Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views - PB-ROE framework's ETF rotation strategy recommends next week to focus on the communication, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and transportation industries, corresponding to their industry ETFs; the ETF redemption sentiment indicator model suggests focusing on the Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF, SSE 50 ETF, Medical ETF, Photovoltaic ETF, and Robot ETF [9][40] - Combining PB and ROE for industry configuration may be a better choice; the third quadrant's high PB high ROE and the fifth quadrant's low PB medium ROE are key focus areas; combining the third and fifth quadrants to construct a comprehensive PB-ROE strategy has an annualized return of 11.93% and an annualized excess return of 13.22% [32][33] Summary by Directory 1. Recent Market Overview (January 12 - January 16, 2026) - Index performance: Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4101.91, down 0.45% for the week; Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14281.08, up 1.14%; ChiNext Index closed at 3361.02, up 1.00%; Beijing Stock Exchange 50 closed at 1548.33, up 1.58%; Hang Seng Index closed at 26844.96, up 2.34%. The average daily trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 34250.96 billion yuan, and the total trading volume for the week was 17.13 trillion yuan [12] - Industry performance: Among 31 Shenwan primary industries, 13 industries rose and 18 fell. The top three gainers were computer (up 3.82%), electronics (up 3.77%), and non-ferrous metals (up 3.03%); the top three losers were national defense and military industry (down 4.92%), real estate (down 3.52%), and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (down 3.27%) [5][12] - Main funds: Main funds had net outflows for 5 trading days and no net inflows, with a total net outflow of 2752.39 billion yuan for the week. The industries with more net inflows were banks, public utilities, and coal; the industries with more net outflows were national defense and military industry, power equipment, and computer [5][13] 2. Recent ETF Market Performance (January 12 - January 16, 2026) - Overall situation: As of January 16, 2026, there were 1411 ETFs in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, with a total asset management scale of 60766.01 billion yuan. There were 1101 equity ETFs (38892.41 billion yuan), 53 bond ETFs (7479.66 billion yuan), 27 money market ETFs (1529.88 billion yuan), 17 commodity ETFs (2751.84 billion yuan), 207 cross-border ETFs (10070.46 billion yuan), and 6 unlisted ETFs (41.76 billion yuan) [20] - Newly listed and established ETFs: 8 ETFs were newly listed, all equity ETFs; 7 ETFs were newly established, with a total issuance scale of 51.24 billion yuan [21] - Equity ETFs: The median weekly increase or decrease was 0.59%. Science and technology semiconductor ETFs and semiconductor equipment ETFs performed well, with the Science and Technology Semiconductor ETF Peng Hua rising the most at 12.46%; aerospace and high-end equipment ETFs performed poorly, with the Aerospace ETF falling the most at 6.88%. The average weekly share change was a decrease of 19.4716 million shares. Software ETFs and media ETFs had more share increases, while the Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF and CSI 300 ETF had more share decreases [24] - Bond ETFs: The median weekly increase or decrease of 53 bond ETFs was 0.12%. The convertible bond ETF had the highest increase of 0.91%, while the science and technology innovation bond ETF had the highest decrease of 0.00%. As of January 16, 2026, the Haifutong CSI Short-term Financing ETF had the largest scale of 631.50 billion yuan [27] - Cross-border ETFs: The median weekly increase or decrease was 1.18%. The China-South Korea Semiconductor ETF and Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet ETF had the highest increases, with the China-South Korea Semiconductor ETF rising 6.11%; the Hong Kong Securities ETF and Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF had the highest decreases, with the Hong Kong Securities ETF falling 2.28%. Since the beginning of the year, the median increase or decrease was 3.82%, with the China-South Korea Semiconductor ETF and Hong Kong Medical ETF having higher increases, and the Nasdaq ETF and Nasdaq Technology ETF having higher decreases [29] 3. PB-ROE Framework's ETF Rotation Strategy Tracking - Factor effectiveness: PB factor and PB quantile factor show certain stratification ability, and PB quantile factor is more effective; ROE factor's effectiveness declined after 2018; using ROE factor is better than ROE quantile factor; expected ROE factor is better than expected ROE year-on-year factor. Combining PB and ROE for industry configuration may be a better choice [32] - Key quadrants: The third quadrant's high PB high ROE and the fifth quadrant's low PB medium ROE are key focus areas. From 2017 to February 2024, the compound annualized excess returns of the third and fifth quadrant portfolios were 4.27% and 1.55% respectively [32] - Strategy improvement: After supplementing the PB-ROE framework with four dimensions, the annualized excess returns of the third and fifth quadrant strategies were 4.78% and 3.94% respectively. Combining the two strategies, the annualized return was 11.93% and the annualized excess return was 13.22% [33] - Recent performance: This week, the strategy focused on the communication, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and transportation industries, with a cumulative return of -0.86%, and an excess return of -0.29% compared to the CSI 300 Index [8][34] - Performance since 2023: The cumulative return was 26.03%, with an excess return of 3.81% compared to the CSI 300 Index [8][36] - Performance since 2022: The cumulative return was 7.77%, with an excess return of 11.99% compared to the CSI 300 Index [39] 4. Investment Recommendations - PB-ROE framework: Focus on the communication, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and transportation industries next week, corresponding to their industry ETFs [9][40] - ETF redemption sentiment indicator model: Focus on the Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF, SSE 50 ETF, Medical ETF, Photovoltaic ETF, and Robot ETF next week [9][40]

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the Dacheng CSI Battery Theme ETF is set for January 21, 2026, with a total trading share of 442 million, indicating a growing interest in sector-specific ETFs in the market [1] Group 1: ETF Launch Details - The Dacheng CSI Battery Theme ETF will officially launch on January 21, 2026, with a total trading share of 442 million [1] - The fund's establishment date is January 13, 2026, and as of January 14, 2026, the asset allocation is 77.96% in bank deposits and settlement reserves, and 22.01% in stock investments [1] - The fund is currently in its accumulation phase [1] Group 2: Recent ETF Trends - In January, 18 stock ETFs have announced their launch, with an average position of only 23.27% [1] - The highest position among these ETFs is the Penghua CSI General Aviation Theme ETF at 65.79%, followed by the Xingquan CSI 300 Quality ETF at 62.01% [1] - The lowest positions are seen in the Penghua CSI All-Index Food ETF at 0.40% and the E Fund CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Medical Theme ETF at 4.78% [1] Group 3: Institutional Investor Participation - Among the recently launched ETFs, the average share held by institutional investors is 10.08% [2] - The ETFs with the highest institutional ownership include the Ping An Hang Seng China Central Enterprise Dividend ETF at 25.59% and the Penghua CSI General Aviation Theme ETF at 21.34% [2] - The Dacheng CSI Battery Theme ETF has a relatively low institutional ownership at 3.16% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Three stock ETFs have recently published listing announcements, with varying stock positions indicating different investment strategies and market conditions [1] Group 1: ETF Stock Positions - The stock position of the GF Guozhen Industrial Software Theme ETF is 31.04% [1] - The stock position of the E Fund Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board Chip Design Theme ETF is 5.36% [1] - The stock position of the E Fund CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Medical Theme ETF is 4.78% [1] - The highest stock position among newly listed ETFs is 65.79% for the Penghua CSI General Aviation Theme ETF [1] - Other notable stock positions include 62.01% for the Xingquan CSI 300 Quality ETF, 40.68% for the Jianxin Growth Enterprise Board Comprehensive Enhanced Strategy ETF, and 35.10% for the Huaxia CSI All-Share Food ETF [1] Group 2: ETF Fundraising and Investor Structure - Since January, 15 stock ETFs have announced listings, with an average fundraising of 333 million shares [2] - The largest fundraising amounts are 1.157 billion shares for the Xingquan CSI 300 Quality ETF, 514 million shares for the Ping An Hang Seng China Central Enterprise Dividend ETF, and 300 million shares for the E Fund CSI Engineering Machinery Theme ETF [2] - Institutional investors hold an average of 11.17% of the shares, with the highest proportions being 25.59% for the Ping An Hang Seng China Central Enterprise Dividend ETF, 21.34% for the Penghua CSI General Aviation Theme ETF, and 20.28% for the Jianxin Growth Enterprise Board Comprehensive Enhanced Strategy ETF [2]

Core Viewpoint - The public fund market is experiencing a significant influx of capital at the beginning of the year, with over 45 billion yuan expected to enter the market, driven by new ETF listings and active funds entering their investment phases [1][4]. Group 1: Public Fund Inflows - As of January 9, 2026, the public funds entering the market include 22 newly listed stock ETFs with a total scale of 6.345 billion yuan and approximately 40 billion yuan from actively managed funds that have recently been established [1][2]. - The trend of "deposit migration" is evident, with individual investors becoming the main force in ETF investments, holding over 90% of shares in many products [1][3]. - The rapid increase in stock positions is notable, with ETFs like the Guotai Zhongzheng Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet ETF increasing their stock holdings from 4.8% to 96.59% shortly after listing [3]. Group 2: Active Fund Developments - Since November 2025, 72 new actively managed funds have been established, raising approximately 39.208 billion yuan, with 14 of these funds exceeding 1 billion yuan in size [4][5]. - The fundraising success of these funds is attributed to favorable market conditions and the reputation of well-known fund managers [4]. - The average return of these newly established funds is 3.08%, indicating a stable early-stage performance as they begin to deploy their capital [5]. Group 3: Future Capital Inflows - There is potential for a significant influx of capital into the investment market, estimated to be in the trillions, as excess savings from residents are poised to enter the market [6][7]. - The projected maturity of a substantial amount of fixed-term deposits in 2026 suggests that a portion of these funds may transition into equity markets, particularly in a low-interest-rate environment [6]. - The overall trend indicates a shift in investor confidence towards equity investments, with expectations of continued growth in the stock market driven by improving corporate earnings and valuation recovery [7].

Group 1 - Three stock ETFs have released listing announcements, with the highest stock allocation being 62.01% for the Xingquan CSI 300 Quality ETF, followed by 40.68% for the Jianxin Growth Enterprise Board Comprehensive Enhanced Strategy ETF [1] - In January, a total of 10 stock ETFs announced their listings, with an average allocation of only 19.47% [1] - The lowest allocations were noted for the Penghua CSI All Share Food ETF at 0.40%, the Guotai CSI Hong Kong Internet ETF at 4.80%, and the E Fund Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board Chip ETF at 5.37% [1] Group 2 - The average number of shares raised by the newly announced ETFs in January is 3.79 million, with the Xingquan CSI 300 Quality ETF leading at 11.57 million shares [2] - Institutional investors hold an average of 11.55% of the shares, with the highest proportions in the Ping An Hang Seng China Central Enterprise Dividend ETF at 25.59%, Jianxin Growth Enterprise Board Comprehensive Enhanced Strategy ETF at 20.28%, and Xingquan CSI 300 Quality ETF at 18.88% [2] - The newly established stock ETFs have varying construction periods, with the Jianxin Growth Enterprise Board Comprehensive Enhanced Strategy ETF set to have a stock allocation of 40.68% upon listing [2]