It is projected to reach RMB 1,163.4 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 17.6% [1] - The ready-to-drink tea market holds the largest share within this sector, accounting for 50% in 2023, with a market size expected to grow from RMB 108.5 billion in 2018 to RMB 258.5 billion in 2023, and further to RMB 573.2 billion by 2028 at a CAGR of 17.3% [2] Company Performance - As of December 31, 2023, Hu Shang A Yi operates the fourth-largest ready-to-drink tea store network in China, with revenues of RMB 21.99 billion in 2022, RMB 33.48 billion in 2023, and projected RMB 32.85 billion in 2024. Net profits were RMB 1.49 billion, RMB 3.88 billion, and RMB 3.29 billion for the same years [3][4] - The company has a strong focus on mid-range pricing, with a price range of RMB 10-20, filling the gap between lower-priced brands and premium offerings [5] Business Model - Hu Shang A Yi employs a franchise-focused business model, with 99.7% of its stores operated by franchisees, totaling 9,176 stores by the end of 2024, covering over 300 cities [5][6] - The company has a significant presence in lower-tier cities, with 50.4% of its stores located in third-tier and below cities, which is a strategic advantage due to lower investment costs and high demand [7][8] Revenue Breakdown - Franchise-related revenue accounted for 94.3% in 2022, 96.3% in 2023, and 96.5% in 2024, indicating a strong reliance on the franchise model for income generation [6] - Revenue from third-tier and below cities was RMB 9.45 billion in 2022, RMB 15.24 billion in 2023, and RMB 15.83 billion in 2024, representing 43.0%, 45.5%, and 48.2% of total revenue respectively [8] Strategic Focus - The company emphasizes product innovation, launching over 100 new products annually to meet diverse consumer needs, including seasonal offerings and new product lines [9] - Hu Shang A Yi has established a robust supply chain management system, with a nationwide cold chain logistics network to ensure product freshness and quality [10] International Expansion - Currently, Hu Shang A Yi's international business is in its early stages, with overseas revenue of RMB 6.33 million in 2024, accounting for only 0.2% of total revenue. The company plans to focus on increasing penetration in lower-tier cities while exploring niche markets through sub-brands [10]