华夏中证全指食品ETF
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指数基金产品研究系列报告之二百六十五:政策受益、估值企稳,关注食品方向投资机会:华夏中证全指食品ETF
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-26 03:42
Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly mention the industry investment rating [1][2] Core Viewpoints of the Report - The government has increased its emphasis on boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand, with multiple policies coordinated to promote the construction of the domestic economic cycle and the domestic demand system [2][7][8] - It is expected that the year-on-year pork price will gradually turn positive in the second half of 2026, which will support the CPI, especially the food CPI [2][14][20] - The CSI All-China Food Index selects leading companies in the food industry, with high price elasticity, strong offensive ability, and long - term stable excess return potential. Currently, the valuation of the food sector has bottomed out, and the medium - to - long - term allocation cost - effectiveness is prominent [2][22][50] - The Huaxia CSI All - China Food ETF closely tracks the CSI All - China Food Index, aiming to minimize tracking deviation and tracking error [2][52] Summary According to the Directory 1. Policy Emphasizes Expanding Domestic Demand and Boosting Consumption, Focus on Investment Opportunities in the Food Sector - **Policy Attention Increased: Boosting Consumption and Expanding Domestic Demand** - Multiple policies are coordinated to promote the domestic economic cycle and the construction of the domestic demand system. Since December, authoritative media and high - level authorities have continuously emphasized the importance of domestic demand and the significance of boosting consumption [2][7][8] - The "Qiushi" magazine pointed out that expanding domestic demand is a strategic move related to economic stability and security. The Central Financial and Economic Affairs Office stated that expanding domestic demand is the top priority for next year, and the National Development and Reform Commission emphasized the firm implementation of the strategy to expand domestic demand [2][9][13] - **Expected Gradual Recovery of Pork Prices, Focus on Food CPI Changes in 2026** - Since the second half of 2022, the CPI has been continuously declining and has been hovering at a low level since 2025, suppressing the contribution of prices to the profits of mass consumer goods [2][14] - Although the CPI was at a low level in 2025, the demand for dairy products showed signs of stabilization. The retail prices of milk and yogurt ended a three - year decline in the second half of 2025 [17][19] - Due to the structural surplus of production capacity and low breeding costs, the year - on - year decline in pork prices has widened since the second half of 2025. It is expected that the year - on - year pork price will gradually turn positive in the second half of next year, supporting the CPI, especially the food CPI [20][21] 2. CSI All - China Food Index - **Index Compilation: Selecting Leading Food Industry Companies** - The CSI All - China Food Index was released on July 15, 2013. It selects all listed company securities belonging to the tertiary "Food" industry from the CSI All - China sample space, aiming to comprehensively reflect the overall performance of A - share food industry listed company securities [22][25][26] - The index samples are adjusted semi - annually, with a single sample weight limit of 10% [26] - **Industry Market Value Characteristics: Industry Concentrated in the Primary Consumption Sector, with a Market Value Pattern Dominated by Leading Companies** - As of December 18, 2025, the index has 79 constituent stocks, with an average total market value of 1.6575 billion yuan. There are 3 stocks with a market value exceeding 10 billion yuan, and more than half of the constituent stocks have a total market value of less than 1 billion yuan [27][30][33] - The top ten constituent stocks have a total weight of 50.4%, and the top three weighted stocks are Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd., Haitian Flavoring & Food Co., Ltd., and Shuanghui Development Co., Ltd., with weights of 10.52%, 9.05%, and 6.05% respectively [30][31][33] - The index is concentrated in the food sub - industries, especially in the seasoning fermentation products II, food processing, and beverage dairy sectors, with a combined proportion of over 64%, highly focusing on the food field directly facing consumers [33][34][39] - **High Index Volatility and Strong Offensive Ability** - Historically, the index has shown a clear offensive ability, especially in the market driven by the consumption sector, with long - term stable excess return potential. It also has significant high elasticity, with higher volatility and drawdown than the market broad - based index [40][42][45] - In the long run, the index has shown stable income growth ability, with a cumulative return and annualized return of 256.10% and 8.87% respectively, exceeding the performance of the CSI 300 Index and the CSI All - China Index during the same period, reflecting the long - term allocation value of the core assets in the consumption industry [42][43] - **The Valuation of the Food Sector has Bottomed Out, and the Medium - to - Long - Term Allocation Cost - Effectiveness is Prominent** - As of December 18, 2025, the price - to - earnings ratio of the index is 31.52, with a historical quantile of 22.26%, and the price - to - book ratio is 2.85, with a historical quantile of 5.32% [50][51][52] - The index has experienced an adjustment since the high in late 2020, and recently shows signs of stabilization, with limited downside risk [50] 3. Huaxia CSI All - China Food ETF - The Huaxia CSI All - China Food ETF (fund code: 159151) closely tracks the CSI All - China Food Index, aiming to minimize tracking deviation and tracking error. The fund started raising funds on December 22, 2025, and ended on December 26, 2025, with fund manager Wang Xinwei [2][52][55]
基金早班车丨公募基金新发数量创近4年新高,QDII高溢价警报不断
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-23 00:45
一、交易提示 数据显示,截至12月21日,以公募基金成立日为统计口径,年内新成立基金达1468只,较2024年增长29.3%,刷新近四年 纪录。与此同时,QDII额度紧张持续发酵,多只产品将人民币申购上限降至10元,个别场内溢价率突破20%。专业机构提 醒,高溢价蕴含回撤风险,投资者应避免盲目追高,理性评估海外资产配置价值。 12月22日,A股三大股指高开高走,全天高位震荡,截止收盘,沪指涨0.69%报3917.36点,深成指涨1.47%报13332.73点,创业板指涨 2.23%报3191.98点,科创50指数涨2.04%报1335.25点;沪深两市成交额1.86万亿,全市场超2900只个股上涨,其中有105只个股涨 停。 二、基金要闻 (1)12月22日新发基金共有21只,主要为债券型基金和股票型基金,其中华夏中证全指食品ETF募集目标金额达80.00亿 元;基金分红38只,多为债券型,派发红利最多的基金是华宝沪深300指数增强型发起式证券投资基金,每10份基金份额派 发红利3.1000元。 (2)2025年公募参与定增热度不减。数据显示,39家公募年内合计斥资340.88亿元获配85家A股公司,金额同比 ...